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Forums - Microsoft Discussion - Will XBox 360 reach 50 million?

It will hit 50Million and plus with Halo 4 to possibly hit in 09 sales will be high in 09 too. Already making profits and with more and more live subscriptions and less RROD they can charge lower than Wii and sell more consoles.



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i don't really see it



TO GOD BE THE GLORY

SaviorX said:

The 360 won't hit 50 million. It is in its 3rd year and didn't even pass 20 million yet.

I doubt that sales will double anytime soon and the Xbox360 won't sell more than 8 million units a year. Assuming that is true ( and I'm being generous) The 360 will hit 50 million in 3 1/2 years, 2012. By that time, the sales will not stay like they are now and will start trailing off anywhere (mid/late) in 09, if they are not slowing down behind the PS3 already. When I say trailing off, I mean:

  • 2008-will be at 23 million at the end (random)
  • 2009-30 million at the end
  • 2010-35.5 million at the end
  • 2011-40 million ATE
  • 2012- 42 million ATE


I think the most the 360 will get is like 37- 42 million at the end of this "generation".
The PS3 probably won't hit 50 million either, and if it does, probably not by much more than 3 million, and that means it'll truly be following that "10-year" plan.


Your prediction is laughable.

Only 23 million at the end of this year? The holiday season alone sells 4 million units, not to speak of the months that remain until Nov.

  1. June
  2. July
  3. August
  4. Sept
  5. Oct

The X360 sold over 3 million in the first 5 months of the year, why would June-Oct be weaker?

So if your 2008 number is already 3 million too low, there's no need to debunk your prediction further.





XBOX 360 will sell 36.0M thats why they called it the 360



PSWii60 owner! woot


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I don't really see how anyone can think that the 360 will hit 50 million. It's approaching its forth year, and is only just going to be past 20 million (about 23 million if my calculations are correct).  NOTE: This year is determined by launch date, not calendar years, so that's sometime in late November. Compare that to the Xbox and GameCube at a similar point in their lifes of 14.8 million (Xbox) and 14.2 million (GameCube), and then compare that to what their ending lifetime totals were: 24 million (Xbox), and 21 million (GameCube). The Xbox was cut short because of the problems of manufacturing it, but the GameCube wasn't cut short, and it actually did worse than the Xbox did over the last 2 years of their lifespans.

Also, the PS2 has been doing so well because it won the previous generation. If anyone thinks the GameCube would be doing as well as the PS2 is right now if Nintendo would have given it SSBB, SMG, and other such games, they have something else coming. The market leader always enjoys an extended lifespan, simply because it gets the majority of the games, especially in the later years of its life, making it a very nice option for those looking for a cheap system, one that has a good amount of games. The GameCube was cheap ($99 cheap) for a long time, but since it lacked the games, it didn't sell. The 360 isn't going to have a longer lifespan simply because Microsoft wants it to, and neither will the PS3.

I expect the 360 to sell for the next 4 years (end of 2012), and reach about 40 million max. You can see my (predicted) yearly sale breakdown in the spreadsheet files that you can download from my sig.

Edit: Fixed a few things... 



I think it will, but that depends on when next xbox will be out.



I think low to mid 40's is most likely, it's at 19 million after almost 3 years. I think 2008 will be the peak and sales will slowly dwindle.

As for those saying PS3 will reach 75M - 100M, i might as well say Wii will reach 200M.



Stever89

Geez man... I expect better than this from you. 40 mill max?

You cant just compare 3 years of sales - 23 mill X360 vs 15 mill Xbox and draw so much conclusions from just that.

You have to look at the circumstances around those numbers.

The Xbox was a desperate console that never got great game support.

The X360 has the BEST game support!

The life of X360 will be 2 years longer, and not only that, it will have extra lifetime beyond the Xbox 3 (not with great sales, but still something)

Also, price. The X360 is at $349 and the Xbox was at $179 at the comparable point in time (2004), and yet it's still selling better.

This gen just started.



2008:
Wii: 20.5m (40m)
PS3: 12m (23m)
360: 10m (26m)
2009:
Wii: 22m (62m)
PS3: 14m (37m)
360: 8m (34m)
2010:
Wii: 17m (79m)
PS3: 12m (49m)
360: 7m (41m)
2011:
Wii: 14m (93m)
PS3: 7m (56m)
360: 6m (47m)
2012:
Wii: 10m (103m)
PS3: 4m (60m)
360: 3m (50m)