derpysquirtle64 said: I remember seeing the 100m+ slide but it’s crazy to think that there are people in Xbox leadership who really believed that. It just shows their complete incompetence. Where they could get the 100m. Did they overestimate PC audience? Because it’s clear that with how good Steam sales are, PC gamers never would have gotten up on GamePass massively. If you are gaming on PC on a budget, you can just wait for Steam sales which happen a few times a year and buy games with 80-90% discounts and keep them to yourself instead of paying a subscription. Gamepass is just not as enticing on PC as it is on a console due to competition with Steam. On a console? Then they needed AT LEAST 360 level sales and that still wouldn’t be enough because I don’t see 100% console gamers subscribing to GamePass in a any scenario. |
Think even if Game Pass was on Steam and Windows Store was amazing it wouldn't hit 100m. Maybe even if it was on PlayStation, Lol.
They made a major mistake in placing its trajectory alongside TV Streaming, in some ways it's the same but in other ways it isn't, Gaming is not TV (or music), it requires a lot more time and attention, a person with a job and/or family could take an entire month to finish a game, a Netflix show can be binged easily in a few days then onto the next one, the curation is more palatable, it's harder to find a random game to play but people have no issue finding any old rubbish to start watching on Netflix because again, it requires less investment.
Game Pass has no exclusive titles unlike TV so it isn't essential, I don't need Game Pass for Halo but I need Netflix for Stranger Things, that will restrict growth and all those millions of gamers who only play a single game, they don't need Game Pass and the Fortnite/Roblox/Warzone crowd don't need Game Pass because they're all F2P titles and those are the blackhole games taking everyone's time, Lol.
They'd need to instead do some amazing Game Pass perks to try to tempt people for the single game players.
Spotify has everything, Game Pass doesn't. The only TV services over 100m IIRC are Disney+, Netflix and Amazon Prime...Prime is a bit deceptive because Prime is linked into so much other stuff so what is the "Prime Video" number? I don't know. But Prime is linked to the biggest online retailer in the world so it's hardly a fair comparison. Disney is a fucking worldwide global brand with some of the biggest brands in the world.
Netflix is the only fair comparison but Netflix got here by being first before anyone else entered the scene for years and had a ton of content before everyone thought "huh, subs are cool, I'll make my own" and ripped them from Netflix but now people are entrenched in the Netflix system and they still make some great shows and provide hundreds of over filler to keep people endlessly occupied which is easier to do for the reasons I listed above.
If anything I would say that 100m subs for Game Pass is the absolute peak it will ever achieve, not a target goal, Lol. I'd say more like, if all things went perfectly and Game Pass was also on PlayStation and Steam, I would put the goal at around 60-80m.
Last edited by Ryuu96 - on 07 May 2024