hershel_layton said:
Hillary Clinton is the first woman to be nominated by a major party. Unlike in 2008, she hasn't fallen to anyone. She will go up against Donald Trump, who will represent the Republicans.
Now that we are 100% sure of who will represent each side,...
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We aren't 100% sure, yet. Clinton has notionally got the nomination, but that's on the basis of including superdelegates, who can change their mind at any time up to the convention.
For us to be 100% sure, Clinton has to break the 50% mark on pledged delegates alone. In other words, she needs 2383 pledged delegates. To date, she has gotten 1812. She still needs 571 more delegates to clinch the nomination, and she needs that 571 in pledged delegates to prevent a contested convention.
There are 694 pledged delegates up for grabs today, and another 20 next Tuesday. For Clinton to be 100% certain to be the candidate, she needs to win 80% of the remaining pledged delegates. Otherwise, it's still plausible that something happens between now and the convention that results in superdelegates switching to Sanders en masse.
Right at this moment, including the pledged delegates, Clinton is exactly on 2383 delegates, notionally. So if we suppose that Sanders gets all remaining superdelegates, then for every delegate Clinton gets in these final primaries, Sanders will need to convince one superdelegate to switch to him... plus one more to push him ahead by 1 at the end.