@javi741 I agree that a Spring 2023 release date is too soon (considering how big 2022 is shaping up to be), but I wouldn't expect a formal announcement more than a year ahead of time. Switch was announced early because of how bad 3DS & Wii U were doing. Like Sony & Microsoft with their 2 most recent systems, I feel like it would be in Nintendo's best interest to announce the system less than a year out from launch. So if it launches in Holiday 2024, I could see a 2024 announcement.

Tough poll because I think it's going to end right around 135m so it's either the option below or above lol.

140-145mil, maybe more.

My last prediction was 140 plus which is still on track but now looking a bit conservative tbh I think it can now hit 150m at least with the run it's having.

If it's drop curve follows wii's, between 150 and 165 million.
https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/245796/if-nintendo-switch-sales-drops-like-wii-in-2-analyzis/1/#1

It's weird there are still people in the 115 to 135 camp.

Anything below 135M at this point is clownish at this point tbh, don't know why people think it still won't surpass 135M lol.

Let me update my prediction to 150-160M, under the key assumption that the Switch 2 won't come out until 2024 (though reaching or getting close to 160M would require the successor to come out until late 2024 or later).

I think the 145m to 160m range is a safe bet.

21m (LT: 128m) by March 2023
14.7m (LT: 142.7m) by March 2024 (30% decline)
7m (LT: 149.7m) by March 2025 (50% decline)
Then sales slow down considerably maybe makes it to 155m-157m.

It still has Zelda and Splatoon left I don't think that 170 million is that far of a stretch. The console will sell as long as there is no Switch 2.