NPD HW Predictions for 2018 (entire year) WW as well

The_Liquid_Laser

Currently Offline

33,095

5921 posts since 10/11/17

Recent Badges:

A Free Man Managed to avoid being banned for 2 years.
A Civilized Man Managed to avoid being banned for 5 years.
Shipped Or Sold? 15 comments posted on VGChartz sales articles.
Open For Business Earned 10 badges.
One Piece at a Time Add your first game to your collection.
Site Veteran Has been a VGChartz member for over 5 years.

The_Liquid_Laser on 20 April 2018

NPD

PS4, 5M
NSW, 4.5M
XB1, 4.5M

WW
PS4, 19M
NSW, 12M
XB1, 8.5M

Last edited by The_Liquid_Laser - on 20 April 2018

curl-6 bet me that PS5 + X|S sales would reach 56m before year end 2023 and he was right.
My Bet With curl-6

My Threads:
Master Thread, Game of the Year/Decade
Switch Will Be #1 All Time
Zelda Will Outsell Mario (Achieved)
How Much Will MH Rise sell?
My Bet With Metallox

jason1637

Currently Offline

108,549

15229 posts since 15/08/15

Recent Badges:

God Of VGC 10,000 posts on the gamrConnect forums.
1st Birthday Has been a VGChartz member for over 1 year.
Freezing Logged in on Christmas day.
First Rung Of The Ladder Earned 10,000 gamrPoints
8 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 8 years.
Hit And Run 15 comments posted on VGChartz news articles.

jason1637 on 20 April 2018

Intrinsic said:

jason1637 said:

How much do you think Switch would sell in The US? Last year US sales made up 37% of Switch sales and if the switch sells 18m US sales would be around 6.6m but the Switch is tracking behind the PS4 in the US and the PS4 is tracking behind the PS4 in 2017 so i think its reasonable to thing Switch could sell 14m.

With regards to the PS4, what its tarcking right now doesn't really mean much. Especially when you consider that last year the PS4 was weakest during the holiday season but reachs that 20M figure because of how well it did throughout the year.

In 2018, its not doing that well compared to 2017 but its no slouch either and we are yet to see whatever boost GOW is goingto have on sales. But If sony decided to drop the price around the holidays for a longer duration of time then it could at the very least match last year sales.

Hmm GoW should help the PS4 but i dont think it will be as big as people are expecting. I expect PS4s Holiday to be stronger but rest of yea to be qeaker and it to be slighly down YoY to 18m instead of 20m. 18m is still pretty good though.

MasonADC

Currently Offline

7,147

1847 posts since 21/01/18

Recent Badges:

6 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 6 years.
Haunted Logged in on Halloween.
A Badge Within A Badge Earned 20 badges.
Happy Birthday Logged in on your birthday.
Freezing Logged in on Christmas day.
2 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 2 years.

MasonADC on 20 April 2018

The_Liquid_Laser said:

NPD

PS4, 5M
NSW, 4.5M
XB1, 4.5M

WW
PS4, 19M
NSW, 12M
XB1, 8.5M

lol

MasonADC

Currently Offline

7,147

1847 posts since 21/01/18

Recent Badges:

6 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 6 years.
Open For Business Earned 10 badges.
Freezing Logged in on Christmas day.
So You Came Back For More, Huh? Logged in a second time.
Vice Free Managed to avoid being banned for 6 months.
Haunted Logged in on Halloween.

MasonADC on 20 April 2018

NPD:
Ps4:5.8 million
NSW:5.6 million
Xbox:5 million
I not sure how some people don't think the Switch will be up YoY in the US, The no stock issues in the US will surely keep it ahead in Q2 and it should be able to have a better November than last year
WW:
PS4:18 million
NSW: 17 million
Xbox: 9 million

zorg1000

Currently Offline

81,307

17656 posts since 14/11/12

Recent Badges:

Watch Your Back! Received 10,000 profile views.
Genocide 5,000 posts on the gamrConnect forums.
Some Here, Some There Bank a Total of 5,000 VG$.
Ride Into the Sunset Managed to avoid being banned for 3 months.
A Free Man Managed to avoid being banned for 2 years.
A Badge Within A Badge Earned 20 badges.

zorg1000 on 20 April 2018

Intrinsic said:

jason1637 said:

How much do you think Switch would sell in The US? Last year US sales made up 37% of Switch sales and if the switch sells 18m US sales would be around 6.6m but the Switch is tracking behind the PS4 in the US and the PS4 is tracking behind the PS4 in 2017 so i think its reasonable to thing Switch could sell 14m.

With regards to the PS4, what its tarcking right now doesn't really mean much. Especially when you consider that last year the PS4 was weakest during the holiday season but reachs that 20M figure because of how well it did throughout the year.

In 2018, its not doing that well compared to 2017 but its no slouch either and we are yet to see whatever boost GOW is goingto have on sales. But If sony decided to drop the price around the holidays for a longer duration of time then it could at the very least match last year sales.

I think that applies to all of them, Q1 doesnt really mean a whole lot when it comes to the full year.

Across all regions Switch had good Q1 sales (not bad, not amazing) and it will probably remain that way for next few months since it lacks huge sellers, instead having a handful of small-medium hits (Kirby, Donkey Kong, Mario Tennis, etc).

This could result in it being behind PS4 for most of the year but if it has Smash Bros, Pokemon and its first Holiday deals/bundles than it could potentially erase the lead built up in the early part of the year.

When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

JRPGfan

Currently Offline

79,604

18598 posts since 04/03/15

Recent Badges:

God Of VGC 10,000 posts on the gamrConnect forums.
Escape Artist Managed to avoid being banned for 1 month.
Watch Your Back! Received 10,000 profile views.
A Free Man Managed to avoid being banned for 2 years.
3 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 3 years.
'Ello Princess! Awarded for signing up.

JRPGfan on 20 April 2018

Intrinsic said:
NPD
PS4:5800K
NSW: 5600K
XB1: 5450K

WW
PS4: 20.7M
NSW: 17.6M
XB1: 9.5M

I could see it playing out like that.

Intrinsic

Currently Offline

36,987

7637 posts since 16/05/14

Recent Badges:

Trust Me, It'll Have Legs 100 replies made to user's most popular thread.
It's a Start Bank a Total of 2,000 VG$.
Leaving Limbo 100 posts on the gamrConnect forums.
So You Came Back For More, Huh? Logged in a second time.
A Civilized Man Managed to avoid being banned for 5 years.
Freezing Logged in on Christmas day.

Intrinsic on 20 April 2018

zorg1000 said:

I think that applies to all of them, Q1 doesnt really mean a whole lot when it comes to the full year.

Across all regions Switch had good Q1 sales (not bad, not amazing) and it will probably remain that way for next few months since it lacks huge sellers, instead having a handful of small-medium hits (Kirby, Donkey Kong, Mario Tennis, etc).

This could result in it being behind PS4 for most of the year but if it has Smash Bros, Pokemon and its first Holiday deals/bundles than it could potentially erase the lead built up in the early part of the year.

Yh, but why I singled out the PS4 is because even though it sold well, it did have a bad third quater (oct-dec) last year. Especially when compared to everyone else. And that was not because they couldn't have sold better, or on par but because sony were not willing to be as aggressive as MS and the NS was seeing its first holiday (albeit stock limited to an extent)

This year, depending on if sony decideds to set loose a $199 PS4, that could be very very different. I mean if sony had as good a third quater as they could have they would have sold almost 22M last year if not more. They were down in q3 2017 compared to q3 2016/15