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Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

Train wreck said:
Lack of stock can be an indication of upcoming model changes, we know about the Switch. For most of the big players (Gamestop, Target, Walmart, Amazon) the PS4 State of Play is the only model available (rest are 3rd parties), Best Buy has both.

That's what I was thinking, especially for the Switch.  We know 2 new models are being released this year, so they are clearing out old inventories.  Athough if Sony hardware is down, then I wonder if they are about to announce a new model, or possibly a new bundle?  It somewhat seems they are clearing out inventories too, and they are definitely due for a price cut or new bundle to increase sales.



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07/24/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 31 (+6) - 299.00$
2 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 58 (-2) - 374.99$
3 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 72 (-8) - 295.70$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 43 + 29 = 72 points (-10) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS : 90 points (+12)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 3 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 7 (-) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 10 (+2) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 12 (+1) - 399.99$
5 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 51 (+5) - 299.99$
6 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 68 (-17) - 299.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb AD - 83 (-21) - 249.99$
8 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb The Division 2 - 88 (-9) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 165 + 155 + 33 = 353 points (-2) ; XBO : 50 + 18 + 13 = 81 points (-25) ; NS : 200 + 180 = 380 points (-)


- Gamestop :

1 (R) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 64 (R)
2 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 132 (+31)
3 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 172 (R)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 35 points (+16) ; XBO : 15 points (+15) ; NS : 88 points (+88)

Overall :

1 - NS : 236.0 points (+97.6) ; Month Average : 322.3 points/day ; 1.0
2 (+1) - PS4 : 163.2 points (+7.6) ; Month Average : 217.1 points/day ; 0.67 (+0.01)
3 (-1) - XBO : 40.6 points (+13.0) ; Month Average : 171.2 points/day ; 0.53 (-0.03)



07/26/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 42 (-11) - 299.00$
2 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 74 (-16) - 374.99$
3 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 85 (-13) - 295.70$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 27 + 16 = 43 points (-29) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS : 68 points (-22)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 3 (-) - 299.99$
2 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 8 (+2) - 299.99$
3 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 9 (-2) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 12 (-) - 399.99$
5 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 49 (+19) - 299.99$
6 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb AD - 62 (+21) - 249.99$
7 (-2) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 72 (-21) - 299.99$
8 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb The Division 2 - 77 (+11) - 499.99$
9 (R) - XBox One X 1Tb The Division 2 - 94 (R) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 175 + 155 + 54 = 384 points (+31) ; XBO : 39 + 29 + 24 + 7 = 99 points (+18) ; NS : 200 + 170 = 370 points (-10)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 78 (-14)
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 130 (+2)
3 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 165 (+7)
4 (R) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 191 (R)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 36 + 5 = 41 points (+6) ; XBO : 18 points (+3) ; NS : 74 points (-14)

My main computer is not booting at all anymore. I would suspect CPU death (15 year old, I can't complain...)
My spreadsheet was on it with no copy elsewhere of course. I will have to see if I can get it to work again and more importantly, getting the data from HDs back.
Untill then, I will just do basic updates.



Symbios63 said:

My main computer is not booting at all anymore. I would suspect CPU death (15 year old, I can't complain...)
My spreadsheet was on it with no copy elsewhere of course. I will have to see if I can get it to work again and more importantly, getting the data from HDs back.
Untill then, I will just do basic updates.

That sucks to hear...  was the cpu overclocked?
Try pulling out the hdd, and putting it into another pc? you might be able to recover the files (spreadsheets ect).

Also You've now managed this thread for over a year, with updates and charts.
Big props dude for keeping up with it.



Symbios63 said:
07/26/19 :


My main computer is not booting at all anymore. I would suspect CPU death (15 year old, I can't complain...)
My spreadsheet was on it with no copy elsewhere of course. I will have to see if I can get it to work again and more importantly, getting the data from HDs back.
Until then, I will just do basic updates.

15 years old? What were you using all this time, an Athlon 64?

At that age, it can be everything. If it doesn't even reach the BIOS anymore, it's possibly also the Motherboard, especially if yours had a fan. Those often die a slow death and pull the rest of the system along with it.

In any case, kudos for your work in this thread!



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07/27/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 44 (-2) - 299.00$
2 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 56 (+18) - 349.99$
3 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 77 (+8) - 295.70$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 45 + 24 = 69 points (+26) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS : 64 points (-4)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 3 (-) - 299.99$
2 (+2) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 6 (+6) - 349.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 7 (+2) - 299.99$
4 (-2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 16 (-8) - 299.99$
5 (+2) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 83 (-11) - 299.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb AD - 100 (-38) - 249.99$

Out of Top 100 :

5 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 49 (+19) - 299.99$
8 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb The Division 2 - 77 (+11) - 499.99$
9 (R) - XBox One X 1Tb The Division 2 - 94 (R) - 399.99$

PS4 : 185 + 135 = 320 points (-64) ; XBO : 18 + 1 = 19 points (-80) ; NS : 200 + 180 = 380 points (+10)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 78 (-)
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 130 (-)
3 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 165 (-)
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 191 (-)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 36 + 5 = 41 points (-) ; XBO : 18 points (-) ; NS : 74 points (-)



07/28/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 50 (-6) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 55 (+1) - 349.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 65 (+12) - 295.70$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 46 + 36 = 82 points (+13) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS : 52 points (-12)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 3 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 5 (+1) - 349.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 8 (-1) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 14 (-2) - 299.99$
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 65 (+18) - 299.99$
6 (R) - XBox One X 1Tb The Division 2 - 82 (R) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb AD - 100 (-38) - 249.99$

PS4 : 190 + 145 = 335 points (+15) ; XBO : 36 + 19 = 55 points (+36) ; NS : 200 + 175 = 375 points (-5)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 58 (+20)
2 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 139 (+26)
3 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 141 (-11)

Out of Top 100 :

4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 191 (-)

PS4 : 30 points (-11) ; XBO : 31 points (+13) ; NS : 94 points (+20)

I should get my USB/Sata adaptator (I only have a laptop available) on tuesday and hopefully, my spreadsheet.



07/29/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (+2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 40 (+25) - ?
2 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 54 (-4) - 299.00$
3 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 60 (-5) - 349.99$
4 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb AD - 98 (R) - 206.95$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 72 + 41 = 113 points (+31) ; XBO : 3 points (+3) ; NS : 47 points (-5)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 3 (-) - 299.99$
2 (+2) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 4 (+10) - 249.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 8 (-) - 299.99$
4 (-2) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 10 (-5) - 399.99$
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 51 (+14) - 299.99$
6 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb AD - 65 (+35) - 249.99$
7 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb The Division 2 - 97 (-15) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 195 + 165 = 360 points (+25) ; XBO : 50 + 36 + 4 = 90 points (+35) ; NS : 200 + 175 = 375 points (-)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 54 (+4)
2 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 140 (-1)
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb DoP 2019 - 147 (-6)
4 (R) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 178 (R)
5 (R) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 194 (R)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 27 + 12 = 39 points (+9) ; XBO : 31 points (-) ; NS : 98 + 4 = 102 points (+8)



I fear the charts will be a bit off this month. Neon Switch is selling at Amazon (and pretty well btw, currently would rank somewhere between 8th and 10th spot if it was charting), but not showing up in the videogame sales charts probably because it's price tag is hidden for whatever reason until you put it into the cart.



Re-tagging..