This is true, but Xbox 360 is doing a good job taking lots of those fans from Sony, and that is all that Microsoft wants(to make a fanbase).

Alright, who stole Crazzy's username and password and posted something logical?

The only way the 360 will make 50m +, is if microsoft stop there free repair service, and every fool on the planet with more money than Sense buys a new 360 every time the old one RROD's. even then 50m is a bit of a strech. 35m max

Yes.

Starcraft has a point about MS wanting to stretch the lifetime of a profitable X360.

There will be 6 years between the PS3 and PS4 (which will be released Oct 2012), therefor the Xbox 3 won't have to launch until Oct 2011 and still be one year ahead of PS4.

This gives us roughly these sales for X360:
LTD 1/1 2008: 16 mill
2008: 9 mill (effectively the peak year)
2009: 9 mill (same sales as peak year thanks to low price and a new Halo)
2010: 8 mill
2011: 6 mill (much lower sales in anticipation for the Xbox3)
2012: 2 mill (after all, Xbox has a bad history of overlapping into the next gen)
----------------

=50 million

PS3: 65 mill
Wii: 130 mill

short answer: no

long answer: no.

i'd peg it at 30-40m gens end.

I'm curious about 2008 sales.  They're tracking 42% ahead of last year, right now, and last year MS sold 8 m 360s, which would suggest they will sell 12 m or so this year.  When do you believe 360 sales will drop so significantly that they will only achieve 9 m?

I'm not saying that sales won't drop, but I'm curious as to the reason you've determined. 

Huh? I thought it was 20% YoY according to VGchartz ... if you compare Jan-Apr '08 with '07 (but since I'm still afraid VGC is overtracking the X360 slightly, I rounded to 9 mill for the year).

 I'm bad at using the functions here aligning graphs and stuff... do you have evidence the X360 really is tracking ahead 42%?

EDIT:

05th Jan 2008 to 19th Apr 2008:

06th Jan 2007 to 21st Apr 2007:

So it's tracking 40% ahead YOY.

Okay, let's see.... if VGC is overtracking the X360 by 10% so far through the year, the 2.25 mill drops to 2.045 mill.

2.045 is 27% more than 1.610. But I believe this fall-Holiday sales will not have such a high rise compared to 2007's strong Holiday for MS. But 10 mill is reachable for the whole year (a 25% increase) thanks to GTA4 and the soon-to-be-come (?) NA price drop.

If I adjust my original lifetime X360 sales table to that, we get:

2008: 10 mill
2009: 10 mill
2010: 8.5 mill
2011: 6.5 mill
2012: 2 mill

-------------------

= 53 mill*

(Note: but if VGC is not overtracking the X360 by 10% as I believe, we'll land at lifetime 57 mill)

I wonder if the people saying it will do only 30 to 35 million are doing any math or just wild guessing it???

it's will sell more this year next year and the year after... just because the price will go down and more games will come... how come they would end up just doing 30 million

Yes.

Why so many posts and words, when this question can be answered with just one?

Sub 40 mill is idiocy. They're taking those numbers from their ass.