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Forums - Sales - PS4 VS Switch lifetime sales, which console will sell the most?

 

What do you expect?

NSW will win by a huge margin 53 16.06%
 
NSW will win by a small margin 75 22.73%
 
PS4 will win by a small margin 75 22.73%
 
PS4 will win by a huge margin 117 35.45%
 
Sorry, no troll XB1 option. :P Oh wait... 10 3.03%
 
Total:330
zorg1000 on 15 November 2017
ThisGuyFooks said:
zorg1000 said:

One major factor to consider though is that Switch launched in March compared to November, having a holiday season is a huge advantage for PS4. Switch will pass PS4 numbers in the next 3 months but will then lose the lead again once PS4 2nd holiday comes into play, they will likely teeter totter like this for awhile.

 

I never said anything about PS4 sales plummeting or its peak so i have no idea why you brought that up.

I didnt know the holidays were skipping the Playstation consoles!

And i thought this was a great deal

I feel like you dont pay any attention.

Ill try taking you through this step by step.

 

PS4 is at 8.7m & Switch at 7.0m launches aligned.

 

They released at different times of the year so at this point in time PS4 had a holiday season already while Switch does not.

Once Switch's first holiday sales are added then it will likely be ahead of PS4.

Once PS4 2nd holiday numbers are added than it will retake the lead over Switch.

 

Depending on how Switch sells in the next year or two, this flip flopping could continue.

 

Does that make sense to you now?



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

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ThisGuyFooks on 15 November 2017
zorg1000 said:

I feel like you dont pay any attention.

Ill try taking you through this step by step.

 

PS4 is at 8.7m & Switch at 7.0m launches aligned.

 

They released at different times of the year so at this point in time PS4 had a holiday season already while Switch does not.

Once Switch's first holiday sales are added then it will likely be ahead of PS4.

Once PS4 2nd holiday numbers are added than it will retake the lead over Switch.

 

Depending on how Switch sells in the next year or two, this flip flopping could continue.

 

Does that make sense to you now?

It does makes sense, we should watch closely the thread where they follow the aligned sales for both consoles. 

The holiday factor is very big, also the fact that the PS4 has been selling more than the previous year since launch is something to take into consideration.

Let's see how it goes! 

My prediction remains the same tho



quickrick on 15 November 2017
zorg1000 said:
ThisGuyFooks said:

I didnt know the holidays were skipping the Playstation consoles!

And i thought this was a great deal

I feel like you dont pay any attention.

Ill try taking you through this step by step.

 

PS4 is at 8.7m & Switch at 7.0m launches aligned.

 

They released at different times of the year so at this point in time PS4 had a holiday season already while Switch does not.

Once Switch's first holiday sales are added then it will likely be ahead of PS4.

Once PS4 2nd holiday numbers are added than it will retake the lead over Switch.


Depending on how Switch sells in the next year or two, this flip flopping could continue.

 

Does that make sense to you now?

OMG the stupid holiday excuse ps4 was sold within 24 hours in north america, the holiday didnt help it, because it had no stock. just like the wii, just like the 360. people forget that these consoles with out the holidays would sell 1.5 million in 2 months just based on launch demand.  example if super nes classic launched during the holidays, it would have made 0 difference, because it sold out right away.

Last edited by quickrick - on 15 November 2017

ThisGuyFooks on 15 November 2017
quickrick said:
zorg1000 said:

I feel like you dont pay any attention.

Ill try taking you through this step by step.

 

PS4 is at 8.7m & Switch at 7.0m launches aligned.

 

They released at different times of the year so at this point in time PS4 had a holiday season already while Switch does not.

Once Switch's first holiday sales are added then it will likely be ahead of PS4.

Once PS4 2nd holiday numbers are added than it will retake the lead over Switch.


Depending on how Switch sells in the next year or two, this flip flopping could continue.

 

Does that make sense to you now?

OMG the stupid holiday excuse ps4 was sold within 24 hours in north america, the holiday didnt help it, because it had no stock. just like the wii, just like the 360. people forget that these consoles with out the holidays would sell 1.5 million in 2 months just based on launch demand.  example if super nes classic launched during the holidays, it would have made 0 difference, because it sold out right away.

That is true tho, the PS4 was nearly impossible to find the first few months.



zorg1000 on 15 November 2017
quickrick said:
zorg1000 said:

I feel like you dont pay any attention.

Ill try taking you through this step by step.

 

PS4 is at 8.7m & Switch at 7.0m launches aligned.

 

They released at different times of the year so at this point in time PS4 had a holiday season already while Switch does not.

Once Switch's first holiday sales are added then it will likely be ahead of PS4.

Once PS4 2nd holiday numbers are added than it will retake the lead over Switch.


Depending on how Switch sells in the next year or two, this flip flopping could continue.

 

Does that make sense to you now?

OMG the stupid holiday excuse ps4 was sold within 24 hours in north america, the holiday didnt help it, because it had no stock. just like the wii, just like the 360. people forget that these consoles with out the holidays would sell 1.5 million in 2 months just based on launch demand.  example if super nes classic launched during the holidays, it would have made 0 difference, because it sold out right away.

It absolutely makes a difference.

 

A user on this site, Shadow1980, who is known for his charts/graphs has data that shows every single console that launched in Nov had similar sales in Dec while every console launched outside of the holidays had a sharp drop in the 2nd month.

 

Youre right that PS4 1st month sales would have likely stayed the same but its 2nd month sales would likley have been very different if it launched outside of the holidays because people are far more likely to spend hundreds of dollars on gaming in Dec compared to April.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Around the Network
quickrick on 15 November 2017
zorg1000 said:
quickrick said:

OMG the stupid holiday excuse ps4 was sold within 24 hours in north america, the holiday didnt help it, because it had no stock. just like the wii, just like the 360. people forget that these consoles with out the holidays would sell 1.5 million in 2 months just based on launch demand.  example if super nes classic launched during the holidays, it would have made 0 difference, because it sold out right away.

It absolutely makes a difference.

 

A user on this site, Shadow1980, who is known for his charts/graphs has data that shows every single console that launched in Nov had similar sales in Dec while every console launched outside of the holidays had a sharp drop in the 2nd month.

 

Youre right that PS4 1st month sales would have likely stayed the same but its 2nd month sales would likley have been very different if it launched outside of the holidays because people are far more likely to spend hundreds of dollars on gaming in Dec compared to April.

Thats BS, all the best selling consoles in NPD sold like crap during there holiday launch. 360, wii, and ps2, because they were out of stock, check yourself, even the switch could have sold 1.5 in 2 months if it wasnt for stock issues. but ps4 only sold 2 million in 2 months, in 24 hours it sold 1.3 in november, then only 700k in december.



zorg1000 on 15 November 2017
quickrick said:
zorg1000 said:

It absolutely makes a difference.

 

A user on this site, Shadow1980, who is known for his charts/graphs has data that shows every single console that launched in Nov had similar sales in Dec while every console launched outside of the holidays had a sharp drop in the 2nd month.

 

Youre right that PS4 1st month sales would have likely stayed the same but its 2nd month sales would likley have been very different if it launched outside of the holidays because people are far more likely to spend hundreds of dollars on gaming in Dec compared to April.

Thats BS, all the best selling consoles in NPD sold like crap during there holiday launch. 360, wii, and ps2, because they were out of stock, check yourself, even the switch could have sold 1.5 in 2 months if it wasnt for stock issues. but ps4 only sold 2 million in 2 months, in 24 hours it sold 1.3 in november, then only 700k in december.

Maybe you should check, or just ask Shadow, he has all the data dating back to 2000 or so.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

quickrick on 15 November 2017
zorg1000 said:
quickrick said:

Thats BS, all the best selling consoles in NPD sold like crap during there holiday launch. 360, wii, and ps2, because they were out of stock, check yourself, even the switch could have sold 1.5 in 2 months if it wasnt for stock issues. but ps4 only sold 2 million in 2 months, in 24 hours it sold 1.3 in november, then only 700k in december.

Maybe you should check, or just ask Shadow, he has all the data dating back to 2000 or so.

i already checked the best selling consoles, all sold peanuts there first holiday, at best 2-400k more, then if they launched at march.



Kerotan on 15 November 2017
tbone51 said:
zorg1000 said:
I really dont understand why so many people think Switch sales are gonna plummet next year, it seems very much like wishful thinking to me.

It is wishful thinking. I can hate nintendo with a passion and see its going to go up YoY for obvious reasons. I mean unless im Colin... Then maybe not

It's no different then people thinking vita couldn't beat who u or ps4 wouldn't beat who u in Japan.  People think with their hearts not their heads .



zorg1000 on 15 November 2017
quickrick said:
zorg1000 said:

Maybe you should check, or just ask Shadow, he has all the data dating back to 2000 or so.

i already checked the best selling consoles, all sold peanuts there first holiday, at best 2-400k more, then if they launched at march.

We are talking about 2nd month drop.

Every console that launches in Nov has a relatively consistent 2nd month.

Every console that launches in Spring has a sharp 2nd month drop.

That is why launching in the holidays is an advantage when comparing launches aligned.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.