TV channels have been hacked in Crimea and are showing the Ukrainian counteroffensive video. pic.twitter.com/G9GZyTuTiT
— Global: Military-Info (@Global_Mil_Info) June 4, 2023
TV channels have been hacked in Crimea and are showing the Ukrainian counteroffensive video. pic.twitter.com/G9GZyTuTiT
— Global: Military-Info (@Global_Mil_Info) June 4, 2023
"The entire United Russia government, represented by Governor Gladkov, frightenedly sat out in cozy offices, leaving their people in our captivity" - RVC and Legion "Freedom of Russia"
— MAKS 23 👀🇺🇦 (@Maks_NAFO_FELLA) June 4, 2023
"We transfer the prisoners to the exchange fund of the Ukrainian side..."
BRAVO 👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻 pic.twitter.com/5HPkZ2k782
And now Wagner is capturing Commanders of the Russian Army.
What a fucking embarrassment for Shoigu, surely he has no choice but to respond.
PMC Wagner detained and interrogated no other but the commander of the 72nd Brigade, Roman Venevitin. Wagner and the 72nd Brigade shared positions in Bakhmut.
— Dmitri (@wartranslated) June 4, 2023
They detained the man, beat him, broke his nose, and forced to record a video admitting to firing at a car of PMC… pic.twitter.com/BY3PhEV60q
PMC Wagner detained and interrogated no other but the commander of the 72nd Brigade, Roman Venevitin. Wagner and the 72nd Brigade shared positions in Bakhmut.
They detained the man, beat him, broke his nose, and forced to record a video admitting to firing at a car of PMC Wagner due to "personal animosity" towards them.
They accuse him of being drunk while doing so, speaking to him as if he is a subordinate. This is a complete demoralisation of the Russian Armed Forces who should not be any close to tolerating such behaviour of a PMC.
Last edited by Ryuu96 - on 04 June 2023Ramzan Kadyrov says he has 70,000 fully equipped and spetsnaz-trained troops in Ukraine and offers his help in Belgorod. Aside from Russian MoD and PMC Wagner, there is a third side in this internal conflict, Kadyrov, who has beef with Prigozhin. Whether he actually has these… pic.twitter.com/AaM9NTVdFX
— Dmitri (@wartranslated) June 4, 2023
70,000? Where has he been hiding them all this time? Lmfao. Bullshit.
Probably has more TikTok producers than actual soldiers.
Russian losses per 05/06/23 reported by the Ukrainian general staff.
— NOELREPORTS 🇪🇺 🇺🇦 (@NOELreports) June 5, 2023
+410 men
+11 tanks
+11 AFVs
+12 artillery pieces
+1 MLRS
+5 (!) AD systems
+14 UAVs
+4 cruise missiles pic.twitter.com/Q0MaetzCEU
Russia ‘buying back’ arms parts exported to Myanmar and India https://t.co/LCboaZVjs3
— Andy Sharp (@sharp_writing) June 5, 2023
EXCLUSIVE: A purported arms contract seen by @SkyNews offers the first hard evidence that Iran has sold ammunition to Russia for its war in Ukraine, an informed security source has claimed.
— Deborah Haynes (@haynesdeborah) June 5, 2023
1/https://t.co/qDp91PZTqt
And so begins the Russian panic-posting https://t.co/39sFuV9HQk pic.twitter.com/tEPUpZaKkk
— OSINTtechnical (@Osinttechnical) June 4, 2023
Update:
— War Mapper (@War_Mapper) June 5, 2023
🇺🇦 have retaken the settlement of Novodarivka.
Russian sources indicate that Neskuchne (to the east) may have also been retaken by 🇺🇦 forces. pic.twitter.com/WO8bN3aCQL
A Russian Telegram channel says Ukrainian forces are attacking in the Soledar area. https://t.co/IFtkrg1tpJ pic.twitter.com/VnMGq3QX9c
— Rob Lee (@RALee85) June 5, 2023
Commander of the pro-Russian Vostok Battalion Alexander Khodakosvsky commenting on the situation https://t.co/TNmmObfsj7 pic.twitter.com/tFZ1ZOflWI
— Faytuks News Δ (@Faytuks) June 5, 2023
Pro-Russian Wargonzo is reporting a new Ukrainian attack near Velyka Novosilka, Donetsk oblast
— Faytuks News Δ (@Faytuks) June 5, 2023
"This time the news is much more disturbing. The Armed Forces of Ukraine managed to form a much more serious armored fist"https://t.co/HLNK9pRmSX pic.twitter.com/tiuVOQllZS
Russian mil blogger War Gonzo wrote on Telegram a couple of hours ago that situation on southern Donetsk front (Velyka Novosilka - Vuhledar) grows 'more alarming by the hour' pic.twitter.com/tDh9Epn56X
— Dan Sabbagh (@dansabbagh) June 5, 2023
Real Russian Patriots making progress destroying the remnants of the Russian army IN RUSSIA. https://t.co/CWjOnu7wSV
— Jay in Kyiv (@JayinKyiv) June 5, 2023
I will know the counter offensive has started for real when I see the first drone footage of a Challenger 2 sending a Russian tank into the underworld using depleted uranium rounds.
— Dmitri (@wartranslated) June 4, 2023
Sort of just sitting around waiting for the Russian milbloggers to start panicking and calling for air support over Telegram.
— OSINTtechnical (@Osinttechnical) June 5, 2023
Right now I’m still seeing shaping operations, light mech/motorized units conducting reconnaissance in force, rear area activities and other actions aimed at preparing a larger movement for success.
— OSINTtechnical (@Osinttechnical) June 5, 2023
The Ukrainians have a qualitative ISR advantage, I expect them to use it.
Wagner chief Prigozhin says that parts of Berhivka, north of Bakhmut, have been re-captured by Ukrainian forces pic.twitter.com/uxcwNdFX1L
— Faytuks News Δ (@Faytuks) June 5, 2023
A Russian media claims:
— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) June 5, 2023
"Putin stopped receiving bad news reports, especially about the war, because of his "extremely irritated" reaction to those reports.
According to an insider familiar with the situation, Putin reacted to reports containing the actual situation in the… pic.twitter.com/ucfXa6KXJw
What looks like abandoned UA MaxxPro, most likely from the attack yesterday towards Neskuchne. It seems pretty loud around there. https://t.co/bxYmyYqfjv pic.twitter.com/0ZpHGPEtax
— Def Mon (@DefMon3) June 5, 2023
Reliable info. https://t.co/pKkUEmIbMl
— Def Mon (@DefMon3) June 5, 2023
"A Western official with knowledge of the situation says that Ukraine advanced in the area by up to five or six kilometres."https://t.co/M576focf1S pic.twitter.com/VfChLoNZoa
— Rob Lee (@RALee85) June 5, 2023
For months a guessing game has played out in military circles worldwide: where and when would Ukraine conduct its counter-offensive? Most expected it to come through Zaporizhia province, in the south of the country, perhaps directed at the city of Melitopol, with the aim of cutting the “land bridge” seized by Russian troops at the start of the war that connects occupied Crimea with Russia itself. Western officials had expected the offensive to begin two weeks ago, and some were getting impatient.
On June 4th—two days before the anniversary of D-Day, the start of the liberation of Europe from the Nazis—Ukrainian forces launched what Russia’s defence ministry called a “large-scale” assault on five axes in the south-east of Donetsk province, in eastern Ukraine. Some of them may indeed threaten the land bridge; others were further to the north. Western officials tell The Economist that this does in fact mark the start of the offensive, with attacks also under way on other parts of the front. Yet the cream of Ukraine’s forces has not yet appeared on the battlefield.
One Ukrainian attack took place around Velyka Novosilka, a minor settlement south-west of Donetsk city. Alexander Khodakovsky, commander of a Russian militia in Donetsk, said that Ukraine had followed up that attack by pretending to pull its forces back and then striking later at Novodonetske, around 12km to the south-east. The Ukrainians had conducted a successful assault with a limited strike force of just ten armoured vehicles, he said, adding that they had also disrupted Russian communications. Russia’s defence ministry said that Ukraine had thrown its 23rd and 31st mechanised brigades, including two tank battalions, at the front.
There have been advances elsewhere, too. Ukrainian forces are understood to have regained territory in the western and northern suburbs of Bakhmut, a town in Donetsk that has been the locus of fighting for much of the past year. Other reports suggested that there was further fighting in the direction of Soledar, just north of Bakhmut. Russia claimed that the ground assaults had been repulsed, inflicting heavy losses on Ukraine.
In fact Ukrainian troops were in Novodonetske by the morning of June 5th, says a Ukrainian source. “News from the…front line is becoming more alarming by the hour,” wrote one popular Russian Telegram channel. A Western official with knowledge of the situation says that Ukraine advanced in the area by up to five or six kilometres. But while Russia’s defence ministry was mounting its media campaign—hailing the role of General Valery Gerasimov, Russia’s top commander, in the defensive operation—Ukraine’s government has maintained a policy of information lockdown.
American and European military officials advising Ukraine say that Russia’s defensive lines could be more fragile than thought, and that a fast, violent assault is the best way to minimise casualties on the Ukrainian sides and deny Russian forces the opportunity to reinforce the site of any breakthrough. They suspect that Ukraine has been too cautious in the past, notably during last year’s offensive in Kherson province, where its troops, despite the eventual liberation of Kherson city, allowed thousands of Russian forces to escape with their equipment.
If Ukraine does intend to reinforce its attacks in Donetsk, it would suggest a slightly more easterly axis of advance than many had supposed. Velyka Novosilka lies around 120km north of Berdyansk, a key port on the Sea of Azov, and part of the land bridge between Russia and Crimea. A southward thrust in Donetsk could also threaten Mariupol, the port city captured and razed by Russia last year. Russian defences are slightly thinner in Donetsk than in Zaporizhia. Many of Russia’s diminished reserves, particularly those from the VDV airborne forces, have also been dragged north to Bakhmut in recent days, probably opening up gaps elsewhere on the front. Ongoing cross-border raids by Ukraine-backed militia into Russia’s Belgorod region, opening up hundreds of kilometres of additional frontlines, have also proved a useful distraction.
However, Ukraine’s main effort is probably still to come. With the total length of the front around 900km and 12 offensive brigades at its disposal, Ukraine cannot afford to spread itself too thin. It will have to find the best places to break Russian lines along a narrow segment of the front. The task, some Western advisers say, is to force Russia to defend a number of areas at once, stretching its units thin. Russia cannot defend the entire length of the front equally. At this stage Ukraine is still probing Russian forces, looking for vulnerabilities—or creating them—before committing its strongest units.
Images on social media appeared to show an American-supplied MaxxPro armoured vehicle abandoned near Neskuchne, immediately south-west of Velyka Novosilka. But although the 23rd and 31st brigades have benefited from Western equipment, they are not among the nine Western-supplied and trained brigades that Ukraine has built up over the last six months for the purposes of spearheading an offensive. Those units are equipped with Western tanks and engineering equipment to break through the multi-layered trenches, minefields and fortifications that stretch across Ukraine’s south and east. When they appear in force, there will be no room for ambiguity over whether or not the offensive has started in earnest.