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Forums - Nintendo - Prediction: Splatoon 2 will outsell Mario Odyssey lifetime.

 

Which game is going to be the bigger seller?

Splatoon 2. 7 6.09%
 
Super Mario Odyssey. 101 87.83%
 
Both will be amost identical. 5 4.35%
 
I don't know or care. 2 1.74%
 
Total:115

With everyone so enthralled by the sales and the reviews of Mario Odyssey, I've decided to make a prediction. Maybe it's not as bold as I think it is, but hey.

I bet that Splatoon 2 will outsell Mario Odyssey lifetime. Both games are going to be massive, of course, but Nintendo is going to push Splatoon 2 much more than Mario, just because the game is one of the key elements to sell people into their online fees. Mario will sell very well too, but I don't see it being as prominent as Splatoon, specially in Japan (and we all know how well handhelds do there, plus Splatoon's success there).

Both will probably sell over 10m lifetime, and in the end I can see both having very similar sales, but I believe Splatoon will come out on top.

I don't know if I should use the 3D World vs Splatoon 1 comparaison with this. The Switch is going to sell way more than the WiiU, and Nintendo will want to push the online there way more than they did on the WiiU.

Someone bring back this thread if I forget about it, around the time when the Switch's successor comes around.

EDIT: When I say that the squid will beat the plumber, I mean in worldwide terms. When we combine the sales from all the regions, Splatoon 2 will be the bigger game.

Last edited by Darwinianevolution - on 01 November 2017

You know it deserves the GOTY.

Come join The 2018 Obscure Game Monthly Review Thread.

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Reserved, just in case.



You know it deserves the GOTY.

Come join The 2018 Obscure Game Monthly Review Thread.

Very bold prediction indeed. I don't see that happening, especially since Mario is probably going to be bundled heavily for quite some time.



In Japan? Yes.

Worldwide? No.



"Just for comparison Uncharted 4 was 20x bigger than Splatoon 2. This shows the huge difference between Sony's first-party games and Nintendo's first-party games."

Maybe in Japan...



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No way. I see no reason Splatoon 2 outsells Odyssey in any region except Japan. And even then, Odyssey's opening week sales in Japan really weren't that much lower than Splatoon's. 10m is the absolute lowest Odyssey will sell lifetime, whereas I don't think splatoon 2 can hit that mark even in a best case scenario. 

Last edited by HyrulianScrolls - on 01 November 2017

No, Splatoon2 is stronger just in Japan, Mario is stronger in rest of world.



Ultrashroomz said:
In Japan? Yes.

Worldwide? No.

Hmm, good point. I still think it will be the better seller in total sales worldwide, though. I'll add that point to the thread.



You know it deserves the GOTY.

Come join The 2018 Obscure Game Monthly Review Thread.

Splatoon2 reach 20mil? Maybe but SMO wins



Darwinianevolution said:
Ultrashroomz said:
In Japan? Yes.

Worldwide? No.

Hmm, good point. I still think it will be the better seller in total sales worldwide, though. I'll add that point to the thread.

What would your predictions on final numbers be for both?