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Forums - Sales - Which System Will Ship More Units in Calendar Year 2025 Worldwide: Switch 2 or PS5?

 

Which System Will Ship More Units in Calendar Year 2025 Worldwide?

Nintendo Switch 2 73 56.59%
 
PlayStation 5 56 43.41%
 
Total:129
JackHandy on 25 April 2025
IcaroRibeiro said:
JackHandy said:

GTA 6 should secure PS5's position in the market for 2025. Outside of Nintendo's IPs, it's one of the industries last megaton AAA, sure-fire bet.

It is but I think people overestimate how much a single game impact hardware sales. The impact of game is generally diluted for months before and after the game launch. GTA VI is already impacting PS5 baseline sales since it was announced to be console exclusive, many people buy consoles in advance knowing a game is coming. This is why console makers make sure to announce new games as early as possible. Not only to farm money from pre orders, but also to keep console sales healthy even when there is no relevant release 

Yes, you're right. But remember: this is pretty much a two-platform industry now. Xbox has all but a publishing brand now. Which means when it comes to GTA 6, it's going to be heavily thought of--and tied into--PS5 and PS5 alone. The Switch 2 will not be getting it. Or if it does, it will be scaled way down and certainly not considered definitive. Add in the Sony marketing blitz that we all know is coming and... yeah.

I would be shocked if GTA 6 doesn't massively boost PS5 sales.



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CosmicSex on 25 April 2025

GTA 5 is still in the top 5 most played PS4 games. GTA 6 will have a palpable increase on PS5 sales. And this is not assuming that bundles will be a thing. The boost will come from:

PS4 players finally upgrading
PC players wanting to play day one
PS5 players upgrading to the Pro
Increased holiday demand boosted by GTA 6



rapsuperstar31 on 25 April 2025

PS5 should win 2025 with the extra half a year head start. Switch 2 will easily beat the PS5 in Japan this year, and might even beat it in the first week. 2026 should go to the Switch 2.



Sephiran on 25 April 2025

The price increase PS has done in major markets like Europe should impact PS5 to sell less in Europe, than they would have done without the price increase.



CheddarPlease on 25 April 2025

I don't think its as clear cut as people think. PS5 is looking to sell ~3.2m this quarter and probably a similar amount in the next, so about 6.5-7m in the first half of the year. Meanwhile, all signs point to Switch 2 launch month shipments exceeding 6m. Therefore, it is very probable that the two systems will be virtually tied in terms of shipments by the end of summer. At that point, the deciding factor will more or less come down to whether the Switch 2's post launch sales are strong enough to overcome what will likely be the PS5's last boosted holiday quarter, fueled by GTA VI bundles.



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archbrix on 02 May 2025
archbrix said:

Honestly, without GTA6 this year I'd give the PS5 <17m and I think it would be much closer than some people think between it and Switch 2.

Well... I guess we'll see how this pans out after all.

And potential price hikes will keep this very interesting.



CheddarPlease on 02 May 2025
archbrix said:
archbrix said:

Honestly, without GTA6 this year I'd give the PS5 <17m and I think it would be much closer than some people think between it and Switch 2.

Well... I guess we'll see how this pans out after all.

And potential price hikes will keep this very interesting.


Going forward, I would consider the Switch 2 the tentative favorite, barring any significant tariff price increases. I think it's only a matter of time this year before Sony is forced to raise the PS5's price, considering the direction the industry and economy at large is heading.



Sephiran on 02 May 2025

I think the only thing that can prevent Switch 2 from selling more than PS5 this year is Nintendo's production capabilities. If they can produce enough units the demand is easily there to sell more than PS5 this year, especially because GTA V is not coming out in 2025 and its likely PS5 price will increase in the US as well.



Norion on 02 May 2025
Norion said:

Considering the PS5 has an extra 5 months easily that one though if we just go by June onward then it's an interesting question. The Switch sold a bit over 13m in 2017 though it had an extra 3 months so the Switch 2 could sell less than that in its first calendar year even if its first 7 months are better. Should still likely sell over 12m though and if GTA 6 does make it this year then the PS5 should sell about 18m in total for the year and since it'll be over 4.5m by the end of May it could end up being fairly close though I do lean towards the PS5 if GTA 6 does make it cause in that scenario the PS5's holiday sales should make up for the deficit it'll get from the Switch 2 having a much bigger June unless the latter has a very strong first holiday season.

Well with GTA 6 now delayed again and the PS5 likely getting a significant price increase soon the Switch 2 should now win this if it's just June onward. The price of the Switch 2 is suddenly becoming a lot more competitive.



CheddarPlease on 02 May 2025
Norion said:

Well with GTA 6 now delayed again and the PS5 likely getting a significant price increase soon the Switch 2 should now win this if it's just June onward. The price of the Switch 2 is suddenly becoming a lot more competitive.

I'd argue it was bound to win if the comparison was just from June onwards, given the massive shipments and launch demand, but now it's likely to win the full year comparison, barring any unexpected changes. Only having half a year was never going to be an issue for a console that seems bound to sell as much in a single month as most consoles sell in two quarters.