SaviorX said:
The 360 won't hit 50 million. It is in its 3rd year and didn't even pass 20 million yet.
I doubt that sales will double anytime soon and the Xbox360 won't sell more than 8 million units a year. Assuming that is true ( and I'm being generous) The 360 will hit 50 million in 3 1/2 years, 2012. By that time, the sales will not stay like they are now and will start trailing off anywhere (mid/late) in 09, if they are not slowing down behind the PS3 already. When I say trailing off, I mean: - 2008-will be at 23 million at the end (random)
- 2009-30 million at the end
- 2010-35.5 million at the end
- 2011-40 million ATE
- 2012- 42 million ATE
I think the most the 360 will get is like 37- 42 million at the end of this "generation". The PS3 probably won't hit 50 million either, and if it does, probably not by much more than 3 million, and that means it'll truly be following that "10-year" plan.
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Your prediction is laughable.
Only 23 million at the end of this year? The holiday season alone sells 4 million units, not to speak of the months that remain until Nov.
June
July
August
Sept
Oct
The X360 sold over 3 million in the first 5 months of the year, why would June-Oct be weaker?
So if your 2008 number is already 3 million too low, there's no need to debunk your prediction further.