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Forums - Sales - Who will come outon top in next week (GTA IV's week) hardware's number?

We already know that the attach rate is much higher on the PS3 than the 360 for first day sales. Usually, that will indicate a higher hardware boost for the PS3.



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Can both consoles sell around 200k in Europe and USA?
Well, GT5P bundle made 150k in Europe and almost no effect in USA.
It will be interesting.. if GTA4 was able to drive another 100k consoles from average sales. =)



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2009.04.30 - PS3 will OUTSELL x360 atleast by the middle of 2010. Japan+Europe > NA.


Gran Turismo 3 - 1,06 mln. in 3 weeks with around 4 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Gran Turismo 4 - 1,16 mln. with 18 mln. PS2 on the launch.

Final Fantasy X - around 2 mln. with 5 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Final Fantasy X-2 - 2.4 mln. with 12 mln. PS2 on the launch.

 

1.8 mln. PS3 today(2008.01.17) in Japan. Now(2009.04.30) 3.16 mln. PS3 were sold in Japan.
PS3 will reach 4 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 25k.

PS3 may reach 5 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 50k.
PS2 2001 vs PS3 2008 sales numbers =) + New games released in Japan by 2009 that passed 100k so far

It seems that the ww ratio was practically 50/50 which is amazing seeing as the PS3 has a 33% smaller userbase.
Then again; 80% of us foresaw this and were quite vocal about it as well.



CrazzyMan said:
Can both consoles sell around 200k in Europe and USA?
Well, GT5P bundle made 150k in Europe and almost no effect in USA.
It will be interesting.. if GTA4 was able to drive another 100k consoles from average sales. =)

I think both consoles will get close 170k in each region.



well no doubt they'll both move hardware...ps3 should get more though
as for software....thats a tough one to call as they'll both have strong legs for a long long time...



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kowenicki said:
The_God_of_War said:
Why the devil would the Xbox 360 win? PS3 will continue to beat it.

beat it?  don't you mean continue to catch up slooowly? 


Catch up? I thought he was talking about the 360 not the Ps3 outselling 360 by 850k already this year....



PooperScooper said:
kowenicki said:
The_God_of_War said:
Why the devil would the Xbox 360 win? PS3 will continue to beat it.

beat it? don't you mean continue to catch up slooowly?


Catch up? I thought he was talking about the 360 not the Ps3 outselling 360 by 850k already this year....


 You're correct, PooperScooper. I wasn't talking about the fact that the PS3 has outsold the 360 this year by 850k despite a higher price tag, an "inferior" game library with none of it's "big" system sellers out yet.



  

To repost a previous reply on this same topic:

As usual, everyone overestimates the boost created by big releases. I've had to say it so many times, I should probably put this in my sig: "Hardware never spikes as much as you think for big games."  With that said, 360 and PS3 hardware WILL be up noticeably for the week of Grand Theft Auto (which of course is next week's charts, not this current upcoming one). I expect both to see something in the area of 30% rise, with perhaps as high as 50% as the extreme upper limit. But some of these predictions - 300k? 400k?! - are just lunacy.

Fun fact: neither the PS3 nor 360 has ever topped 250k in weekly sales outside holidays/PS3 European launch. This is easily seen by looking at our weekly sales chart:

http://vgchartz.com/hwcomps.php?cons1=Wii&reg1=All&cons2=PS3&reg2=All&cons3=X360&reg3=All&start=39047&end=39558

The 360's best was a 241k week for Halo release last year. The PS3's best was 228k last month on the week of 28 March, the debut of Gran Turismo Prologue in Europe. Clearly the release of large titles do increase hardware sales - they just create "bumps" on the graphs, not wild spikes upwards. And we'll see the same thing for Grand Theft Auto. There's a good chance that both the PS3 and 360 will top their previous non-holiday high marks that I mentioned above. But there's very little chance that they'll get anywhere close to 300k weekly sales (which would be an 80% increase for the PS3, and about a 110% increase for the 360!)

The Wii has sold 5.251m units so far this year, across 16 weeks; that's an average of 328k per week. So as long as the Wii sells around its weekly average (which it certainly should do!) there's practically no chance that it will be outsold by either the 360 or PS3. You can't guarantee anything in the market, but statistically the continuation of Wii hardware dominance is extremely likely.

It might also be a good idea to look at the hardware sales for 360's Halo release last year: http://vgchartz.com/weekly.php?date=39355&console=&maker=&boxartz=1 360 sales were up 40%, a nice amount. They didn't come even remotely close to the predictions of most fans, however.



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End of 2008 totals: Wii 42m, 360 24m, PS3 18.5m (made Jan. 4, 2008)

XBOX has sold like 4M GTA software... and u have to realise that the cheapest entry for a person to play GTA is XBOX arcade at almost half the price of PS3..

So if we assume that like 5% are the new buyers for XBOX then it translates to like 200k extra sales..

and if PS3 sells like 3M GTA sofware and it has also 5% new buyer (remember PS3 has double the price, so its not the cheapest way to play GTA) then it sells like 150k extra console... so with normal sales plus the GTA hardware boost we have both around 350k - 400k for next week...

So thats why i thought its going to be a tough call to see which will sell more hardware next week...



the big factor is is nin flooded the market with wiis..if that is the case then they will hold the crown...other wise i think the 360 will move a little more hardware since they really seemed to stress the bundle