According to VGC Echoes sits at 600k, Awakening and Fates are at 2 million. That's solid considering the 3DS is in it's twilight, Echoes released only a year after Fates in the West, Fire Emblem Switch was announced before it launched, Echoes is a remake of a very unconventional game, and while good the game isn't that good. To sell as well as Awakening/Fates was never realistic, though I did think it could pull a million, but eh.
I highly doubt a Switch version of Echoes and Fire Emblem Switch releasing in 2018 could exist in the same timeline. I'm certain Echoes happened because it was easy to make happen, all the engines n assets were already there from Awakening n Fates. To make a Switch version would require more effort, which could impact the progress of Fire Emblem Switch. I know you said a straight non-HD port, but I don't think Nintendo would ever do that for a retail release, gotta keep up that quality image!
As for Fire Emblem Warriors, both versions combined sit at 400k, maybe it could creak past 500k lifetime. For a spin-off of a series that sells 2 million, that's not bad. Even with a better roster I don't think you could expect much more.