In Japan ,even if the Wii wins out ,the PS3 will have its market .There are many gamers that want good graphics and technically advanced games .Those will go for the PS3 ,as the X360 isnt even an option in Japan ....ant thats the core of the hardcore gamers that will support the machine .The PSP has sold very well ,and the software isnt selling so well its true ...guess the piratery is harming it specially .With the PS3 that problem wont be present for a long time .
Last week data showed a very strong low point in hardware sales ,with the DS around only 89 000 units .The percentage of sales decrease of the PS3 was in line with all the others plattforms .One can argue that if the console had been in rupture stock for months then the japanese would have profited last week for purchasing it ...but things not always go that way .The low week was probably because the end of the shopping season and will last one or two weeks more ,people have just to adjust their budget after spending too much .February and march sales pick up very fast . Last year saw a proportional decrease in sales for these weeks .
http://www.vgcharts.org/japweekly.php?date=38732
Besides ,not many games are being released ...japanese have had motorstorm ,F1 ,Armored Core 4 and pretty much nothing more since launch .And Motorstorm and F1 with toned down versions without multiplayer included .Its not so strange that they are waiting a bit to the RPG and action games to start appearing .
As for the total sales the PS3 is lacking a bit in Japan ,thats clear .They have had shortages until recently and now is a bad timeframe (no games released and low weeks in sales ) .Even so most of the advantage of the Wii is because the launch day (475 000 consoles against 80 000 ) and once the heavy hitters as Virtua Fighter 5 ,Virtua Tennis 3 ,Mist of Chaos and some more are released next month things will improve for the PS3 .
In NA the PS3 had some 750 000 sold by 31 dec .....if it has only sold 150 000 consoles in all NA in 22 days of january then it is clear those are medocre sales as those would hint to 225 000 for january .In any case we should wait for some official information about january sales ,somehow I think there will be a surprise here ....if 250 000 remaining consoles were in the shelves from december and Sony is supplying 100 000 each week then the shops should be flooded with PS3 ...and they arent ,half the stores doesnt have any and from the remaining half most have 1-2-3 units in store.Prices in amazon and ebay continue to be higher than retail .Maybe it is selling stronger than appearances suggest as some analysts have pointed out ...putting an example the X360 sold 250 000 units in January last year ...if Sony has some 600 000 of supply and sells 400 000 even if it doesnt sold out it would be a major improvement over the X360 sales of last year (and probably this year also ) .
As for games coming the PS3 has quite a lot that the japanese love ;Final Fantasy XIII ,Final Fantasy XIII Versus ,the Square MMORPG they announced ,White Knight Story ,Resident Evil 5 ,Siren 3 ,Gran Turismo 5 ,Winning Eleven 11 (the first proper next gen version after Shingo Seabass Takatsuka ),Gundam Mussou ,Metal Gear Solid 4 ,Virtua Fighter 5 ,Virtua Tennis 3 ,Sonic (reviewed by famitsu but finally delayed by Sega I think that to iron out a bit that camera mess ) , Devil May Cry 4 ,Monster Hunter 3 ,Eye of Judgement ....even games as Enchanted Arms and Mist of Chaos will be of interest for the japanese .