Wrote this already some times, but this situation isnt really similar to Twilight Princess, but to Skyward Sword.

- Wii and Gamecube used almost the same hardware. Porting wasnt even needed, the wii was just a little better version of the gamecube.

- Gamecube had windwaker

- The game fittet perfectly to show what is possible on wii (wiimote gives your the "sword right in your hand"). Its doubtfull this will be the same case for NX, especially considering Zelda Wii U is in development with Wii U´s possibilities (gamepad) as the main thought. They even made Windwaker HD to try it out.

- Gamecube was released same year as TP. The NX isnt even official announced yet.

I'm just saying that I passed Probability & Statistics 411 (senior course) with an A four years ago and though I can't remember anything I am pretty sure you don't multiply everything to get your final percentage. Sorry for cutting in like that with out being more sure. I'll find my book and see if I can be more helpful.

All signs point to yes; the Zelda U delay, the lack of info, the looming formal NX announcement, the winding down of Wii U development, the precedence that was set with Twilight Princess. They know people think that Zelda U will be on the NX and they haven't said anything to stop those rumors -- if anything, all they've done is stop the rumors that Zelda U wouldn't be available for the Wii U. At this point, I'd be significantly surprised if Zelda U ended up being Wii U exclusive.

im pretty sure its done right.

If you flip a coin 2 times, each possibility is 0,5. If you need 2 times the same result, the calculation is 0,5x0,5=0,25. Thats 1/4 and thats right. 

Can't really calculate something like this...

I'll say it's unlikely it will be on the NX (

well its really not that hard.

You have 3 unknown parameters.

1. Release Date 2016 (needed for cross release)

2. NX as a home console replacement (a handheld wouldnt get Zelda Wii U; something completly different (tablet/smartphone) wont either)

3. Nintendo wants it.

The chances go from 0-100%. If your really not sure (could be both) its probl 50%.

To calculate you just need to multiply all chances. 50% in this case are 0,5. (40%= 0,4; 100%= 1,0, etc.).

Thats it ;)

Note: If one of the three paramters is 0%, the chances are automaticly 0% and Zelda Wii U as a cross release on NX in 2016 wont happen.

Pretty easy. If NX wont be released 2016, Zelda NX cant be released 2016 either ;)

If NX cant run Zelda Wii U (cheap handheld, low performance), it wont be released on NX.

If Nintendo dont want Zelda on NX, it wont be released on NX. Pretty Easy. As soon you get a 0,0 in your calculation, the result will instant be 0.

Hope that helped! ;)

I don't think it's that likely honestly... Right away.

If they do decide to do it, they definitely won't announce it till way after Zelda U releases to maximize sales for both the game and the Wii U.

The probability to come to NX is higher than Wii U.

That's the thing, you can't quantify something like this with just simple percentages..

We don't even know the release date, so how to we make it a percent? There is no 'evidence' saying one way or another (2016 or 2017) so giving a numerical value of say 40% or 70% is just random guessing.. so it doesn't work. If the numbers are flawed to begin with, then the answers will definitely be as well :/

Anyways, that aside, it is a interesting calculation, but I don't think it works like that in the real world :p

Very, very likely. Agree with Curl... the chance is about 90%.