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Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

PortisheadBiscuit on 07 March 2019
HyrulianScrolls said:

Siwtch's holiday sales this year are going to be completely absurd. I won't be surprised if it sets a new record for a system during q4.

Isn't holiday actually Q3? I can see Switch maybe breaking its own gen record this holiday, but the all time record by Wii is untouchable. 



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The_Liquid_Laser on 07 March 2019
Kai_Mao said:
I'm kinda surprised the $35 gift card promotion for Switch is attractive enough to entice more consumers. Sure, its basically a few free games from the eshop, but its not necessarily a must get, even at this time of year. Kudos to whoever thought of using a $35 gift card as an enticing promotion, especially after the huge holiday explosion that was Smash Bros. and Switch.

I didn't think much of the $35 promotion originally either.  However, I think this can also be treated as a $35 discount on a game of the person's choice.  A person who really wanted something like a Zelda bundle, for example, could download Zelda and already have $35 credit toward that.



curl-6 bet me that PS5 + X|S sales would reach 56m before year end 2023 and he was right.
My Bet With curl-6

My Threads:
Master Thread, Game of the Year/Decade
Switch Will Be #1 All Time
Zelda Will Outsell Mario (Achieved)
How Much Will MH Rise sell?
My Bet With Metallox

zorg1000 on 08 March 2019
PortisheadBiscuit said:
HyrulianScrolls said:

Siwtch's holiday sales this year are going to be completely absurd. I won't be surprised if it sets a new record for a system during q4.

Isn't holiday actually Q3? I can see Switch maybe breaking its own gen record this holiday, but the all time record by Wii is untouchable. 

Holiday is Q4 of the calendar year, Q3 of the fiscal year.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Bofferbrauer2 on 08 March 2019
Kai_Mao said:
I'm kinda surprised the $35 gift card promotion for Switch is attractive enough to entice more consumers. Sure, its basically a few free games from the eshop, but its not necessarily a must get, even at this time of year. Kudos to whoever thought of using a $35 gift card as an enticing promotion, especially after the huge holiday explosion that was Smash Bros. and Switch.

Well, it can be seen as a 35$ discount for everybody who doesn't just play physical. Combine it with the sale in the eShop in February and you could get some great game with it.



The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/ 

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

globalisateur on 08 March 2019

The $35 gift card is like a temporary $35 price cut. Who buys a switch without a Mario / Smash / Pokemon game ?



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Symbios63 on 08 March 2019

03/08/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon + 35$ eshop - 7 (-2) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 38 (+2) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 47 (-2) - 299.00$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 50 (+7) - 299.00$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 74 (+3) - 399.99$
6 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V - 89 (+5) - 239.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 76 + 27 = 103 points (+7) ; XBO : 12 points (+5) ; NS : 180 + 58 + 52 = 290 points (-6)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 1 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (+1) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 4 (+3) - 399.99$
4 (+2) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 8 (+6) - 399.99$
5 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 12 (-1) - 299.99$
6 (-2) - Nintendo Switch Neon + 35$ eshop - 14 (-5) - 299.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 46 (-4) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 210 + 195 = 405 points (+15) ; XBO : 175 + 60 = 235 points (+22) ; NS : 205 + 155 + 145 = 505 points (-25)


- Gamestop :

1 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 18 (-2)
2 (+4) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 83 (+30)
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 102 (-10)
4 (+1) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 White - 103 (+8)
5 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu + Pokeball Charger - 108 (-13) - Unavailable
6 (-4) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 126 (-43)
7 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 135 (-19)
8 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon + 35$ eshop - 163 (+6) - Unavailable
9 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 White - 192 (-1)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 170 + 50 = 220 points (-15) ; XBO : 49 + 38 + 5 = 92 point (-26) ; NS : 68 + 47 + 33 + 19 = 167 points (+8)

Overall :

1 - NS : 500.0 points (-1.8) ; Month Average : 675.1 points/day ; 1.0
2 (+1) - PS4 : 383.4 points (-6.4) ; Month Average : 352.1 points/day ; 0.52 (+0.03)
3 (-1) - XBO : 193.2 points (-22.9) ; Month Average : 319.8 points/day ; 0.47 (-0.02)



zorg1000 on 08 March 2019
globalisateur said:
The $35 gift card is like a temporary $35 price cut. Who buys a switch without a Mario / Smash / Pokemon game ?

Well that only applies for digital gamers since it's an eShop card, for physical only gamers there is no savings.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

xMetroid on 08 March 2019
Kai_Mao said:
I'm kinda surprised the $35 gift card promotion for Switch is attractive enough to entice more consumers. Sure, its basically a few free games from the eshop, but its not necessarily a must get, even at this time of year. Kudos to whoever thought of using a $35 gift card as an enticing promotion, especially after the huge holiday explosion that was Smash Bros. and Switch.

This shows that a 50$ price cut could be insane for the console.  



zorg1000 on 08 March 2019
xMetroid said:
Kai_Mao said:
I'm kinda surprised the $35 gift card promotion for Switch is attractive enough to entice more consumers. Sure, its basically a few free games from the eshop, but its not necessarily a must get, even at this time of year. Kudos to whoever thought of using a $35 gift card as an enticing promotion, especially after the huge holiday explosion that was Smash Bros. and Switch.

This shows that a 50$ price cut could be insane for the console.  

And then go a step beyond that and imagine what a revision+$50 price cut combo will do.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

xMetroid on 08 March 2019
zorg1000 said:
xMetroid said:

This shows that a 50$ price cut could be insane for the console.  

And then go a step beyond that and imagine what a revision+$50 price cut combo will do.

I think that's just really not necessary. I mean they could do that if they want the Switch to die after like 5 years but i think they will try to keep it alive for longer (since with only 1 console now if the next one fails they won't have an handheld to save them so might as well take profit of the Switch while it last).

Price cut might happen but i feel like a revision isn't reallly necessary tbh, Switch is great like it is and people love it. Maybe a smaller and cheaper one ?