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Forums - Sales Discussion - February NPD 2019 thread

Geralt99 said:
Rough estimates:
Switch: 350k
PS4 : 250k
Xbone: 200k

We already have the numbers



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

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Did PS4 get any significant releases this Feb? I know Switch didn't.



curl-6 said:

Did PS4 get any significant releases this Feb? I know Switch didn't.

A handful of new releases like Metro Exodus, Far Cry: New Dawn, Jump Force & Anthem.

Mostly stuff that keeps the existing install base active rather than system sellers.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

zorg1000 said:
curl-6 said:

Did PS4 get any significant releases this Feb? I know Switch didn't.

A handful of new releases like Metro Exodus, Far Cry: New Dawn, Jump Force & Anthem.

Mostly stuff that keeps the existing install base active rather than system sellers.

Alrighty, how about for March-May?

Once June hits Switch has Mario Maker 2 to give it a boost but til then it only has the kind of games you describe, stuff like Yoshi, Mortal Kombat 11, Team Sonic Racing, and Hellblade, which will likely sell to the established base rather than inducing hardware purchases.



curl-6 said:
zorg1000 said:

A handful of new releases like Metro Exodus, Far Cry: New Dawn, Jump Force & Anthem.

Mostly stuff that keeps the existing install base active rather than system sellers.

Alrighty, how about for March-May?

Once June hits Switch has Mario Maker 2 to give it a boost but til then it only has the kind of games you describe, stuff like Yoshi, Mortal Kombat 11, Team Sonic Racing, and Hellblade, which will likely sell to the established base rather than inducing hardware purchases.

January

Ace Combat 7

Resident Evil 2 Remake

Kingdom Hearts 7

 

February

Metro Exodus

Far Cry: New Dawn

Anthem

 

March

Devil May Cry 5

The Division 2

Sekiro: Shadows Die Twice

 

April

Mortal Kombat 11

Days Gone

 

May

Rage 2

 

If those Jan/Feb titles didnt move hardware than I dont think the March-May titles will either. They will perform well but mostly to the existing audience.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

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zorg1000 said:
curl-6 said:

Alrighty, how about for March-May?

Once June hits Switch has Mario Maker 2 to give it a boost but til then it only has the kind of games you describe, stuff like Yoshi, Mortal Kombat 11, Team Sonic Racing, and Hellblade, which will likely sell to the established base rather than inducing hardware purchases.

January

Ace Combat 7

Resident Evil 2 Remake

Kingdom Hearts 7

 

February

Metro Exodus

Far Cry: New Dawn

Anthem

 

March

Devil May Cry 5

The Division 2

Sekiro: Shadows Die Twice

 

April

Mortal Kombat 11

Days Gone

 

May

Rage 2

 

If those Jan/Feb titles didnt move hardware than I dont think the March-May titles will either. They will perform well but mostly to the existing audience.

Hmmm, you're probably right. March does look pretty strong though with both Sekiro and DMC5 versus pretty much just Yoshi for the Switch. I'll be pleasantly impressed if Switch remains ahead for March NPD. April and May should be Switch wins, unless its momentum starts to stall from going so long without a system seller.



curl-6 said:
zorg1000 said:

January

Ace Combat 7

Resident Evil 2 Remake

Kingdom Hearts 7

 

February

Metro Exodus

Far Cry: New Dawn

Anthem

 

March

Devil May Cry 5

The Division 2

Sekiro: Shadows Die Twice

 

April

Mortal Kombat 11

Days Gone

 

May

Rage 2

 

If those Jan/Feb titles didnt move hardware than I dont think the March-May titles will either. They will perform well but mostly to the existing audience.

Hmmm, you're probably right. March does look pretty strong though with both Sekiro and DMC5 versus pretty much just Yoshi for the Switch. I'll be pleasantly impressed if Switch remains ahead for March NPD. April and May should be Switch wins, unless its momentum starts to stall from going so long without a system seller.

Sekiro & DMC5 will sell well but neither is likely to push any notable amount of hardware.

Also Benji said,

The Mario Day sales that have been taking place this week have had a notable impact on Switch hardware performance. Also a nice boost to the already strongly performing Nintendo 1st party Evergreen Titles. March is tracking to be another stellar month for Nintendo



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

zorg1000 said:
curl-6 said:

Hmmm, you're probably right. March does look pretty strong though with both Sekiro and DMC5 versus pretty much just Yoshi for the Switch. I'll be pleasantly impressed if Switch remains ahead for March NPD. April and May should be Switch wins, unless its momentum starts to stall from going so long without a system seller.

Sekiro & DMC5 will sell well but neither is likely to push any notable amount of hardware.

Also Benji said,

The Mario Day sales that have been taking place this week have had a notable impact on Switch hardware performance. Also a nice boost to the already strongly performing Nintendo 1st party Evergreen Titles. March is tracking to be another stellar month for Nintendo

That's awesome news. I just hope it can hold out until the cavalry arrives in June.



curl-6 said:
zorg1000 said:

Sekiro & DMC5 will sell well but neither is likely to push any notable amount of hardware.

Also Benji said,

The Mario Day sales that have been taking place this week have had a notable impact on Switch hardware performance. Also a nice boost to the already strongly performing Nintendo 1st party Evergreen Titles. March is tracking to be another stellar month for Nintendo

That's awesome news. I just hope it can hold out until the cavalry arrives in June.

It will be the same as last year, strong March followed by a dip in April/May then a big boost in June.

2018 numbers

Jan-270k

Feb-280k

March-310k

April-170k

May-165k

June-325k



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

zorg1000 said:
curl-6 said:

That's awesome news. I just hope it can hold out until the cavalry arrives in June.

It will be the same as last year, strong March followed by a dip in April/May then a big boost in June.

2018 numbers

Jan-270k

Feb-280k

March-310k

April-170k

May-165k

June-325k

I meant more along the lines of "can it stay ahead of PS4 in April and May". Thanks for the figures though; nice YOY increase this year so far.