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Forums - Politics Discussion - Russia and Ukraine flashpoint

shavenferret on 05 December 2024
drkohler said:
Ryuu96 said:

Tbf I bet they were starving in North Korea too.

Actually it is well known that any food deliveries to North Korea are routed to the military first and foremost.

Gotta keep your soldiers well-fed is one of the first rules for dictators trying to stay on top (of the food chain as well in the case of Kim, just by looking at him).

This could be the result of corruption or supply chain issues.  Either way, it's great for Ukraine.  I've done fasting (or even just restricted calorie diets) before and the worst thing about it is that it leaves you unmotivated to do anything and without energy.  That will make for horrible soldiers.

Last edited by shavenferret - on 05 December 2024

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shavenferret on 05 December 2024

Hungary to lose €1B in EU funds by year-end
Cash allocated for poorer regions will be gone for good unless Hungary completes reforms asked by the Commission.

https://www.politico.eu/article/hungary-lose-1-billion-eu-fund-commission-viktor-orban/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Orban will be hated in Hungary just like Trump will be in the states



BFR on 05 December 2024


Bofferbrauer2 on 05 December 2024
Ryuu96 said:

Wtf? Can't be true, is Assad planning a final stand at Damascus and will rely on Iran to save his ass? Homs falls and Assad is cut off from Russia's Syrian bases. Assad is looking scared to consolidate all his forces into Damascus.

News channel related to the rebel forces are reporting that the SAA has left the city of Salamiyah and the city is currently controlled by residents who are now in close contact with rebel forces to hand over control.

[image or embed]

— NOELREPORTS (@noelreports.com) 5 December 2024 at 15:24

Salamiyah is full of Ismailis, which should be ideologically opposed to HTS and yet...

This feels like a complete rejection of Assad's regime.

Rebels are in Talbiseh, with Hama and Salamiyah they have two routes into Homs.

How long until Russia abandons Assad? They have bases still manned and firing at HTS.

This is a complete disaster for Assad and Russia if this continues at this rate.

At this rate the rebels will be able to do within 14 days what they couldn't do before in 14 years, crazy, how fast they advance!



The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/ 

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

shavenferret on 05 December 2024

EU prepared to step in if Trump withdraws from $50 billion Ukraine loan, official says

https://kyivindependent.com/eu-prepared-to-step-in-if-us-withdraws-from-50-billion-ukraine-loan/



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Bofferbrauer2 on 05 December 2024
shavenferret said:

Even after doubling its sign-on bonus payment, the Russian army’s recruitment rate is falling. Losses may now outpace new enlistments.

https://meduza.io/en/feature/2024/12/04/even-after-doubling-its-sign-on-bonus-payment-the-russian-army-s-recruitment-rate-is-falling-losses-may-now-outpace-new-enlistments

So at this rate, Putin will soon be forced to call in the dreaded general mobilization, knowing all too well that he swore not doing so and that Russians will hate him for it.

Worse, since Russia has effectively full employment, calling in a general mobilization would maybe fill the ranks with fresh meat - but at the same time drain the Homefront of manpower it also desperately needs to support the war effort with military hardware.

And to make the matter even worse, due to the crashing population growth post-Soviet Union, Russia would run headlong into the same problem that Zelensky faces and why he doesn't want to call in the 18-25 year old: If Russia would call in a general mobilization, Putin would effectively send the future of Russia straight into battle, and if Ukraine can hold the wave then Russia will just have depleted itself of ethnic Russians with the mobilization.



The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/ 

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

shavenferret on 06 December 2024
Bofferbrauer2 said:
shavenferret said:

Even after doubling its sign-on bonus payment, the Russian army’s recruitment rate is falling. Losses may now outpace new enlistments.

https://meduza.io/en/feature/2024/12/04/even-after-doubling-its-sign-on-bonus-payment-the-russian-army-s-recruitment-rate-is-falling-losses-may-now-outpace-new-enlistments

So at this rate, Putin will soon be forced to call in the dreaded general mobilization, knowing all too well that he swore not doing so and that Russians will hate him for it.

Worse, since Russia has effectively full employment, calling in a general mobilization would maybe fill the ranks with fresh meat - but at the same time drain the Homefront of manpower it also desperately needs to support the war effort with military hardware.

And to make the matter even worse, due to the crashing population growth post-Soviet Union, Russia would run headlong into the same problem that Zelensky faces and why he doesn't want to call in the 18-25 year old: If Russia would call in a general mobilization, Putin would effectively send the future of Russia straight into battle, and if Ukraine can hold the wave then Russia will just have depleted itself of ethnic Russians with the mobilization.

Yeah!  This war has really brought to mind how economics is known as the "dismal science".  These nations only have hard choices to make and it will hurt whichever way they choose it's just which kind of pain they want to avoid is the question.  

Keep pushing Ukraine!  If they can ramp up missile production, then important logistic/headquarters/ammo dumps/etc targets can finally start getting knocked out.  That *could* turn the tide before the lack of U.S. help (and Bradleys or whatever run out) makes Ukraine want to give up.       



shavenferret on 06 December 2024



BFR on 06 December 2024



BFR on 06 December 2024