The bundle in US and Japan will definitely be sold out prior to release. The same may be true for Europe but not certain due to the awfulness of the bundle....
Among existing PS3 owners I have to say that it will definitely have similar interest to GTA4, but it may have a chance of outselling it 1st week but not lifetime...
Also comparing prior MGSs to this you should at least compare it to MGS1/2 since MGS3 was definitely the least interesting in terms of story (its a prequesl and you don't even get to play Snake).
I'm predicting 2m+ 1st week and around 400k h/w.... Definitely the best non launch, non holiday week for the PS3...
PSN ID: T_Gears
End of 2009 ltd sales:
Wii = 67-68m
X360 = 38-39m
PS3 = 34-35m
Prediction: The PS3 will surpass the 360 on weekly sales after it drops to $299 on all regular weeks (no big releases).
