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Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

Marth said:
Miyamotoo said:
How much weeks are tracked in October NPD sales?

October is 4 weeks and ends on November 4th

Tnx.



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Symbios63 said:
10/20/18 :


- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 25 (-2) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Fortnite Double Helix Bundle - 53 (-6) - 299.99$
3 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 62 (-8) - 299.00$
4 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 83 (-33) - TP

Out of Top 100 :

5 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb - 100 (-7) - 481.00$

PS4 : 18 points (-34) ; XBO : 0 points (-1) ; NS : 102 + 48 + 39 = 189 points (-22)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 27 (-2) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 31 (-3) - 499.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Fortnite Double Helix Bundle - 36 (-1) - 299.99$
4 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 40 (+4) - 399.99$
5 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 44 (-5) - 299.99$
6 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 55 (-2) - 299.99$
7 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb Shadow of the Tomb Raider - 58 (-10) - 499.99$
8 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 59 (-4) - 299.99$
9 (+2) - Nintendo Switch Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Bundle - 63 (+10) - 359.99$
10 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 70 (+1) - 299.99$
11 (-2) - XBox One S NBA 2K19 - 75 (-6) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 98 + 90 + 72 = 260 points (-2) ; XBO : 46 + 43 + 31 + 26 = 146 points (-20) ; NS : 80 + 64 + 42 + 38 = 224 points (-6)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Bundle - 5 (-2)
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 6 (-1)
3 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Pokémon let's Go Pikachu! Bundle - 11 (+1) - November 16th
4 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Diablo III EC - 14 (-1)
5 (-2) - Nintendo Switch Pokémon let's Go Evee! Bundle - 15 (-5) - November 16th
6 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 46 (-3)
7 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 74 (-5)
8 (+2) - Nintendo Switch Fortnite Double Helix Bundle - 85 (+33)
9 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 87 (-6)
10 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb Robot White Fallout 76 - 110 (-12)
11 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V - 173 (-50) - November 9th

Out of Top 100 :

12 (R) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 196 (R)
13 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 199 (-9)

PS4 : 200 + 106 + 78 = 384 points (-6) ; XBO : 46 points (-9) ; NS : 200 + 180 + 66 + 64 = 510 points (+10)

Overall (with preorders from last months) :

1 - NS : 902.1 points (-8.8) ; Month Average : 786.3 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 570.1 points (-33.6) ; Month Average : 582.3 points/day ; 0.74 (-0.01)
3 - XBO : 184.9 points (-17.9) ; Month Average : 266.5 points/day ; 0.34 (-0.01)

I'm surprised about Diablo III in the GameStop rankings. Who would've thought a port bundled with the Switch could be gaining some attention for potential buyers.



 

Marth said:
Kai_Mao said:

I'm surprised about Diablo III in the GameStop rankings. Who would've thought a port bundled with the Switch could be gaining some attention for potential buyers.

I think it being a GameStop exclusive and the first Blizzard game to appear on Nintendo hardware in 15 years plays a big part in that.

I didn’t realize it’s a GameStop exclusive. That’s interesting.



10/22/18 :


- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 21 (+5) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Fortnite Double Helix Bundle - 46 (+1) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 56 (+3) - 299.00$

Out of Top 100 :

4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 100 (-17) - TP

PS4 : 0 point (-1) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS : 110 + 60 + 45 = 215 points (+15)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 25 (+2) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 28 (+3) - 499.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Fortnite Double Helix Bundle - 34 (+2) - 299.99$
4 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 39 (+5) - 299.99$
5 (R) - XBox One X 1Tb Shadow of the Tomb Raider - 50 (R) - 499.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 55 (-1) - 299.99$
7 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 62 (-2) - 299.99$
8 (-) - XBox One S NBA 2K19 - 69 (-3) - 299.99$
9 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 78 (-1) - 299.99$
10 (-6) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 84 (-44) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

10 (N) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle 2 - 86 (N) - 399.99$

PS4 : 102 + 96 + 17 = 215 points (-60) ; XBO : 52 + 46 + 32 + 23 = 153 points (+47) ; NS : 84 + 74 + 39 = 197 points (+12)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 5 (-)
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Bundle - 6 (-)
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokémon let's Go Pikachu! Bundle - 8 (-) - November 16th
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Diablo III EC - 15 (+1)
5 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 46 (+4)
6 (+2) - Nintendo Switch Fortnite Double Helix Bundle - 77 (+11)
7 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 81 (+2)
8 (-3) - Nintendo Switch Pokémon let's Go Evee! Bundle - 84 (-62) - November 16th
9 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 117 (-27)
10 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Robot White Fallout 76 - 130 (-3)
11 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 138 (+26)
12 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V - 188 (-18) - November 9th
13 (-) - XBox One S NBA 2K19 - 193 (-4)

Out of Top 100 :

-


PS4 : 200 + 106 + 70 = 376 points (+6) ; XBO : 36 + 32 + 4 = 72 points (+10) ; NS : 200 + 175 + 74 + 42 = 491 points (-10)

Overall (with preorders from last months) :

1 - NS : 898.5 points (+4.4) ; Month Average : 800.0 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 538.7 points (-6.8) ; Month Average : 577.3 points/day ; 0.72 (-0.01)
3 - XBO : 220.5 points (+25.2) ; Month Average : 259.1 points/day ; 0.32 (-0.01)



Marth said:
Miyamotoo said:
How much weeks are tracked in October NPD sales?

October is 4 weeks and ends on November 4th

*November 3rd

Weeks end on Saturday

Also, what 3 Xbox SKUs are being counted for GameStop? XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 and XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V are November launches.



Won bet with t3mporary_126 - I correctly predicted that the Wii U's LTD at the end of 2014 would be closer to 9 million than 10 million. http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=6673287

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Welfare said:
Marth said:

October is 4 weeks and ends on November 4th

*November 3rd

Weeks end on Saturday

Also, what 3 Xbox SKUs are being counted for GameStop? XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 and XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V are November launches.

I will never be ok with this as an non-american :P



Eevee bundle outta stock at Gamestop, wonder how much longer Pikachu will hold on



Mbolibombo said:
Welfare said:

*November 3rd

Weeks end on Saturday

Also, what 3 Xbox SKUs are being counted for GameStop? XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 and XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V are November launches.

I will never be ok with this as an non-american :P

Is it really only an American thing? Starting the week on the day of the sun instead of the day of the moon (or any of the planets) makes so much more sense than any alternative.



10/23/18 :


- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 21 (-) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Fortnite Double Helix Bundle - 48 (-2) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 55 (+1) - 299.00$
4 (R) - XBox One X 1Tb - 91 (R) - 482.95$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 0 point (-) ; XBO : 10 points (+10) ; NS : 110 + 56 + 46 = 212 points (-3)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 24 (+1) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 27 (+1) - 499.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Fortnite Double Helix Bundle - 31 (+3) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 40 (-1) - 299.99$
5 (+5) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 41 (+43) - 399.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 50 (+5) - 299.99$
7 (-2) - XBox One X 1Tb Shadow of the Tomb Raider - 56 (-6) - 499.99$
8 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 62 (-) - 299.99$
9 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 75 (+3) - 299.99$
10 (R) - Nintendo Switch Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Bundle - 79 (R) - 359.99$
11 (-3) - XBox One S NBA 2K19 - 83 (-14) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 104 + 98 + 70 = 272 points (+57) ; XBO : 52 + 45 + 26 + 18 = 141 points (-12) ; NS : 90 + 72 + 39 = 201 points (+4)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 4 (+1)
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Bundle - 6 (-)
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokémon let's Go Pikachu! Bundle - 10 (-2) - November 16th
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Diablo III EC - 16 (-1)
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 47 (-1)
6 (+2) - Nintendo Switch Fortnite Double Helix Bundle - 79 (-2)
7 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 80 (+1)
8 (+3) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 95 (+43)
9 (+1) - XBox One X 1Tb Robot White Fallout 76 - 112 (+18)
10 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 121 (-4)
11 (+2) - XBox One S NBA 2K19 - 195 (-2)

Out of Top 100 :

8 (-3) - Nintendo Switch Pokémon let's Go Evee! Bundle - 84 (-62) - November 16th
12 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V - 188 (-18) - November 9th

PS4 : 205 + 104 + 72 = 381 points (+5) ; XBO : 56 + 45 + 3 = 104 points (+32) ; NS : 200 + 175 + 72 + 40 = 487 points (-4)

Overall (with preorders from last months) :

1 - NS : 892.9 points (-5.6) ; Month Average : 805.5 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 555.1 points (+16.4) ; Month Average : 576.0 points/day ; 0.72 (-)
3 - XBO : 269.4 points (+48.9) ; Month Average : 259.7 points/day ; 0.32 (-)



The predictor has been pretty solid so far but I think this month will be the most off. I just can't imagine switch being that far ahead of the other two.