The American voters get to show their true colors this election. It now comes down to whether or not the American people believe that Adolf Hitler was bad, the most basic and simple yes-or-no question there has ever been.

But it is apparent that this easy question is actually a tough ask for the American people. Consider that the former general who got this story back into the news cycle could not bring himself to endorse Kamala Harris.

Trump has claimed that the USA is called "occupied America" around the world, but what we really call you is "stupid America" and do you know why? Because we are nice. It should be obvious that the word "stupid" alone does not do the braindead landscape of the USA justice. The USA does not have its dumb people shoved into the dark corners of the internet, it puts them on national TV and presents them as respectable.

Alright, I voted for Kamala Harris and Colin Allred yesterday in what was the easiest vote of my life, so if the alternatives win, it won't be my fault. If current early voting trends hold though, Trump will win, and I don't just mean Texas, so if you're an American then please get your ass in gear and go vote if you haven't already! (Except if you're a MAGA Republican. Then you can stay home.)

Isn't this voting by party registration? Which would assume that all registered Republicans are voting Trump but I find unlikely considering there was a lot of Never-Trumper Haley voters and other Republicans (even here) declaring they're voting for Harris. It also doesn't tell us which way independents are voting. Plus we don't have that data for Georgia, Michigan or Wisconsin.

Overall pre-election voting levels are down across the board but that isn't a surprise considering the last election was during COVID-19 and that was the main reason pre-election voting was so high that election. I think this year will have a stronger turnout just before or on election day and it will come down to who is more energised to vote, the Trump cult or Democrats wanting to see the end of Trump.

Democrats are ahead in North Carolina, Nevada and Pennsylvania in early voting according to CNN. But also, Republicans this year have been encouraging their voters to vote early too, so that may play a part in Republicans having a higher than usual early voting turnout. FWIW, I've disregarded Arizona long ago, I don't think Harris has a chance of taking it, I think the immigrant scaremongering nonsense has unfortunately made Arizona a lost cause, on the flip side, I'm feeling quietly confident about Michigan and to a lesser extent, Pennsylvania.

I definitely won't be blaming women if Trump wins, I'm fairly sure that women are going to break massively for Harris.

I also won't be blaming Harris for losing either, she has ran a great campaign, especially considering the time constraints, she has actual sensible and detailed policies, as opposed to Trump's rambling nonsense and idiotic ideas. She runs on moving America forward and listening to all Americans, Trump runs on moving America backwards and labelling anyone who opposed him as the enemy. She has been campaigning, doing podcasts, interviews, etc, all over, while Trump hides from debates, hides from interviews. Trump looks like a man who will be in a care home soon, but Democrats are held to a higher standard than Republicans in all things, from hypocrisy over age to "rhetoric".

If Trump wins I will partly blame the media for sane washing Trump, being hypocrites, etc. But ultimately if he wins it's because millions of Americans who voted for Trump genuinely want a fascist in charge and the rest simply don't give a fuck about anyone but themselves and are too uneducated to understand that Trump (or any President) isn't suddenly going to flip a switch and make their milk/bread prices come down and that is a major reason why I think Harris is at risk (prices of groceries) as she is from the incumbent government and the incumbent government always get blamed for these things and looking at Europe, incumbent governments have taken a beating.

But I still have faith Harris will win.

Almost no one except for a couple of highly specialized pundits crunching a lot of data can predict anything from early voting numbers.

There's this one guy in YT whose name I forgot trying to do it for all of the swing of states saying it looks a lot like 2022's statewide races but again, take it with a huge grain of salt.

My understanding is that Nevada is really hard to guess this year as well due to how party registration changed in that state which has meant there's a massive amount of independents now and while it's *mostly* safe to say "Democrat will vote Democrat and Republican will vote Republican (with exceptions)" nobody has a clue how independents are voting. Ralston who is considered great with Nevada even said that Nevada this year will be really hard to guess, he said he has "no idea" on what way it's going to go due to independents.

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