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Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

duduspace1 said:
quickrick said:

I know it is, but its too close, and no way the tool is that accurate, so if they are that close then the tool gets the win.

On what basis have you concluded that it is too close ? At the very least, the tool has a method, what is yours ? Finger in the air ?

what i'm saying the tool prediction are so close that switch or ps4 can win june, i just don't have much faith in it yet, it's too early, although if is close in june, then the tool has proved itself for me anyway.



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07/14/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 11 (-) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 22 (+3) - 299.00$
3 (+1) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 74 (+7) - 489.00$
4 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 83 (-7) - 297.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 0 points (-) ; XBO : 27 + 18 = 45 points (-) ; NS : 160 + 108 = 268 points (+6)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 6 (-1) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 8 (-2) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 11 (-2) - 299.00$
4 (+2) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 29 (-3) - 299.99$
5 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 30 (-5) - 499.99$
6 (-2) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 35 (-20) - 399.00$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 53 (-6) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 175 + 82 = 257 points (-68) ; XBO : 94 + 92 + 48 = 234 points (-26) ; NS : 185 + 160 = 345 points (-15)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 55 (-15) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 76 (+23) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 123 (+22) - 299.00$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 96 points (-19) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS :76 + 39 = 115 points (+37)

Overall (Today) :

1 - NS : 398.4 points (+38.8) ; Month Average : 399.1 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 147.4 points (-32.6) ; Month Average : 183.9 points/day ; 0.46 (-0.02)
3 - XBO : 82.8 points (-5.2) ; Month Average : 118.6 points/day ; 0.30 (-0.01)



And big thanks to Bofferbrauer2 for the gamestop numbers.



Ouch, those PS4/XBO numbers are really atrocious



Looks like demand for the Switch is picking up a fair amount in gamestop.



DON'T WIN ME CHIBI BUDDY DON'T WIN ME.

ANIMAL CROSSING NEW LEAF FRIEND CODE:- 5129 1175 1029. MESSAGE ME.
ANDY MURRAY:- GRAND SLAM WINNER!

In my opinion the N64 was not just the best console of the 5th gen but, to this day the best console ever created!

peachbuggy said:
Looks like demand for the Switch is picking up a fair amount in gamestop.

Gamestop is fluctuating quite a bit every day, I really wouldn't read too much into it yet



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Bofferbrauer2 said:
peachbuggy said:
Looks like demand for the Switch is picking up a fair amount in gamestop.

Gamestop is fluctuating quite a bit every day, I really wouldn't read too much into it yet

Yes it does seem to fluctuate a lot but in general Switch seems to be going up in the most part.



DON'T WIN ME CHIBI BUDDY DON'T WIN ME.

ANIMAL CROSSING NEW LEAF FRIEND CODE:- 5129 1175 1029. MESSAGE ME.
ANDY MURRAY:- GRAND SLAM WINNER!

In my opinion the N64 was not just the best console of the 5th gen but, to this day the best console ever created!

07/15/18 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 10 (+1) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 24 (-2) - 299.00$
3 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 68 (+15) - 297.99$
4 (-1) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 77 (-3) - 489.00$


Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 0 points (-) ; XBO : 33 + 24 = 57 points (+12) ; NS : 165 + 104 = 269 points (+1)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 6 (-) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 8 (-) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 11 (-) - 299.00$
4 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 29 (-) - 299.99$
5 (-) - XBox One X 1 Tb - 31 (-1) - 499.99$
6 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Playerunknown's Battlegrounds - 36 (+17) - 299.99$
6 (-2) - Playstation 4 Pro 1 Tb - 60 (-25) - 399.00$


Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 175 + 41 = 216 points (-41) ; XBO : 94 + 90 + 80 = 264 points (+30) ; NS : 185 + 160 = 345 points (-)


- Gamestop :

1 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 51 (+25) - 299.00$
2 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 70 (-15) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 149 (-26) - 299.00$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 82 points (-14) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS :100 + 26 = 126 points (+11)

Overall (Today) :

1 - NS : 410.2 points (+11.8) ; Month Average : 400.5 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 125.2 points (-22.2) ; Month Average : 176.6 points/day ; 0.44 (-0.02)
3 - XBO : 98.4 points (+15.6) ; Month Average : 116.1 points/day ; 0.29 (-0.01)



August 21st can't come soon enough, those numbers for PS4 are just crazy bad. It's as if everyone who still wanted a PS4 did so with the Days of Play and no nobody would be left to buy the console...



Bofferbrauer2 said:
August 21st can't come soon enough, those numbers for PS4 are just crazy bad. It's as if everyone who still wanted a PS4 did so with the Days of Play and no nobody would be left to buy the console...

I think PS4 Pro upgrades contribute a significant amount to the PS4’s sales right now. The Pro model is currently sold out in all of the online stores tracked here. However, it is still available in many of the brick and mortar Best Buy and GameStop stores, so I suspect overall PS4 sales may be undertracked by the tool right now (since it only looks at online sources).



Bofferbrauer2 said:
August 21st can't come soon enough, those numbers for PS4 are just crazy bad. It's as if everyone who still wanted a PS4 did so with the Days of Play and no nobody would be left to buy the console...

Yeah, although I think its also partly because the PS4 is starting to show its age, to be honest after the Switch became as widely accepted as it is, the PS4 had to feel the heat at some point. Some expected it to happen earlier but the PS4 defied all such expectations till now. Perhaps that is now starting to happen, although I am certain that does not completely explain what seems to be such an abrupt drop that it might indeed be termed Falling off a cliff. The future will reveal what is actually happening in form of NPD results.