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Forums - Sales - How Grand Theft Auto IV Threatens The Wii, from Forbes

http://www.forbes.com/2008/05/02/wii-grand-theft-tech-personal-cx_bc_0502wii.html

"The advantages of the Playstation 3 and Xbox 360 go beyond just rich, immersive games. "If [gamers] care more about high-definition, or they care about online, or they care about more graphically rich immersive games, they're going to consider a 360 or Playstation 3," Pachter asserts.

Sony's victory in the next-generation videodisc format wars is a formidable advantage, Pachter argues. Grab a high-definition television at Best Buy (nyse: BBY - news - people ), and the salespeople will recommend that consumers--even non-gamers--buy Sony's console so that they can play high-definition movies on their new displays. "That's going to move consoles, maybe not today, but it will cumulatively over time," Pachter says. (See: How To Get the Best (and Cheapest) BluRay Player.)

Microsoft, meanwhile, has invested heavily to create a best-in-class online experience to hook gamers.

By contrast, Nintendo's online experience is safe, yet spartan. That means Microsoft's deal with Take-Two for exclusive online content is just the start. "They're certainly not stupid, they're going to push online content like you wouldn't believe," Pachter says.

Wii won't die, for sure. But Grand Theft Auto IV may have just given a new lease on life to the Playstation 3."

Nice read, Do you think GTA IV will change the gaming Industry ?

What do you think the numbers will be ? short term, long term



Consoles LTD, end 2009, end 2010 - prediction

Wii -  68 million, 90 million - Wii HD in late 2011 - $249

360 - 38 million, 47 million - 720 in late 2010 - $299

PS3 - 31 million, 43 million - slim PS3 in mid 2009 - $299 

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Is this like, an aftershock, from GTA4?
Hopefully, it'll be business as usual by next week.



Galaki said:
Is this like, an aftershock, from GTA4?
Hopefully, it'll be business as usual by next week.

 maybe even the week of launch cause of the Korean launch of Wii



Already posted.

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=25649&start=0



 


 

It's kind of funny how they skew Pacter's words. This was from 3 days ago where Pachter basically says the Wii is going to kick ass.

http://www.gamasutra.com/php-bin/news_index.php?story=18411

Pachter: Nintendo Set For Better Than Expected 2009

Pachter: Nintendo Set For Better Than Expected 2009 In his latest note to investors following Nintendo’s FY 2008 results, Wedbush Morgan’s Michael Pachter has said the company is “executing flawlessly,” adding that it has the potential to sell upwards of 40 million software units more than it has forecast.

“We believe that Nintendo’s software guidance is exceedingly conservative,” said Pachter, noting that while Nintendo expects to sell 177 million Wii software units, up from 119.6 million units the previous year, the console’s installed hardware base is expected to double.

“We think that the actual software shipment figure will be closer to 200 million," he said, "with a bias for upside," and noted that average price points in the forthcoming year will be higher as well, with the forthcoming Wii Fit priced 80 percent higher than the average Wii title.

Pachter reiterated his stance with Nintendo’s own DS predictions, as well, saying, “The company’s software forecast is not reasonable for the DS. Nintendo expects DS software sales to increase from 185.6 million units to 187 million, while expecting the DS installed base to go from 70.6 million to 98.6 million."

"Our best guess," he concluded, "is that the DS software unit figure will be closer to 210 million, particularly with games like Pokemon and Guitar Hero shipped during the year.”