Russia and Ukraine flashpoint

Ryuu96

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Ryuu96 on 15 August 2024

🔥✈️ Russian Tu-22M3 bomber crashed in the Cheremkhiv district of the Irkutsk region, Russia pic.twitter.com/dEhKkNzUmR
— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) August 15, 2024

The AFU entered the village of Vyazovo (Belgorod region), which is located 3 kilometers from the Kolotilovka checkpoint. pic.twitter.com/JRze4Lr5KX
— ✙ Albina Fella ✙ 🇺🇦🇬🇧🇫🇷🇩🇪🇵🇱🇺🇸🇨🇦🇦🇺 (@albafella1) August 15, 2024

Loss of a Ukrainian HIMARS in the Sumy region. Reportedly struck by Iskander after being followed by a Russian UAV for a while. pic.twitter.com/WQglLy8bLP
— NOELREPORTS 🇪🇺 🇺🇦 (@NOELreports) August 15, 2024

Trophy T-90M "Breakthrough" "Pirozhok" in the Kursk direction pic.twitter.com/llwECxFNnM
— NOELREPORTS 🇪🇺 🇺🇦 (@NOELreports) August 15, 2024

“Since the beginning of the operation in the Kursk region, our troops have advanced 35km, taken control of an area of 1150 km2 and took control over 82 settlements,” commander in chief Syrskyi said.

He added that today, the AFU advanced 1,5km. pic.twitter.com/lfHOlZG3EA
— NOELREPORTS 🇪🇺 🇺🇦 (@NOELreports) August 15, 2024

Ryuu96

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Ryuu96 on 15 August 2024

2/ Russia adapts if given time. Russia does not pivot rapidly, however, in part because of Putin’s risk aversion. Putin has proven to be decisive but not extemporaneous. His boldest moves followed deliberate preparation, which the West often ignored or missed. Putin has…
— Nataliya Bugayova (@nataliabugayova) August 15, 2024

4/Russia depends on the will of others more than many people realize. A lot of Russia’s capability to sustain the war in Ukraine is not inherent and is, therefore, vulnerable. The Kremlin acquired some of its capabilities by force, manipulation, or by exploiting Western resources…
— Nataliya Bugayova (@nataliabugayova) August 15, 2024

6/US persistence and momentum are key to denying Russia the ability to sustain its war against Ukraine. An effective campaign would seek to degrade, disrupt, and destroy the Kremlin’s capability and sources of capability to sustain the war in Ukraine across theaters, in multiple…
— Nataliya Bugayova (@nataliabugayova) August 15, 2024

Ryuu96

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Ryuu96 on 15 August 2024

NEW: US considering sending a new long-range cruise missile to Ukraine, would give Kyiv more range from its F-16s. w/ @ErinBanco @reporterjoe https://t.co/UhJhYhety4
— Paul McLeary (@paulmcleary) August 15, 2024

The White House’s willingness to give Ukraine the Joint Air-to-Surface Standoff Missile comes as Kyiv’s surprisingly successful ground assault deep inside Russia heads into its second week, embarrassing Vladimir Putin and forcing him to redirect troops from the battlefield in Ukraine.

No final decision has been made on sending the missile, but the administration is working through the complicated details now, according to one Biden administration official. Those issues include reviews of the transfer of sensitive technologies, and ensuring Ukraine’s jets can launch the 2,400-pound missile that carries a 1,000-pound warhead.

Missile maker Lockheed Martin has delivered over 4,100 JASSMs in various configurations to the U.S. Air Force and allies over the years, with a new production line in Alabama churning out around 45 missiles a month to reach a stockpile goal of 7,200 missiles, according to Pentagon data.

===

Storm Shadow - 450kg Warhead / 300km Range.
JASSM - 450kg Warhead / 370km Range.

Send JASSM but lift the restrictions at the same time, they may be some airfields still in use within range.

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Jumpin on 15 August 2024

Ryuu96 said:

The war comes home to Russia, and Russians fleeing the Kursk incursion say Putin abandoned them. “We were left alone. With children, without shelter, without money. Our kids are afraid to sleep at night.”
Reporting from @NastyaStognei @polinaivanovva.https://t.co/pkiS1AlFui
— Christopher Miller (@ChristopherJM) August 14, 2024

Removal of the Russian flag by Ukrainian military in Vnezapnoe, Kursk region pic.twitter.com/X76IF7dolw
— Special Kherson Cat ðŸˆðŸ‡ºðŸ‡¦ (@bayraktar_1love) August 14, 2024

“There are currently upwards of 10,000 Ukrainian troops inside Kursk Oblast, the retired officer said. They are in Russia on a rotational basis, depending on the security situation elsewhere.”https://t.co/VPWmVMGxyM
— CJ (@CasualArtyFan) August 14, 2024

ðŸ‡ºðŸ‡¦ Wow!!! the Ukrainian Armed Forces have announced that they have captured a complete electronic Russian ‘Volnorez’ drone jamming kit near Kursk, along with all technical documentation ðŸ«¡ pic.twitter.com/QTvL1U6A5W
— Intermarium 24 (@intermarium24) August 14, 2024

“Due to difficulties with train traffic, Russian Railways has stopped accepting trains from Belarus in the direction of the Kursk and Smolensk regions, the Belarusian Railway Workers' Community (BRC) reports, citing industry sources.”
— Olga Lautman ðŸ‡ºðŸ‡¦ (@OlgaNYC1211) August 14, 2024

So the trains under this type of regime don't run on time after all.

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Jumpin

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Jumpin on 15 August 2024

Ryuu96 said:

Lukashenko stated that Ukrainians, Russians, and Belarusians do not want the war. Additionally, he mentioned that Belarus will not use nuclear weapons unless the enemy crosses the border of the Union State (a political union of Russia and Belarus), in which case the response… pic.twitter.com/5vW5wnNEUX
— NOELREPORTS ðŸ‡ªðŸ‡º ðŸ‡ºðŸ‡¦ (@NOELreports) August 15, 2024

Lmao. Lukashenko is about a few days late.

Do their nukes even work?

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Ryuu96

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Ryuu96 on 15 August 2024

Jumpin said:

Ryuu96 said:

Lukashenko stated that Ukrainians, Russians, and Belarusians do not want the war. Additionally, he mentioned that Belarus will not use nuclear weapons unless the enemy crosses the border of the Union State (a political union of Russia and Belarus), in which case the response… pic.twitter.com/5vW5wnNEUX
— NOELREPORTS ðŸ‡ªðŸ‡º ðŸ‡ºðŸ‡¦ (@NOELreports) August 15, 2024

Lmao. Lukashenko is about a few days late.

Do their nukes even work?

Belarus doesn't even have nukes AFAIK. They just house Russian ones, Lol.

So even his comment about Belarus "will not use nuclear weapons unless..." is irrelevant, it ain't up to him.

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Bofferbrauer2 on 15 August 2024

Jumpin said:

Ryuu96 said:

“Due to difficulties with train traffic, Russian Railways has stopped accepting trains from Belarus in the direction of the Kursk and Smolensk regions, the Belarusian Railway Workers' Community (BRC) reports, citing industry sources.”
— Olga Lautman ðŸ‡ºðŸ‡¦ (@OlgaNYC1211) August 14, 2024

So the trains under this type of regime don't run on time after all.

Putin ain't as brilliant as Mussolini to make this work

Last edited by Bofferbrauer2 - on 15 August 2024

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Ryuu96

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Ryuu96 on 15 August 2024

The DOD just announced a $130 million contract for Lockheed Martin to increase JASSM and LRASM missile production.

This comes hours after Politico reported that the US is "open" to supplying Ukraine with JASSM air launched cruise missiles. https://t.co/RdUVaPgz2E pic.twitter.com/rp4fXMVrjm
— OSINTtechnical (@Osinttechnical) August 15, 2024

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shavenferret on 16 August 2024

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Jumpin

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Jumpin on 16 August 2024

Does anyone have any well written articles about the China-Russia situation?
From what I've been hearing, China in the past few months, especially in the past two weeks, have been distancing themselves and cutting economic ties to Russia while improving their relations with the west, such as cutting off ties between Chinese suppliers and organized crime.
This is linked to the improving economic situations in the West this year versus the worsening economic situation in Russia and China.

That's the gist of what I've been hearing, but I can't find any good sources that draws it all together. Just a lot of wordy-articles that report these things in isolation.

I describe myself as a little dose of toxic masculinity.

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