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Forums - Sony Discussion - PS4 sales surpass 91.6 million, Spiderman over 9 million

Train wreck said:
AngryLittleAlchemist said:
So what do you guys think it will sell this year? And 2020 until the PS5 comes out?

Even applying a pessimistic -25/50 you will still get

 13.5

6.75

which is 111 million sellthru by 2020

Thats way to pessimistic.
This year they only did a short time temp price cut, but other than that it was 299$ all year round... . and it sold through 18m+

Next year the drop off wont be more than 2m or so, if Sony give it just a small price cut (permanent one).


plus "Last of Us - part 2" is a HUGE title.... akin to say Mario Odessey for the switch.
This game should push quite a few consoles, so even in 2020 I doubt sales will be super low.

Last edited by JRPGfan - on 07 January 2019

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AngryLittleAlchemist said:
So what do you guys think it will sell this year? And 2020 until the PS5 comes out?

Im predicting

EU- 7m

Japan- 1.4m

US- 4.5m

ROW- 3m

Total- 15.9m

Next year

EU- 6m

Japan- 1m

US- 3.6m

ROW- 2m

Total 12.6m

So, 120.1m by the end of 2020 and probably 125-130m when its all said and done.

Last edited by jason1637 - on 07 January 2019

AngryLittleAlchemist said:
derpysquirtle64 said:

15-16m 2019

12-13m 2020

So you expect like ... 120-125 sales at the end of the PS4's life? Because if it did 12-13m in 2020 i'd assume it would at least do around half that the next year.

sounds about right to me.

PS2(157.68m)+XB(24.65m)=182.33m

PS3(86.90m)+360(85.80m)=172.70m

PS4(120-125m)+XBO(~55m)=175-180m



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

JRPGfan said:
Train wreck said:

Even applying a pessimistic -25/50 you will still get

 13.5

6.75

which is 111 million sellthru by 2020

Thats way to pessimistic.
This year they only did a short time temp price cut, but other than that it was 299$ all year round... . and it sold through 18m+

Next year the drop off wont be more than 2m or so, if Sony give it just a small price cut (permanent one).


plus "Last of Us - part 2" is a HUGE title.... akin to say Mario Odessey for the switch.
This game should push quite a few consoles, so even in 2020 I doubt sales will be super low.

Yea I personally believe it'll be (sold thru not shipped)

2019 - 15.3 (-15%)

2020 - 11.0 (-28%)

2021 -  6.6 (-40%)

Discontinued at year 10 or 11 at 125-130ish million.

Last edited by Train wreck - on 07 January 2019

I still stand by of my prediction of Spiderman becoming the best-selling Playstation exclusive of all time (on a single console), beating Gran Turismo 3, has a good chance of happening.

I remember when I made the prediction I got response like "lol no" or "thats way too high". Crow is going to be served.



Bet with Intrinsic:

The Switch will outsell 3DS (based on VGchartz numbers), according to me, while Intrinsic thinks the opposite will hold true. One month avatar control for the loser's avatar.

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AngryLittleAlchemist said:
derpysquirtle64 said:

15-16m 2019

12-13m 2020

So you expect like ... 120-125 sales at the end of the PS4's life? Because if it did 12-13m in 2020 i'd assume it would at least do around half that the next year.

Too early to call at this point. But yeah, I guess that lifetime sales should be around 120-130m. 



 

flashfire926 said:
I still stand by of my prediction of Spiderman becoming the best-selling Playstation exclusive of all time (on a single console), beating Gran Turismo 3, has a good chance of happening.

I remember when I made the prediction I got response like "lol no" or "thats way too high". Crow is going to be served.

Spiderman is probably at 11m-12m by now.
How much did Gran Turismo 3 do?

also to serve crow you ll need to necro bump that thread :p



AngryLittleAlchemist said:
So what do you guys think it will sell this year? And 2020 until the PS5 comes out?

16M 2019

12M 2020.

So close to that 92M......... so close. I cant understand spiderman selling that well though. I am shocked.



JRPGfan said:
flashfire926 said:
I still stand by of my prediction of Spiderman becoming the best-selling Playstation exclusive of all time (on a single console), beating Gran Turismo 3, has a good chance of happening.

I remember when I made the prediction I got response like "lol no" or "thats way too high". Crow is going to be served.

Spiderman is probably at 11m-12m by now.
How much did Gran Turismo 3 do?

14.89m



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

JRPGfan said:
flashfire926 said:
I still stand by of my prediction of Spiderman becoming the best-selling Playstation exclusive of all time (on a single console), beating Gran Turismo 3, has a good chance of happening.

I remember when I made the prediction I got response like "lol no" or "thats way too high". Crow is going to be served.

Spiderman is probably at 11m-12m by now.
How much did Gran Turismo 3 do?

Gran Turismo 3 did close to 15M on PS2, but don't forget about Uncharted 4, which probably is around 12-13M at least now too.