SecondWar said:
They also need some (albeit a smaller amount) on the border with Moldova to cover the risk of the Russian troops stationed in Transnistria launching an attack. That said, I think it only something like 1500 troops Russia has in Transnistria and its not like they can bolster or resupply that garrison. Would ultimately be more a raid or diversion if they did attack but still something Ukraine needs to keep an eye on. |
Honestly Transnistria attacking would likely benefit Ukraine long term, Ukraine has straight up told Moldova multiple times before that they would sort out Transnistria for them. The troops stationed in Transnistria are nothing more than a bunch of minor annoyances with limited support, cut off and all neatly packed together, Ukraine would make quick work of them with a couple of HIMARS strikes and then can finally move shit away from the Transnistria border.
Moldova doesn't want that of course because they are afraid of conflict spilling over into the rest of Moldova, and Russia would probably whine at Moldova and accuse them of helping Ukraine attack Russia and then start trying to bully Moldova too. Also IIRC a lot of ammo is packed in Transnistria so the explosions could be huge and devastating.
Last edited by Ryuu96 - on 17 October 2023