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Forums - Sales Discussion - Wii, 200 million lifetime?

famousringo on 25 April 2008
DMeisterJ said:
Uhh... I don't think so.

I'd have to see where the PS2 is going to stop at, and what the Wii's trending like right now, but I think 150 mil lifetime

This seems much more likely to me.

Although it wouldn't be the first time that the Wii has shattered expectations.

@ leo 

Huh? Are you new to the world of electronics, because a 5-year cycle of obsolescence is pretty standard.



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Q_A_X on 25 April 2008

No. It will not even outsell the PS2.



MGS4!

Tayne on 25 April 2008

I don't even see the Wii hitting 100 million. Sales will eventually drop off and third parties are too lazy to put out quality games on the level of Nintendo devloped games.

If and/or when the Wii gets PS2 type support, the 100m barrier might be broken.

It'll still be the highest selling console this gen though.




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Ajax on 25 April 2008

so 200 mill Wii's and 80 mill PS3 and 360's would mean 280 mill consoles.. compare that to the 120 + 24 + 22 of the last gen, that's 166 mill, so that would mean the home console industry would grow around 75% this gen, I do believe that the industry can grow over last gen, but not 75%



''Hadouken!''

leo-j on 25 April 2008
Ajax said:
so 200 mill Wii's and 80 mill PS3 and 360's would mean 280 mill consoles.. compare that to the 120 + 24 + 22 of the last gen, that's 166 mill, so that would mean the home console industry would grow 50% this gen, I do believe that the industry can grow over last gen, but not by 50%

Dont believe the PS3 iwll end up with 40 million consoles I dont think the 360 will be that low either.

since when was ps2 120M? According to sony since last year at TGS its passed 135M(shipped), and is still selling at almost the same rate as the PS3.

 



 

mM
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leo-j on 25 April 2008
Ajax said:
so 200 mill Wii's and 80 mill PS3 and 360's would mean 280 mill consoles.. compare that to the 120 + 24 + 22 of the last gen, that's 166 mill, so that would mean the home console industry would grow 50% this gen, I do believe that the industry can grow over last gen, but not by 50%

Dont believe the PS3 iwll end up with 40 million consoles I dont think the 360 will be that low either.

since when was ps2 120M? According to sony since last year at TGS its passed 135M(shipped), and is still selling at almost the same rate as the PS3.

 



 

mM
Tuulikk on 25 April 2008

At least Wii will get 6 years of life, maybe as much as 8 years. And the sucsessor will be out before Wii turns 7.

I will be happy if Wii gets to 50 million.
Not like I say Wii won't get to over 100 million or higher, but I want to see Wii at 40 plus million before and have a look at the console trends at the time.



kingofwale on 25 April 2008
famousringo said:
DMeisterJ said:
Uhh... I don't think so.

I'd have to see where the PS2 is going to stop at, and what the Wii's trending like right now, but I think 150 mil lifetime

This seems much more likely to me.

Although it wouldn't be the first time that the Wii has shattered expectations.

@ leo

Huh? Are you new to the world of electronics, because a 5-year cycle of obsolescence is pretty standard.


 Refresh my memory here... when was the last Sony consolewith 5 years cycle of obsolenscence??? :P

 



Soriku (Feb 10/08): In 5 years the PS3/360 will be dead.

KH3 bet: "If KH3 comes to Wii exclusive, I will take a 1 month of sig/avatar by otheres open a thread apologize and praise you guys' brilliance." http://vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?start=50&id=18379
Original cast: Badonkadonkhr, sc94597 allaboutthegames885, kingofwale, Soriku, ctk495, skeezer, RDBRaptor, Mirson,

Episode 1: OOPSY!
selnor: Too Human I even expect 3-4 mill entire life and 500,000 first day. GoW2 ( expect 7 - 9 million entire life and over 2 mill first day), Fable 2 (expect 5-6 million entire life and 1.5 mill fist day) BK3 (expect 4 - 5 mill sales entire life and 1 mill first day).. Tales/IU/TLR should get to 2 or 3 million! post id: 868878
Episode 2:
Letsdance: FFXIII (PS3+360) first week in NA = 286K
According to pre-order rate in week 13 (post id: 2902544)
Ajax on 25 April 2008

whatever Leo, your missing my point, you can devide the sales how you want, but I'm talking about total industry sales.. and going from around 170 mill to 280 would be an more than epic achievement for the industry, and it seems to me unlikely



''Hadouken!''

Viper1 on 25 April 2008
leo-j said:
Ajax said:
so 200 mill Wii's and 80 mill PS3 and 360's would mean 280 mill consoles.. compare that to the 120 + 24 + 22 of the last gen, that's 166 mill, so that would mean the home console industry would grow 50% this gen, I do believe that the industry can grow over last gen, but not by 50%

Dont believe the PS3 iwll end up with 40 million consoles I dont think the 360 will be that low either.

since when was ps2 120M? According to sony since last year at TGS its passed 135M(shipped), and is still selling at almost the same rate as the PS3.

 


March 31st, 2007 - 117,890,000

 

I highly doubt they shippped 17 million PS2's between April and October of last year.   And technically, that number represts the manufactured total, not shipped because after last FY, Sony began reporting numbers as units sold to retail instead of units produced.

 

It is impossible that they shipped 135 million by TGS last year and after looking it up, there is not a single reference in Google of PS2 and 135 million.



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