Never mind me, I'm just posting this to get this back in my VGC Buddy after not posting here in a while.

To say something on the topic as well, I guess I could say that the current situation is kind of interesting but also kind of boring. The situation on the battlefield seems fairly stable, but there's something going on with the peace negotiations. It looks like typical theatre to me in that everyone's playing but it's not likely to yield any actual results because Russia doesn't seem like it could care less about ending the war in any way that doesn't end in Ukraine practically losing its sovereignty, but who knows.

Russian oil giant Lukoil seeks state aid as oil prices fall 50%


https://www.reddit.com/r/UkrainianConflict/s/9h3tLc3hY5

Russia's defense industry is unable to meet its Tu series defense contracts and the Tupalov company has been sued/fined by mother Russia for several billion rubles for failure to meet its contracts.

Strategic bombers have tge highest threshold of quality bc they have the best pilots and Russia doesn't want a nuke being dropped accidentally onto a Russian city if the plane failed in say a training run. I realize that the atomic bombs have to be armed, but they can still leak radiation if the drop and hit the ground hard. So, these drone attacks and sanctions of critical parts that these bumfvck Russians can't make for themselves are killing the industry for strategic bombers.

https://www.reddit.com/r/UkrainianConflict/s/4YHkAjFxFY

Russian Jets Keep Failing Mid-Flight—Fourth Emergency Landing in Seven Days

https://united24media.com/latest-news/russian-jets-keep-failing-mid-flight-fourth-emergency-landing-in-seven-days-15405

Watch the moment Ukrainian drones tear into Russia’s airfields, destroying 15 aircraft and causing $1bn in losses

https://www.lbc.co.uk/article/ukraine-drone-attack-russia-5HjdRYg_2/

The orcs lost about 900 troops daily at this time last year but lately the average is about 1200 a day. This is bc of several reasons, lack of tanks and armor on russia's side, Ukrainian artillery, and drones. The new land drone are great as well because they are harder to spot than a tall human walking. Russia will have to make a decision to either become eradicated, pull out, or mobilize troops in a draft which they are reluctant to do.

Zelensky wants to have 50,000 casualties a month and this would mean that they would have to kill or severely injure 1666 orcs a day. I think that we can edge this number up but when it gets that high Putin will have to sue for peace

https://www.reddit.com/r/UkrainianConflict/s/2dWfpgZixi

Will he? A decent chunk of men (on both sides it seems) appear to be foreign recruits. Putin can sacrifice as many foreigners as he likes, its inly really if there are mass casualties for the core of Russia (ie Moscow, St Petersburg etc) that he would really have a problem and thats why he’s avoid a mass mobilisation of people from those areas.

Russia actually still has a ton more armor. But they make more progress without those big targets. Russia took Pokrovsk and some smaller cities on the frontline by funneling troops in at night and when enough survived, they could make large advances. Problem for Russia now is the frontline has less cities and more plains, much easier for the drones to target small crawling troops. This is why Zelensky aims for an increase of casualties, because it will be very likely if Russia continues with the same tactics.

At some point the Russian army ( in Ukraine at least) is going to fall apart and it will take less effort by Ukraine to keep inflicting damage on the Russians. 

Right but the rest of their armor is tied up in units stationed around their nation. They can't really cannibalize unite meant to ward off the Chinese, for example. And yeah, totally agree with the point on terrain. Cities hide troops from drones to an extent, which is great for Russia.