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Forums - Nintendo - Prediction: no new Nintendo home console this year (safe bet)

archbrix said:
Gamemaster87 said:

Eh, better do better research next time, bro.

Announced: E3 2004

Controller First shown: E3 2005

Wii console/software debuts: E3 2006

Launched: November 2006

 

But I can't help you if you don't even bother to research facts.

 

It's ironic that you're such a stickler for facts when your timeline conveniently leaves important ones out, lol.  I fixed it for you though.  :)

1. The controller was still shown at TGS 05 for the first time, That hasn't changed in the last 5 minutes :p

2. It doesn't change the fact that the Wii was launched 2.5 years after it was first announced.





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Gamemaster87 said:
archbrix said:

It's ironic that you're such a stickler for facts when your timeline conveniently leaves important ones out, lol.  I fixed it for you though.  :)

1. The controller was still shown at TGS 05 for the first time, That hasn't changed in the last 5 minutes :p

2. It doesn't change the fact that the Wii was launched 2.5 years after it was first announced.



1.  You're right in that I neglected to fix that part of your timeline before you quoted me.

2.  It doesn't change the fact that the Wii launched the same year it made its E3 debut in 2006.





If it's a safe bet and you believe you have already won, why is this thread needed?



Proud to be the first cool Nintendo fan ever

Number ONE Zelda fan in the Universe

DKCTF didn't move consoles

Prediction: No Zelda HD for Wii U, quietly moved to the succesor

Predictions for Nintendo NX and Mobile


archbrix said:
Gamemaster87 said:

1. The controller was still shown at TGS 05 for the first time, That hasn't changed in the last 5 minutes :p

2. It doesn't change the fact that the Wii was launched 2.5 years after it was first announced.

1.  You're right in that I neglected to fix that part of your timeline before you quoted me.

2.  It doesn't change the fact that the Wii launched the same year it made its E3 debut in 2006.

That's nonsense. The Wii was shown before at E3 2005.





Assuming that the NX isn't a fusion concept or the likes, then it does make sense

I'm thinking of a 2017 release as well, but is a random guess :p



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WoodenPints said:
Gamemaster87 said:

"You're a blind" or "2016 is almost fact" comments are unwanted. Please don't write these senseless comments. Thanks you.

There's as many poeple who are 100% sure 2017 is the launch and throw these same comments to people who think its a 2016 launch.

Anyway as Kapi said this thread exists so let everyone argue there instead of in multiple threads.



^ this, as long as nintendo hasn't made a public statement, there is no right answer. No need to make 30 threads to say the same prediction





Gamemaster87 said:
archbrix said:

1.  You're right in that I neglected to fix that part of your timeline before you quoted me.

2.  It doesn't change the fact that the Wii launched the same year it made its E3 debut in 2006.

That's nonsense. The Wii was shown before at E3 2005.



That is factually incorrect.  A box, code named "Revolution" that was promised to be three DVD boxes thick, was shown before at E3 2005.  You're getting warmer, though.





Gamemaster87 said:

I explained it before several times, so I don't want to go into detail now.

There's the fact that 3DS has no new first party games (excluding Federation Force) this year. This clearly indicates that it will be replaced very soon. I expect it to be replaced at the end of this year or until March 31st, 2017 at thr latest.

So, if the 3DS successor launches in this time period, the Wii U successor can't. So expect it to launch one year later, namely at the end of 2017.

 

There's also Zelda. Nintendo confirmed that it will launch on Wii U in 2016. Of course it does make sense to bring it to the next console, but I don't expect that to happen this year. Recent years have shown that ports with one year delay are way more common. The Last of Us or GTAV for example. Why didn't Take Two or SCE make PS4 ports right at launch? They wanted to sell the PS3 version. After that they wanted to make people buying the PS4 version. So they bought it twice. I expect Nintendo to do the same. Wii U Version = end of 2016, NX version = end of 2017. It does make way more economic sense.

 

Nintendo's internal teams are still mainly making Wii U games (Zelda, Star Fox, Twilight Princess, probably Pikmin). There's also that rumor of a Paper Mario game from Intelligent Systems. All those devs can't work on NX games simultaneously. But Nintendo wants the NX to have a good launch. 

Talking about Paper Mario: This game will probably be launched at the end of the year. Does it make sense to release it one or two months before the next console launches? No. Another indicator that NX won't launch this year.

There's Kimishima promising more Wii U games. More Wii U Games = longer lifespan

Wii U is doing quite well. Software sales are great. Mario Kart 8 for example has sold 2.3 million units in 2015, Smash 1.7 million units. Splatoon has surpassed 4 million in less than a year and Super Mario Maker has almost reached 3 million in 3 months. There's also the DLC for Mario Kart or Smash. I don't see it selling terrible.

Nintendo is not Sony. They can't reach a huge audience in less than a year if they first show it off and launch it this year. Launch will probably be as silent as the Wii U one's.

A four year lifespan of the Wii U will lose a huge amount of consumer's trust.

 

 

As you can see almost everything points to a launch not in 2016. And I'm pretty much sure that it won't launch this year.

"You're a blind" or "2016 is almost fact" comments are unwanted. Please don't write these senseless comments. Thanks you.

What you dont seem to get is that the NX will be both a home and portable console.   In fact the newest rumor states that the portable version will launch this year, with the "home console" version launching in 2017.  But they will both play the same games so either way it still looks like the NX will launch this year.



Prediction for console Lifetime sales:

Wii:100-120 million, PS3:80-110 million, 360:70-100 million

[Prediction Made 11/5/2009]

3DS: 65m, PSV: 22m, Wii U: 18-22m, PS4: 80-120m, X1: 35-55m

I gauruntee the PS5 comes out after only 5-6 years after the launch of the PS4.

[Prediction Made 6/18/2014]

WoodenPints said:
Gamemaster87 said:

"You're a blind" or "2016 is almost fact" comments are unwanted. Please don't write these senseless comments. Thanks you.

There's as many poeple who are 100% sure 2017 is the launch and throw these same comments to people who think its a 2016 launch.

Anyway as Kapi said this thread exists so let everyone argue there instead of in multiple threads.



Well said.  I'm predicting 2016, but I am completely open to the possibility of a 2017 launch, especially if it's early in the year.





There is another thread that currently discusses these same topics of Wii U and NX . Please head on over to the other thread to continue the discussion :)

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=212489&page=1



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