Oneeee-Chan!!! said: What do you think about this results ? |
Should be as inaccurate as October's results for the NPD prediction tool for pretty much the same reasons.
Oneeee-Chan!!! said: What do you think about this results ? |
Should be as inaccurate as October's results for the NPD prediction tool for pretty much the same reasons.
Megiddo said:
Not sure that a 10% bump is particularly bold, when you have people in this thread going with 100% bumps for other consoles. |
Probably do to retailer insights from some insiders on Resetera. Now obviously this isnt set in stone as it's just based on the data they have access to but here is what their data is showing
PS4 & XBO-down slightly YoY
NSW-up alot YoY
When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.
zorg1000 said:
Probably do to retailer insights from some insiders on Resetera. Now obviously this isnt set in stone as it's just based on the data they have access to but here is what their data is showing PS4 & XBO-down slightly YoY NSW-up alot YoY |
This is the same insider who said that he wasn't absolutely certain that the PS4 would win November last year, correct?
And people still put any sort of weight on what he says?
Here's what we actually know.
1)Amazon on Sunday took 3 times longer to sell out of Spider-Man bundles this year than it took for them to sell out of the PS4 slim last year.
2)Unlike last year Sony wasn't only relying on one SKU on sale. It also had the RDR 2 Pro bundle and the CoD BLOPS 4 slim bundle.
3)The Brickseek inventory results for Thanksgiving/Black Friday were hilariously tilted in Sony's favor, outnumbering Switch consoles 5:1 to 10:1 depending on location.
4)This year includes Cyber Monday which just means more sales altogether.
I look at the data above and the absolutely miserable history of the insider when it comes to November NPD and I think it's far, far, far, far more "bold" to think that PS4 is going to drop 25% YoY (as a lot of predictions in this thread have it) compared to being up 10%.
PS4 - 1500K
Switch - 1450K
XB1 - 1350K
curl-6 bet me that PS5 + X|S sales would reach 56m before year end 2023 and he was right.
My Bet With curl-6
My Threads:
Master Thread, Game of the Year/Decade
Switch Will Be #1 All Time
Zelda Will Outsell Mario (Achieved)
How Much Will MH Rise sell?
My Bet With Metallox
Megiddo said:
This is the same insider who said that he wasn't absolutely certain that the PS4 would win November last year, correct? And people still put any sort of weight on what he says? Here's what we actually know. 1)Amazon on Sunday took 3 times longer to sell out of Spider-Man bundles this year than it took for them to sell out of the PS4 slim last year. 2)Unlike last year Sony wasn't only relying on one SKU on sale. It also had the RDR 2 Pro bundle and the CoD BLOPS 4 slim bundle. 3)The Brickseek inventory results for Thanksgiving/Black Friday were hilariously tilted in Sony's favor, outnumbering Switch consoles 5:1 to 10:1 depending on location. I look at the data above and the absolutely miserable history of the insider when it comes to November NPD and I think it's far, far, far, far more "bold" to think that PS4 is going to drop 25% YoY (as a lot of predictions in this thread have it) compared to being up 10%. |
Your post is coming off a bit hostile, all I did was answer your question.
When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.
zorg1000 said:
Your post is coming off a bit hostile, all I did was answer your question. |
You said insiders, plural. Are there more people than Benji who are commenting?
Also, potential NPD leak period starts tonight or is it next Thursday?
Megiddo said:
This is the same insider who said that he wasn't absolutely certain that the PS4 would win November last year, correct? And people still put any sort of weight on what he says? Here's what we actually know. 1)Amazon on Sunday took 3 times longer to sell out of Spider-Man bundles this year than it took for them to sell out of the PS4 slim last year. 2)Unlike last year Sony wasn't only relying on one SKU on sale. It also had the RDR 2 Pro bundle and the CoD BLOPS 4 slim bundle. 3)The Brickseek inventory results for Thanksgiving/Black Friday were hilariously tilted in Sony's favor, outnumbering Switch consoles 5:1 to 10:1 depending on location. 4)This year includes Cyber Monday which just means more sales altogether. I look at the data above and the absolutely miserable history of the insider when it comes to November NPD and I think it's far, far, far, far more "bold" to think that PS4 is going to drop 25% YoY (as a lot of predictions in this thread have it) compared to being up 10%. |
I agree, still surprised by the number of people who still put stock in Benji.
Megiddo said:
You said insiders, plural. Are there more people than Benji who are commenting? Also, potential NPD leak period starts tonight or is it next Thursday? |
Tonight