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Forums - Gaming - "The Nintendo Switch Is Selling Exactly As Fast As Sony's PS4" - Forbes

 

Do you agree with the article?

Yes, Switch will KILL the PS4! 18 12.95%
 
No, PS4 will remain champion! 74 53.24%
 
Hard to tell right now, time will only tell. 47 33.81%
 
Total:139
Naum said:

This people is why I come to this site less and less.....

If that was the case, then the real reason would be because you're being way too sensitive and reactionary.



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quickrick said:
zorg1000 said:

Dont kid youself, next fiscal year will be down 75% YOY followed by another 75% down the next year and discontinued by March 2020.

FY17-2.74m

FY18-14.00m

FY19-3.50m

FY20-1.06m

LT-21.30m

It will end just under Gamecube numbers.

lmao dude it will probably at the minimum do 50 million. japan it will 15-20, us 15-20- europe 10 million, this is where switch will end up.

Bro are you serious? O.O

 

This entire time youve been posting you made it seem like switch will fall off a cliff in sales. You keep saying 1st year nintendo already released all of there biggest system sellers with their 2 most hyped games ever......

 

And now 50mil is the minimum? O.o

 

I mean you really contradicted yourself xD



tbone51 said:
quickrick said:

lmao dude it will probably at the minimum do 50 million. japan it will 15-20, us 15-20- europe 10 million, this is where switch will end up.

Bro are you serious? O.O

 

This entire time youve been posting you made it seem like switch will fall off a cliff in sales. You keep saying 1st year nintendo already released all of there biggest system sellers with their 2 most hyped games ever......

 

And now 50mil is the minimum? O.o

 

I mean you really contradicted yourself xD

i never said switch will fail. i said sales will slow down hard, it will be around 55-60 million ltd imo. switch at its current pace doing only 55 ltd is sales falling hard.



quickrick said:
tbone51 said:

Bro are you serious? O.O

 

This entire time youve been posting you made it seem like switch will fall off a cliff in sales. You keep saying 1st year nintendo already released all of there biggest system sellers with their 2 most hyped games ever......

 

And now 50mil is the minimum? O.o

 

I mean you really contradicted yourself xD

i never said switch will fail. i said sales will slow down hard, it will be around 55-60 million ltd imo. switch at its current pace doing only 55 ltd is sales falling hard.

Define falling hard.

Assuming it sells ~13 million this year, what do you expect it to sell next year and the year after?



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

zorg1000 said:
quickrick said:

i never said switch will fail. i said sales will slow down hard, it will be around 55-60 million ltd imo. switch at its current pace doing only 55 ltd is sales falling hard.

Define falling hard.

Assuming it sells ~13 million this year, what do you expect it to sell next year and the year after?

look at 3ds of what to expect but i expect sales to fall 30% harder. each year.



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quickrick said:
zorg1000 said:

Define falling hard.

Assuming it sells ~13 million this year, what do you expect it to sell next year and the year after?

look at 3ds of what to expect but i expect sales to fall 30% harder. each year.

Give me actual numbers please.

2017-~13 million

2018-???

2019-???

2020-???



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

quickrick said:
zorg1000 said:

Define falling hard.

Assuming it sells ~13 million this year, what do you expect it to sell next year and the year after?

look at 3ds of what to expect but i expect sales to fall 30% harder. each year.

Tbf you said around half for US next year. Lets ignore that and use your 30% each year for years 2-5!

(Calendar years)

 

Y1: 14mil (March-Dec)

Y2: 10mil

Y3: 7mil

Y4: 4mil

Y5:  3mil

 

Total: 38mil

 

See your falling off a cliff theory cant be right if you believe 50mil is the minimum




2017-~13 million

2018-???12

2019-???8

2020-??? 7 m

2021  7 m



quickrick said:


2017-~13 million

2018-???12

2019-???8

2020-???8

2021 7

What the hell is this?



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

This is my minimum prediction for years 2-4

Y1: 14mil
Y2: 15mil (full supply)
Y3: 16mil (pokemon+new sku)
Y4: 11mil
Y5: 9mil

Minimum 65mil lifetime