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Forums - Gaming Discussion - Amazon US October monthly bestsellers and general Amazon based discussion

jason1637 said:
Insidb said:

Firstly, I did not say that, but I did note that is what trends indicate. Secondly, Halo series trends on XBox consoles are not the same as Smash Bros. series trends on Nintendo consoles. I don't know whay you would arbitrarily slap a random Halo game's attach rate on a random Smash game and append the word "logic." My logic is exclusive to the console and series that we've been discussing, so let's please stay within the relavant context.

 

As I said earlier, as console userbase increased (X360), Halo attach rates decreased (H3, H:R, and H4). X1 has a vastly smaller userbase than the X360 did, when the last Halo launched with a significantly diminished userbase, so it stands to reason that H5's sales would scale down with some measure of proportionality. That's my logic, and I already stated the reasons why trend may not be directly proportional and some reversal may actually be observed.

Well if we use trends the first halo on ech consoles tend to sell really well during its first few months of sale.

Maybe the trend is that there is an established user base that can be expected to buy the game, in any interation. In spite of the varying attach rates, the sales always seemed to be close to ~10M LTD. It could very well be that those users, who have stuck with X1, will buy this game, making this quite hard to predict. One inarguable fact is that Halo has always been successful, and no naysayer can reasonably attempt to posit otherwise.



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Attach rate is the fakest stat in sales...

If game a sells at a 10% attach rate with 1mil sales, while game b sells at 5% attach rate with 2mil sales. Game b is still the better performing game. the attach rate does not necessarily hold while the total userbase increases. It almost always decreases.

So the sequel to game a is not guaranteed to sell more copies just because the total userbase of the console increases. Attach rate tells me nothing, imho



#13 PS4 Uncharted Trilogy Bundle
#23 Xbox One Halo 5 Bundle
#32 PS4 Star Wars BF III Bundle
#38 PS4 COD BO III Bundle
#66 Xbox One Gears Of War Bundle
#68 PS4 Star Wars Bundle
#81 Xbox One Halo 6 Bundle
#93 PS4 Alone
#94 Xbox One Madden Bundle
#100 PS4 Destiny TKK Bundle



11 hours since last update:

#13 PS4 Nathan Drake Bundle (up 2)
#23 XB1 Halo Bundle (up 2)
#32 PS4 Star Wars Bundle (down 4)*
#38 PS4 Black Ops Bundle (down 1)*
#68 PS4 Star Wars Standard Bundle (same)*
#66 XB1 Gears Bundle (up 15)
#81 XB1 Forza Bundle (up 3)
#93 PS4 Fool's Edition (re-entry)
#94 XB1 Madden Bundle (re-entry)
#100 PS4 Destiny Bundle (down 14)

*Does not affect this month

PS4 - 6 bundles, 5 in the top 100
XB1 - 14 bundles, 4 in the top 100



 

The PS5 Exists. 


BraLoD said:

Once again Googh 2nd got 2nd.

LOL. 11 hours after my last update and I get pipped by a few minutes. What are the chances of that happening?



 

The PS5 Exists. 


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Looks like ps4 is still rising and ahead.



3 hours since last update:

#10 PS4 Nathan Drake Bundle (up 3)
#22 XB1 Halo Bundle (up 1)
#27 PS4 Star Wars Bundle (up 5)*
#36 PS4 Black Ops Bundle (up 2)*
#57 PS4 Star Wars Standard Bundle (up 11)*
#61 XB1 Gears Bundle (up 5)
#77 XB1 Forza Bundle (up 4)
#88 XB1 Madden Bundle (up 6)
#95 PS4 Destiny Bundle (up 5)
#96 XB1 Fallout Bundle (re-entry)*

*Does not affect this month

PS4 - 6 bundles, 5 in the top 100
XB1 - 14 bundles, 5 in the top 100

Everything seems to be going up. This month is going to be big but next month is going to be huge.



 

The PS5 Exists. 


Interesting to see Microsoft throwing in an additional game of the customer's choice, I highly doubt that they'd do that unless they have some intel that they are losing the month.



poklane said:
Interesting to see Microsoft throwing in an additional game of the customer's choice, I highly doubt that they'd do that unless they have some intel that they are losing the month.

yup, you nailed it. considering Amazon Sales and other retailers it seems like X1 is losing, most likely by a short number, but yeah... they are losing.



poklane said:
Interesting to see Microsoft throwing in an additional game of the customer's choice, I highly doubt that they'd do that unless they have some intel that they are losing the month.

I've been on the fence throughout and I'd call it on the 27th. It's about time I put my money where my mouth is:

PS4 wins by 25k - 35k



 

The PS5 Exists.