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Intrinsic said:
AngryLittleAlchemist said:

How would it be a bold prediction in the context of how much PS4 would do before the PS5's launch? It seems like a fair prediction in that circumstance. I mean, I would put it a few million above that, but it's not too far off, is the point. 


So right now the PS4 is at 91.6M. Even if it only manages to sell 15M in 2019 (thats a 3M drop from 2018) it ends 2019 with 107M or there about. It would have to sell only 7M in 2020 to stop at 115M before the PS5 is released (say around november 2020). Its not impossible, can happen.... just unlikely, hence why its a bold prediction.

Now that I think about it my reply is kind of stupid. I said that it was only a few million off from a realistic prediction, but "only being" a few million when the launch year of PS5 will probably have the PS4 selling 13 million is a lot. Even being 2 million off is a whole 15% away from a more realistic prediction. 

The way I see it playing out PS4 will sell 16-16.5M in 2019, and 13-13.5M in 2020. So using the lower numbers, he would be only about 2-3Mil off accounting for the fact that the last two weeks of November (or possibly even almost all of November) as well as December make up for so much of the PS4's yearly sales.

It would really come down to what the exact release week is. But again, that's not what he said so yeah ... I guess we agree : P