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Forums - Sales Discussion - June 2024 VGChartz Estimates Thread - Worldwide Estimates Out Now

Norion on 08 August 2024

Seeing how are all three have significantly declined for the 1st half of the year really shows just how needed 2025 is to give a big boost. The PS5 and Xbox Series should hold up better in July at least with CF25 helping them and the former will have the Pro for presumably November to help and the Switch should hold up better throughout the 2nd half of the year overall so it might end up improving the drop from nearly 36% to somewhere in the 20's.

For the full year it's looking like the PS5 will sell about 16m, Xbox Series about 5m and the Switch about 11m.



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trunkswd on 08 August 2024

Link to the VGChartz article here.

PS5 vs Xbox Series X|S vs Switch Launch Sales Comparison Through Month 44

This monthly series compares the aligned launch sales of the PlayStation 5, Xbox Series X|S, and Nintendo Switch.

It should be noted the Nintendo Switch and Xbox Series X|S had a worldwide launch, while the PlayStation 5 launch was split over the course of two weeks. Also, the Nintendo Switch launched in March 2017, while the PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X|S launched during the holidays in November 2020.

PS5 Vs. Xbox Series X|S Vs. Switch Global:

  1. Switch: 67,344,792
  2. PS5: 59,300,349
  3. XSX|S: 29,059,492

Through the first 44 months available worldwide the Nintendo Switch is ahead of the PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X|S. The Switch is ahead of the PS5 by 8.04 million units and is 38.29 million units ahead of the Xbox Series X|S. The PS5 is ahead of the Xbox Series X|S by 30.24 million units.

The Switch has sold 67.34 million in 44 months worldwide, while the PS5 sold 59.30 million units and the Xbox Series X|S 29.06 million units.

Looking at the marketshare through 44 months, the Switch is in the lead. The Switch has a 43.2 percent marketshare, the PS5 sits at 38.1 percent, and the Xbox Series X|S at 18.7 percent.


PS5 Vs. Xbox Series X|S Vs. Switch US:

  1. Switch: 22,546,391
  2. PS5: 20,769,624
  3. XSX|S: 14,757,644

Through the first 44 months available in the US the Nintendo Switch is ahead of the PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X|S. The Switch is ahead of the PS5 by 1.78 million units and is 7.79 million units ahead of the Xbox Series X|S. The PS5 is ahead of the Xbox Series X|S by 6.01 million units.

The Switch has sold 22.55 million in 44 months in the US, while the PS5 sold 20.77 million units and the Xbox Series X|S 14.76 million units.

Looking at the marketshare through 44 months, the Switch currently leads. The Switch has a 38.8 percent marketshare, the PS5 sits at 35.8 percent, and the Xbox Series X|S at 25.4 percent.

PS5 Vs. Xbox Series X|S Vs. Switch Europe:

  1. PS5: 19,704,596
  2. Switch: 17,165,746
  3. XSX|S: 7,772,875

Through the first 44 months available in Europe the PlayStation 5 is ahead of the Nintendo Switch and Xbox Series X|S. The PS5 is ahead of the Switch by 2.54 million units and is 11.93 million units ahead of the Xbox Series X|S. The Switch is ahead of the Xbox Series X|S by 9.39 million units.

The PS5 has sold 19.70 million in 44 months in Europe, while the Switch sold 17.17 million units and the Xbox Series X|S 7.77 million units.

Looking at the marketshare through 44 months, the PlayStation 5 currently leads. The PS5 has a 44.1 percent marketshare, the Switch sits at 38.5 percent, and the Xbox Series X|S at 17.4 percent.

PS5 Vs. Xbox Series X|S Vs. Switch Japan:

  1. Switch: 15,836,461
  2. PS5: 5,787,865
  3. XSX|S: 606,178

Through the first 44 months available in Japan the Switch is ahead of the PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X|S by a wide margin. The Switch is ahead of the PS5 by 10.05 million units and is 15.23 million units ahead of the Xbox Series X|S. The PS5 is ahead of the Xbox Series X|S by 5.18 million units.

The Switch has sold 15.84 million units in 44 months in Japan, while the PS5 has sold 5.79 million units, and the Xbox Series X|S 0.61 million units.

Looking at the marketshare through 44 months, the Switch currently leads. The Switch has a 71.3 percent marketshare, the PS5 sits at 26.0 percent, and the Xbox Series X|S at 2.7 percent.



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTube. Follow me on Twitter, Bluesky, and Threads.

I post and adjust the VGChartz hardware estimates, with help from Machina.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Monthly Hardware Breakdown | Monthly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

Qwark on 08 August 2024
Norion said:

Seeing how are all three have significantly declined for the 1st half of the year really shows just how needed 2025 is to give a big boost. The PS5 and Xbox Series should hold up better in July at least with CF25 helping them and the former will have the Pro for presumably November to help and the Switch should hold up better throughout the 2nd half of the year overall so it might end up improving the drop from nearly 36% to somewhere in the 20's.

For the full year it's looking like the PS5 will sell about 16m, Xbox Series about 5m and the Switch about 11m.

2025 will be an interesting year, on one end GTAV will launch for consoles, which will push console sales when it realeases. On the other hand it might also push away basically every other non-nintendo blockbuster and Fifa/COD title away from Q4 2025. Because nobody wants to launch a game close to GTAVI.



Please excuse my (probally) poor grammar

Norion on 08 August 2024
Qwark said:
Norion said:

Seeing how are all three have significantly declined for the 1st half of the year really shows just how needed 2025 is to give a big boost. The PS5 and Xbox Series should hold up better in July at least with CF25 helping them and the former will have the Pro for presumably November to help and the Switch should hold up better throughout the 2nd half of the year overall so it might end up improving the drop from nearly 36% to somewhere in the 20's.

For the full year it's looking like the PS5 will sell about 16m, Xbox Series about 5m and the Switch about 11m.

2025 will be an interesting year, on one end GTAV will launch for consoles, which will push console sales when it realeases. On the other hand it might also push away basically every other non-nintendo blockbuster and Fifa/COD title away from Q4 2025. Because nobody wants to launch a game close to GTAVI.

It won't push other games that far away. Everything notable will need a gap but as long as a single player game is at least two weeks before or after it it should be fine. Multiplayer focused games might need closer to a full month though.