zelda is the only AAA game. Pokken, SMT x FE (jrpg by the way), xenoblade (jrpg), project treasure and star fox aren't AAA when put next to games like COD, Fallout, MGS, etc.

Vita also has compatibility with ps4 (gives it a lead in europe), and those jrpgs are what give it the lead in japan

You are just making assumptions why Vita will sell more than Wii U in the end, its not as if Nintendo has many big hitters left for Wii U, they've run out of gas when it comes to system seller exclusives for Wii U, other than Zelda U. Even if both are discontinued at the same time Vita will probably have the lead.

I remember that time when this was a given, right now I don't see it. WiiU can get close but I will say nope

It was nevera  given as we can see now.

Before Mario Kart and Smash, oh yeah it was. At least on this site

Maybe but that was more due to the demographics on this site than actual consumer interest.

They've had the same number of "Holidays" in the West as Vita only actually launched 8 months before the Wii U in the West.

Wii U was also at 3.5m within a couple of months of release. So long term sales have slown down greatly.

As you say though, it's pretty much impossible to figure out if it remains so close simply from there being no official figures for Vita sales. It also no longer gets FIFA and FIFA 15 is pretty much the second best selling Vita game of the last 12 months behind MineCraft outside Japan.

There are a few medium tier exclusives still to hit though such as Digimon (2nd Japanese one). It really does depend how long Sony decide to keep supporting it. I did notice the demo of FIFA 16 actually has a specific section for Vita configuration now. I guess they figured Vita owners will also have a PS4 and play the game in their house rather than on the move.

Indeed, the initial predictions were that it would stomp ahead of the Vita in the first 6 months of release.

Now all the big guns have been and gone and the Wii U has failed to gain a meaningful traction to be able to pull ahead.

This holiday will be very interesting. Will the Wii U see it's usual holiday surge?

Someone said looks like Sony have quietly discontinued Vita due to bundles. Those bundles are available without a system too. It's like £29.99 for an 8gb memory card with 4-5 decent higher end Vita games and some lower budget stuff. The hardware itself has been very resilient price-wise stubbornly staying around the £150 mark. There is a good scope for a drop to sub £100 and a bit of a push in 2016 if they were really clearing out inventory.

I think they're just keeping it chugging along. They're shifting consoles without taking a loss and the games are a slow but sure money spinner (they're just getting royalties of 3rd party sales for the most part at this stage) this latter part is something the Wii U is enjoying nowhere near as much.

SCEE Spain have also confirmed they have some other titles in development that have not yet been confirmed and are surprised at the success of the system there.

Would be funny if it didn't.

The lack of FIFA 16 is said, but the lack of local multiplayer on the Vita version of FIFA is even worse. If they patched it in, PlayStation TV would become the ultimate FIFA-Box and it could actually start selling in Europe. I know a few people who'd pick it up to be able to take it anywhere and play FIFA with their friends. There is no other home console that fits in a pocket and is this portable. It would be perfect for any kind of trips to places where there is a TV. Such a missed opportunity.