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Forums - Sales Discussion - Is the PS4 undertracked here?

Tmfwang on 23 November 2018

The latest official numbers from Sony is that the PS4 shipped 86.1 million units as of september 18th. VGchartz has the ps4 sitting at 85.2 million units sold as of november 3rd. It would surely be higher considering the 86.1 million that was shipped as of september 18th, wouldn't it?



Predicted 15+ million lifetime-sales for God of War:

- http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=234612&page=1

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Lafiel on 23 November 2018

I think it's a bit pointless to question the PS4 sales tracking here as Sony will announce the sold-through number anyway at some point (usually early january) and VGC will then adjust the numbers.



zorg1000 on 23 November 2018
Lafiel said:
I think it's a bit pointless to question the PS4 sales tracking here as Sony will announce the sold-through number anyway at some point (usually early january) and VGC will then adjust the numbers.

Probably sooner, they have given a late Nov/early Dec update ever year.

2014-Nov 22

2015-Nov 22

2016-Dec 6

2017-Dec 3



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Barkley on 23 November 2018

The amount between Shipped and Sell-through is never completely consistent so unless there's a massive difference, or almost no difference, we can't make any assumptions one way or the other.

We can look at dates when Sony gave Shipped/Consumer figures close to each other and compare what the difference has been officially during the PS4's life.

Date (First date is sell-through, second is shipped) Sell-Through Shipped Difference Days Between Announcements
December 28 2013 – December 31 2013 4.2m 4.5m 0.3m 3
April 6 2014 – March 31 2014 7m 7.5m 0.5m 6
January 4 2015 – December 31 2014 18.5m 19.9m 1.4m 4
January 3 2016 – December 31 2015 35.9m 37.7m 1.8m 3
January 1 2017 – December 31 2016 53.4m 57.1m 3.7m 1
December 31 2017 – December 31 2017 73.6m 76.5m 2.9m 0

Unfortunately most of the figures we have recently are for holiday figures, the 3.7m figure is that high due to the Pro being launched and needing to stock an additional model.

2.6m does seem like it could be a bit high for mid-september, as you'd expect a larger discrepancy between shipped and sell-through afterwards on December 31st. So it's possible that it is undertracked by a few hundred thousands, but it's also possible that the figures are fine.

Basically we have no way of knowing until Sony announce sell-through numbers. The only real inference we can make is that PS4 certainly isn't overtracked by a significant amount.