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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Nintendo Switch in Japan: 2018 vs. 2019 - Final Results

wombat123 on 26 June 2019

It feels like the Switch revision is one of the worst kept secrets in gaming and many potential buyers in Japan are just waiting for it.



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MasonADC on 26 June 2019
Amnesia said:
peachbuggy said:

Is this because of last weeks' Famitsu numbers which are usually published around about now? I've been looking for them and haven't seen any yet.

Even with Yokai 4, the Switch is significantly decreasing in sales. Price cut and/or Switch 2 is necessary to just maintain sales.

A special deal is being had for the switch which literally starts tomorrow, meaning that Yokai didn’t have a chance to increase hardware. The switch isn’t in a decline, you’ll see that next week 



sethnintendo on 26 June 2019
Amnesia said:
lol...Did I say a month ago that the Switch had really started its decline and I was mocked for this opinion.

Just wait for another week or two then everyone will be laughing at you.



Amnesia on 26 June 2019
sethnintendo said:
Amnesia said:
lol...Did I say a month ago that the Switch had really started its decline and I was mocked for this opinion.

Just wait for another week or two then everyone will be laughing at you.

Ha !

not at all, no one will remember just.



sethnintendo on 26 June 2019
RolStoppable said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:

But probably stronger than either of those on it's own. So it just needs another big release during that time to get similar results to last year.

Speaking of which, how do the Mario & Sonic at the Olympic games series fare in Japan? Could they bring in at least some of the needed boost to equal last year's sales? How about Luigi's Mansion?

I understand neither of those two is as big as a Pokemon or Smash title, but couldn't they reach a similar effect, when taken together? Especially since I expect the baseline to be somewhat higher from the game releases in late summer.

Luigi's Mansion is a series with growth potential in Japan and its ambiguous release window has been narrowed down from 2019 to Q4 2019, so it's now supposed to release in proximity to Sword/Shield. Pokémon: Let's Go didn't do hot numbers in Japan, so LM3 can match that. Last year's Q4 also had Super Mario Party which sold steadily and it's doubtful that Mario & Sonic can match that, simply because the Sonic IP has hardly any pull in Japan.

In summary, I'd put it like this:

Super Smash Bros. Ultimate > Pokémon Sword/Shield
Luigi's Mansion 3 > Pokémon: Let's Go, Evee/Pikachu!
Super Mario Party > Mario & Sonic at the Olympic Games

With LM3 in the same quarter, the lineup is more evenly matched and there's only a small advantage for 2018. Still, this was the scenario without price cut and revision, so a one year older Switch at the original price makes the hardware itself pose a challenge for sales. The more probable scenario is that there will be at least either a price cut or revision, and that makes a year over year comparison favorable for 2019 anyway, regardless of the launch month of LM3.

I know M&S at Olympic Games won't match Super Mario Party but don't you think it will preform better than previous entries in Japan considering the Olympics are being held in Japan?  Heck didn't they have Mario jump out of a pipe at the end of last Olympics?  So the legs might be decent on the M&S game especially if it promoted throughout next year up to the Olympics.



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sethnintendo on 26 June 2019
Amnesia said:
sethnintendo said:

Just wait for another week or two then everyone will be laughing at you.

Ha !

not at all, no one will remember just.

Yea I might be suffering from amnesia already.  I'll try to remember at least till we get proper YW4 and SMM2 weekly numbers in.



Amnesia on 26 June 2019

3000 Yen is nothing for the average jap. It is almost neglectable for me already, and I am living in an area of Europe where the money per head is 2-3 times weaker than Japan.



Amnesia on 26 June 2019
RolStoppable said:
Amnesia said:

3000 Yen is nothing for the average jap. It is almost neglectable for me already, and I am living in an area of Europe where the money per head is 2-3 times weaker than Japan.

So?

Do you want to make a prediction that Switch will be down yoy next week?

No. Because of SMM2, this will obviously make a strong boost, but I think this will only give 2 weeks up yoy.

Then, Fire Emblem will give another 2 weeks up yoy.



MasonADC on 26 June 2019
Amnesia said:

3000 Yen is nothing for the average jap. It is almost neglectable for me already, and I am living in an area of Europe where the money per head is 2-3 times weaker than Japan.

Stores are promoting that deal, so it is something. The switch didn’t increase this week due to it, not because yokai watch and/ or the switch is undesirable. 150k isn’t a small opening 



Amnesia on 27 June 2019
MasonADC said:
Amnesia said:

3000 Yen is nothing for the average jap. It is almost neglectable for me already, and I am living in an area of Europe where the money per head is 2-3 times weaker than Japan.

Stores are promoting that deal, so it is something. The switch didn’t increase this week due to it, not because yokai watch and/ or the switch is undesirable. 150k isn’t a small opening 

Sorry I have misscalculated, I thought that 5000 yen was 25-26€ but it is actually 40€ so this is something I would definitely wait for.