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Forums - Sales - The Road to 160m+ for Nintendo Switch (EDIT: See mod note in first post for new rule).

znake said:

Tomodachi is coming

Its last stand.

It could do wonders in Japan.

Nintendo switch needs another 5m units sold. 50%  of that  coming  just from Japan-Asia, opens the way wide for Nintendo switch achieving this feat. 

However, tomodachi must be combined with Nintendo Switch lite price drop near 3DSXL levels. 



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Yes, we need a discount os Switch 1 + Tomodachi Switch 1 & 2 bundle version



Tomodachi Life is the 10th best selling game on the 3DS.  This is an impressive feat considering it outsold every Zelda game on the 3DS including Ocarina and Link Between Worlds.

Considering how popular the Switch is I think this next Tomodachi game is going to sell a whole lot of software, at least double what Tomodachi Life did.  It might even be Nintendo's best selling title this year including all Switch 2 and cross-gen titles.  What is uncertain is if this will actually translate to any Switch 1 hardware sales.  It's a different enough title that it could actually sell some hardware.  On the other hand it may simply translate to no significant hardware boost like every other major Switch title released during the past couple of years.

I see Tomodachi as kind of a wildcard with regard to hardware sales.

Last edited by The_Liquid_Laser - on 21 January 2026

The_Liquid_Laser said:

Tomodachi Life is the 10th best selling game on the 3DS.  This is an impressive feat considering it outsold every Zelda game on the 3DS including Ocarina and Link Between Worlds.

Considering how popular the Switch is I think this next Tomodachi game is going to sell a whole lot of software, at least double what Tomodachi Life did.  It might even be Nintendo's best selling title this year including all Switch 2 and cross-gen titles.  What is uncertain is if this will actually translate to any Switch 1 hardware sales.  It's a different enough title that it could actually sell some hardware.  On the other hand it may simply translate to no significant hardware boost like every other major Switch title released during the past couple of years.

I see Tomodachi as kind of a wildcard with regard to hardware sales.

Ehhh, I don’t know about that.

Hardware sales - I don’t think it will have any effect at all.

Software sales - The thing to remember is that Tomodachi Life on 3DS came out right when the 3DS was at its peak - 2013 in Japan; 2014, everywhere else.

Living the Dream is coming out on Switch 1 roughly one year AFTER Switch 2 released and now Switch 1 is on its way out. The only way I see this game reaching or passing Life’s sales on 3DS is if it gets a Switch 2 edition later on - About a year or so later, to extend its life cycle. 

Otherwise, I think anyone who’s expecting Living The Dream to catch or surpass Life is going to be disappointed.



Tomodachi Life: Living the Dream is coming for 800,000 debut sales in Japan for Switch 1 only and who knows, 200,000 for Switch 2 version

Nintendo better promote in the next Direct



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PAOerfulone said:
The_Liquid_Laser said:

Tomodachi Life is the 10th best selling game on the 3DS.  This is an impressive feat considering it outsold every Zelda game on the 3DS including Ocarina and Link Between Worlds.

Considering how popular the Switch is I think this next Tomodachi game is going to sell a whole lot of software, at least double what Tomodachi Life did.  It might even be Nintendo's best selling title this year including all Switch 2 and cross-gen titles.  What is uncertain is if this will actually translate to any Switch 1 hardware sales.  It's a different enough title that it could actually sell some hardware.  On the other hand it may simply translate to no significant hardware boost like every other major Switch title released during the past couple of years.

I see Tomodachi as kind of a wildcard with regard to hardware sales.

Ehhh, I don’t know about that.

Hardware sales - I don’t think it will have any effect at all.

Software sales - The thing to remember is that Tomodachi Life on 3DS came out right when the 3DS was at its peak - 2013 in Japan; 2014, everywhere else.

Living the Dream is coming out on Switch 1 roughly one year AFTER Switch 2 released and now Switch 1 is on its way out. The only way I see this game reaching or passing Life’s sales on 3DS is if it gets a Switch 2 edition later on - About a year or so later, to extend its life cycle. 

Otherwise, I think anyone who’s expecting Living The Dream to catch or surpass Life is going to be disappointed.

Why isn't the game getting a Switch 2 edition/patch at launch like Metroid and Pokemon? Is this confirmed or just an assumption?



Kyuu said:
PAOerfulone said:

Ehhh, I don’t know about that.

Hardware sales - I don’t think it will have any effect at all.

Software sales - The thing to remember is that Tomodachi Life on 3DS came out right when the 3DS was at its peak - 2013 in Japan; 2014, everywhere else.

Living the Dream is coming out on Switch 1 roughly one year AFTER Switch 2 released and now Switch 1 is on its way out. The only way I see this game reaching or passing Life’s sales on 3DS is if it gets a Switch 2 edition later on - About a year or so later, to extend its life cycle. 

Otherwise, I think anyone who’s expecting Living The Dream to catch or surpass Life is going to be disappointed.

Why isn't the game getting a Switch 2 edition/patch at launch like Metroid and Pokemon? Is this confirmed or just an assumption?

It is very likely getting a Switch 2 Edition at launch, though Nintendo’s saving the announcement for the next direct. We didn’t know Pokémon Z-A was getting a Switch 2 Edition, for instance, until closer to launch.



I know I said I wasn’t gonna comment too much on this topic… but VGChartz estimates have NS1 having sold only 1.1mil this holiday quarter (October through December), whereas NS2 is already at >6mil.

Methinks NS2 is too successful for NS1 to maintain legs; NS1 seeing an 80% YoY decline is much larger than usual for a system after having been replaced. That said, I’m calling it now: Switch 1 won’t hit 160mil. Maybe the fiscal report will surprise us all, but it’s not looking good.

Switch 1 had a solid run! It’s incredible there was even discussion of it surpassing PS2 w/o a single price cut.



firebush03 said:

I know I said I wasn’t gonna comment too much on this topic… but VGChartz estimates have NS1 having sold only 1.1mil this holiday quarter (October through December), whereas NS2 is already at >6mil.

Methinks NS2 is too successful for NS1 to maintain legs; NS1 seeing an 80% YoY decline is much larger than usual for a system after having been replaced. That said, I’m calling it now: Switch 1 won’t hit 160mil. Maybe the fiscal report will surprise us all, but it’s not looking good.

Switch 1 had a solid run! It’s incredible there was even discussion of it surpassing PS2 w/o a single price cut.

We haven't posted Europe numbers for December yet. 



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTube channel discussing gaming sales and news, as well as posting random gaming content. Follow me on Bluesky.

I post and adjust the VGChartz hardware estimates, with help from Machina.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Monthly Hardware Breakdown Monthly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

trunkswd said:
firebush03 said:

I know I said I wasn’t gonna comment too much on this topic… but VGChartz estimates have NS1 having sold only 1.1mil this holiday quarter (October through December), whereas NS2 is already at >6mil.

Methinks NS2 is too successful for NS1 to maintain legs; NS1 seeing an 80% YoY decline is much larger than usual for a system after having been replaced. That said, I’m calling it now: Switch 1 won’t hit 160mil. Maybe the fiscal report will surprise us all, but it’s not looking good.

Switch 1 had a solid run! It’s incredible there was even discussion of it surpassing PS2 w/o a single price cut.

We haven't posted Europe numbers for December yet. 

Yeah I think I'm confusing myself lol. So, is the data on the graphs JP+NA+(RoW-EU)? Because I'm seeing 3mil for the month of December on the hardware charts, whereas the table lists only just over 2mil for NS2.