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Forums - Sony - PS4 sales surpass 91.6 million, Spiderman over 9 million

Intrinsic on 08 January 2019
AngryLittleAlchemist said:
Intrinsic said:

Bold prediction.... unless you mean sales of the PS4 up until the release f the PS5. And even then its still a bold prediction. 

How would it be a bold prediction in the context of how much PS4 would do before the PS5's launch? It seems like a fair prediction in that circumstance. I mean, I would put it a few million above that, but it's not too far off, is the point. 


So right now the PS4 is at 91.6M. Even if it only manages to sell 15M in 2019 (thats a 3M drop from 2018) it ends 2019 with 107M or there about. It would have to sell only 7M in 2020 to stop at 115M before the PS5 is released (say around november 2020). Its not impossible, can happen.... just unlikely, hence why its a bold prediction.



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AngryLittleAlchemist on 08 January 2019
Intrinsic said:
AngryLittleAlchemist said:

How would it be a bold prediction in the context of how much PS4 would do before the PS5's launch? It seems like a fair prediction in that circumstance. I mean, I would put it a few million above that, but it's not too far off, is the point. 


So right now the PS4 is at 91.6M. Even if it only manages to sell 15M in 2019 (thats a 3M drop from 2018) it ends 2019 with 107M or there about. It would have to sell only 7M in 2020 to stop at 115M before the PS5 is released (say around november 2020). Its not impossible, can happen.... just unlikely, hence why its a bold prediction.

Now that I think about it my reply is kind of stupid. I said that it was only a few million off from a realistic prediction, but "only being" a few million when the launch year of PS5 will probably have the PS4 selling 13 million is a lot. Even being 2 million off is a whole 15% away from a more realistic prediction. 

The way I see it playing out PS4 will sell 16-16.5M in 2019, and 13-13.5M in 2020. So using the lower numbers, he would be only about 2-3Mil off accounting for the fact that the last two weeks of November (or possibly even almost all of November) as well as December make up for so much of the PS4's yearly sales.

It would really come down to what the exact release week is. But again, that's not what he said so yeah ... I guess we agree : P 



ZODIARKrebirth on 08 January 2019
Mar1217 said:
ZODIARKrebirth said:
Great and with Kingdom Hearts and Resident Evil another Hardware push

Resident Evil 7 and the 3(or 4 ?) Remix KH releases might have done the heavy lifting already.

Resident Evil 2 Remake & Kingdom Hearts 3, i believe the weeks after release we will see good harware numbers for ps4



CosmicSex on 08 January 2019

At the bare minimum, the PS4 will sell abut 14 million in 2019. That will make 105 million. Then it will probably sell for at least 2 more years selling at lean an addition 10 million. 115-120 million should be considered the absolute minimum realistically. Also this means that the Xbox One and Switch will need to get to 120 million combined to match 50% market share against the PS4. Xbox maybe has another 10 million units left in in. Switch on the other hand will need to do most of the grunt work here or about 68 million total. SO that mean it needs to sell 40 million more. And accounting to my prediction it may just make it.

Of course this is all assuming the PS4 stops at 120 million. Keep in mind that once the PS5 comes out, the actual production of PS4 should fall and this should limit what they can actually sell. Realistically the PS4 hits about 130 making it impossible for the Switch and Xbox combo to match it.
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DélioPT on 08 January 2019
DonFerrari said:
DélioPT said:
Honestly, if i were Sony, i'd release PS5 as soon as possible.
PS4 is still a monster in sales and that appeal could - possibly - be transferred to PS5 and start the lifecycle with a bang.
Easier said than done, though.

Amazing Spiderman sales!

Begin of gen enthusiast and late life buyers aren't the same...

No need to rush.

Gens start usually when they see a decline in SW sold. And PS4 just crossed the peak of HW sales (SW seems like haven't yet), so Holiday 2020 is the most likely year for release (before I was more for 2021).

It's about the momentum and the competition.

The momentum for PS4, and Sony, obviously, is still very high and could very well be channeled to PS5. With the benefit of better fending off the competition.
This generation was pretty much won from day one (XB1 was a huge mistep by MS and Nintendo had… Wii U), but the same might not happen next time.

Better safe than sorry, i say.

Not that i see Sony being in some sort of trouble even if they are last to the market, but Sony knows what happens when they take things for granted. 
Not to mention MS will have learned it's lesson.



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Keiji on 08 January 2019
Mar1217 said:
ZODIARKrebirth said:
Great and with Kingdom Hearts and Resident Evil another Hardware push

Resident Evil 7 and the 3(or 4 ?) Remix KH releases might have done the heavy lifting already.

lol no...



flashfire926 on 08 January 2019
CosmicSex said:
At the bare minimum, the PS4 will sell abut 14 million in 2019. That will make 105 million. Then it will probably sell for at least 2 more years selling at lean an addition 10 million. 115-120 million should be considered the absolute minimum realistically. Also this means that the Xbox One and Switch will need to get to 120 million combined to match 50% market share against the PS4. Xbox maybe has another 10 million units left in in. Switch on the other hand will need to do most of the grunt work here or about 68 million total. SO that mean it needs to sell 40 million more. And accounting to my prediction it may just make it.

Of course this is all assuming the PS4 stops at 120 million. Keep in mind that once the PS5 comes out, the actual production of PS4 should fall and this should limit what they can actually sell. Realistically the PS4 hits about 130 making it impossible for the Switch and Xbox combo to match it.
.

Impossible? How so? Switch should be able to sell 80 million units.



Bet with Intrinsic:

The Switch will outsell 3DS (based on VGchartz numbers), according to me, while Intrinsic thinks the opposite will hold true. One month avatar control for the loser's avatar.

MasonADC on 08 January 2019
CosmicSex said:
At the bare minimum, the PS4 will sell abut 14 million in 2019. That will make 105 million. Then it will probably sell for at least 2 more years selling at lean an addition 10 million. 115-120 million should be considered the absolute minimum realistically. Also this means that the Xbox One and Switch will need to get to 120 million combined to match 50% market share against the PS4. Xbox maybe has another 10 million units left in in. Switch on the other hand will need to do most of the grunt work here or about 68 million total. SO that mean it needs to sell 40 million more. And accounting to my prediction it may just make it.

Of course this is all assuming the PS4 stops at 120 million. Keep in mind that once the PS5 comes out, the actual production of PS4 should fall and this should limit what they can actually sell. Realistically the PS4 hits about 130 making it impossible for the Switch and Xbox combo to match it.
.

55 million for the Xbox and 75 million for the switch is unrealistic? That’s like the minimum 



Eagle367 on 08 January 2019

People expecting close year to switch need to calm down. Switch will have its best year and easily 20mil+



Just a guy who doesn't want to be bored. Also

Farsala on 08 January 2019

PS4s legs depend on PS5 and XB2. PS2 had the best legs because 360 and PS3 were quite expensive. PS3 had poor legs, because PS4 launched at a good price point.