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Forums - Sales Discussion - Amazon U.S. March bestsellers and general Amazon-based discussion

Manlytears on 19 March 2018
JRPGfan said:
Oneeee-Chan!!! said:
Sea of Thieves is on sale today.

How many hours before release (its release date is 20th right)? that seems odd.
Also it still shows up as 59$ for me on Amazon (#16).

This is the highest its been right? #16 in the hourlies? and its launching lateron today.
Doesnt appear like the game sold alot on amazon.

Yup, the numbers are looking very low. ( Ni no kuni level low)

I know this game will have some legs ( i think), and digital will make a fair share of the sales, but... numbers in USA are still looking very weak, and it will not get much better whit worldwid3 sales. This is xbox biggest game in the year and i'm starting to think it will flop hard.



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Ryng on 19 March 2018
LipeJJ said:
Ryng_Tolu said:

not until March results aren't out. :P

350K in march, let's go, there is still a chance lol

What’s the bet?

Switch Q1 2018 being higher than PS4 Q1 2014 (910K).

Switch sold so far 552k, so it has to sell 358k in March NPD. Which mean it need an increase of 27% compared to February. It's looking tough but not impossible, usually an increase like this is not gonna happen, because February is a big month, and there is a big increase over January. However, when the increase is weak (30/40% increase only or less), March is usually gonna have a great increase or at least not a decrease, because February was weaker than expect.

 

A good example of this is Xbox one last year:

Usually Xbox one has an increase of >80% in February compared to January. However, last year the increase was only 36%, which is pretty low for his standard, and March saw an increase of 13%. There are also other examples of weak February compensate by a March increase, only problem is the 27% which is not low.

 

But we'll see, to be honest i always expected March to be stronger than February for Switch for many reasons, now we have to see how much better it'll be.



LipeJJ on 19 March 2018
Ryng_Tolu said:
LipeJJ said:

What’s the bet?

Switch Q1 2018 being higher than PS4 Q1 2014 (910K).

Switch sold so far 552k, so it has to sell 358k in March NPD. Which mean it need an increase of 27% compared to February. It's looking tough but not impossible, usually an increase like this is not gonna happen, because February is a big month, and there is a big increase over January. However, when the increase is weak (30/40% increase only or less), March is usually gonna have a great increase or at least not a decrease, because February was weaker than expect.

 

A good example of this is Xbox one last year:

Usually Xbox one has an increase of >80% in February compared to January. However, last year the increase was only 36%, which is pretty low for his standard, and March saw an increase of 13%. There are also other examples of weak February compensate by a March increase, only problem is the 27% which is not low.

 

But we'll see, to be honest i always expected March to be stronger than February for Switch for many reasons, now we have to see how much better it'll be.

I see. It will be close anyway. I believe in a stronger March as well, as I think Kirby will have more impact than a port of Bayonetta.



Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won

duduspace1 on 19 March 2018
Mar1217 said:

I'll thank the lonely boy who'll continue to keep track of the Switch rankings in Amazon after that NPD blow.

Maybe it'll get it right for the next 3 months and people will believe in it firmly again.

There is nothing permanently wrong with Amazon's data I think it is more about following the trends .... and particularly noting when devices go out of stock. We already knew before now that Amazon does not have an 100% record, the latest numbers while a bit unexpected but shouldnt be too surprising comsidering MHW overall sale and the fact we didnt really see its boost in January since it released on the 26th.

Also if memory serves me right ? Didnt the PS4 go out of stock on Amazon in february ?

The issue is when people take Amazon bestseller sales as an Oracle of sorts. It is true that it can be predictive but in reality, what it actually does is indicate possible trends. A snapshot in time might miss the trend hence the reason why its not 100% accurate.



CalmFire on 19 March 2018

God of War up to #5 thanks to the previews. Nice.



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Lawlight on 19 March 2018
Ryng_Tolu said:
LipeJJ said:

What’s the bet?

Switch Q1 2018 being higher than PS4 Q1 2014 (910K).

Switch sold so far 552k, so it has to sell 358k in March NPD. Which mean it need an increase of 27% compared to February. It's looking tough but not impossible, usually an increase like this is not gonna happen, because February is a big month, and there is a big increase over January. However, when the increase is weak (30/40% increase only or less), March is usually gonna have a great increase or at least not a decrease, because February was weaker than expect.

 

A good example of this is Xbox one last year:

Usually Xbox one has an increase of >80% in February compared to January. However, last year the increase was only 36%, which is pretty low for his standard, and March saw an increase of 13%. There are also other examples of weak February compensate by a March increase, only problem is the 27% which is not low.

 

But we'll see, to be honest i always expected March to be stronger than February for Switch for many reasons, now we have to see how much better it'll be.

So, will you be deducting 1 week like Rick said you agreed to? If I was him, I would have added the PS4 supply issues and higher price point as factors to be consideredz



Oneeee-Chan!!! on 19 March 2018

Yakuza kiwami 2 !



quickrick on 19 March 2018
Lawlight said:
Ryng_Tolu said:

Switch Q1 2018 being higher than PS4 Q1 2014 (910K).

Switch sold so far 552k, so it has to sell 358k in March NPD. Which mean it need an increase of 27% compared to February. It's looking tough but not impossible, usually an increase like this is not gonna happen, because February is a big month, and there is a big increase over January. However, when the increase is weak (30/40% increase only or less), March is usually gonna have a great increase or at least not a decrease, because February was weaker than expect.

 

A good example of this is Xbox one last year:

Usually Xbox one has an increase of >80% in February compared to January. However, last year the increase was only 36%, which is pretty low for his standard, and March saw an increase of 13%. There are also other examples of weak February compensate by a March increase, only problem is the 27% which is not low.

 

But we'll see, to be honest i always expected March to be stronger than February for Switch for many reasons, now we have to see how much better it'll be.

So, will you be deducting 1 week like Rick said you agreed to? If I was him, I would have added the PS4 supply issues and higher price point as factors to be consideredz

yup he agreed then he changed his mind after FEB results, lol.



quickrick on 19 March 2018
Mar1217 said:
quickrick said:

yup he agreed then he changed his mind after FEB results, lol.

I mean, can't you just quote him on that ? You surely find your answer in the NPD prediction thread.

we made the bet on resetera, does this link work?

https://www.resetera.com/conversations/the-bet.23087/



reviniente on 19 March 2018

Sea of Thieves No. #1 on Amazon UK right now.