considering the latest rumors saying it'll merge home and handheld A LOT, it should sell as those two departments combined in a single year, so the sales must be high, they need to outsell Wii U in the first like 4/5 months...
Nintendo would make a decent profit with 60m units sold, their software attach rates are fantastic. Their first year should do, at least, 10-15m units. Specially if the handheld part can be sold separately and can play all games.
Minimum 10 mil, but ideally 15-20+, depending on how the system works. After the failure that was Wii U, Nintendo needs to convince the market the product will be desirable and 3rd parties that there will be an install base worth their time. And they need to do this pre-release and within 6 months of release. Any indications of failure and the market will reject it. They need to get this launch right.
Should we really discuss about that 2 years before its launch?
Uhm... To all of the people saying it needs to sell more than 15 million in its first year, I am not aware of ANY console selling more than 15 million units in its first year.
If it sells more than 5 million in its first year, I would consider that a successful year.
| DM235 said: Uhm... To all of the people saying it needs to sell more than 15 million in its first year, I am not aware of ANY console selling more than 15 million units in its first year. If it sells more than 5 million in its first year, I would consider that a successful year. |
They're accounting the likelyhood that the handheld and console are released as a fusion/together.
If the NX was its own thing, then yes, 15 million is too high of an expectation.
However, with a handheld, each should sell at least 5 million each.
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12/22/2016- Made a bet with Ganoncrotch that the first 6 months of 2017 will be worse than 2016. A poll will be made to determine the winner. Loser has to take a picture of them imitating their profile picture.
13 million combined.
15 million console + handheld worldwide (4-11) would be fine. More than that would be perfect.
If they make it "cheap" and interesting they could sell a lot. Only in japan the handheld alone could sell like crazy (compared to the 3ds). They should aim for $199 and $299 at max.
You can count at least 1 of each, as I'm a day 1 buyer no matter what :P
| fleischr said: You guys are insane. NX does not need to hit peak Wii + DS levels. If it shows itself competitive with the X1, it'll be doing about 3x better than the WiiU. |
Not enough.
Prediction made in 14/01/2014 for 31/12/2020: PS4: 100M XOne: 70M WiiU: 25M
Prediction made in 01/04/2016 for 31/12/2020: PS4: 100M XOne: 50M WiiU: 18M
Prediction made in 15/04/2017 for 31/12/2020: PS4: 90M XOne: 40M WiiU: 15M Switch: 20M
Prediction made in 24/03/2018 for 31/12/2020: PS4: 110M XOne: 50M WiiU: 14M Switch: 65M
| Luke888 said: considering the latest rumors saying it'll merge home and handheld A LOT, it should sell as those two departments combined in a single year, so the sales must be high, they need to outsell Wii U in the first like 4/5 months... |
Basically this.
2-in-1 means they need to have their single console, sell as well as both a handheld + normal console would sell, for it to not be a fail.
So Im guessing they need better than Wii U first year, and better than 3DS first year... combined, for the NX.
If it does less than that... its the Wii U all over again for nintendo.
I dont think that will happend though.
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