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Forums - Sales Discussion - Share your most accurate predictions from the prediction league

These are my top 5 most accurate predictions so far, PSP is easiest to predict but I'm especially proud of my software predictions below. It's far more difficult to have a high accuracy on low sales as compared to high sales.

 

Item Prediction  BetActual      Accuracy
 92,102vg$ 25 92,338 99.74%
Maths Training (DS) 45,200vg$ 5 45,341 99.69%
Burnout Paradise (X360) 50,000vg$ 5  50,177 99.65%
 60,000vg$ 25 59,765 99.61%
 150,000vg$ 20 153,321 97.83%

Proof: link, link, link

 



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My most accurate:

Super Smash Bros Brawl (Wii) 90,000 vg$ 200 89,665 99.63%



 

It was a while ago, and I can't find it but:

American Charts-

PSP Prediction: 48,150

Actual Number: 48,158



 

 

 
Burnout Paradise (X360)50,000vg$ 550,17799.65%


 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.

Is from the Others Chart prediction I predict 175,000 DS and the real number is 173,348 with a accuracy of 99.05%



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ItemPredictionBetActualAccuracy
Turok (X360)100,000vg$ 2082,41078.66%
Turok (PS3)45,000vg$ 1044,23498.27%
Devil May Cry 4 (PS3)100,000vg$ 5195,87251.05%
Devil May Cry 4 (X360)150,000vg$ 5337,53944.44%
Assassins Creed: Altairs Chronicles (DS)19,000vg$ 3023,46080.99%
Culdcept Saga (X360)30,000vg$ 1020,33652.48%
Super Mario Galaxy (Wii)74,000vg$ 1572,64698.14%
Guitar Hero III: Legends of Rock (PS2)73,000vg$ 564,69887.17%
Burnout Paradise (X360)50,000vg$ 550,17799.65%
Burnout Paradise (PS3)28,000vg$ 528,41898.53%
153,274vg$ 20153,32199.97%
138,746vg$ 20216,46664.1%
99,768vg$ 2086,52684.7%
61,658vg$ 2074,58882.66%
65,372vg$ 2059,76590.62%

 
I had the second highest accuracy that week with just over 80%. My Devil May Cry predictions were quite off and the Wii shipment bump caught me unaware. But other than that I was fairly proud with my predictions. 


I'm a mod, come to me if there's mod'n to do. 

Chrizum is the best thing to happen to the internet, Period.

Serves me right for challenging his sales predictions!

Bet with dsisister44: Red Steel 2 will sell 1 million within it's first 365 days of sales.

Monster Hunter Freedom 2nd (PSP)16,000vg$ 517,18893.09%

Guitar Hero III: Legends of Rock (PS2)62,000vg$ 3064,69895.83%

Mario & Sonic at the Olympic Games (DS)14,000vg$ 2013,32994.97%

My 3 best. Nothing to brag about really :(



Amazing Stuff Stof! 99.97% that's almost perfect for the DS. And hats off for MontanaHatchet. Only 8 units away from perfect score on PSP.



 My best was:

 
Wii Sports (Wii) 15,000vg$ 5 14,885 99.23%

 The average was:

 
Wii Sports (Wii) 25,151vg$1,875 14,885 31.03%

I also had:

 
Devil May Cry 4 (PS3) 7,000vg$ 5 9,096 76.96%

when the average was:

 
Devil May Cry 4 (PS3) 19,907vg$1,335 9,096 0%

This one wasn't that good because several people were closer with 10,000, but mine is still much better than the average.

Systems owned: Nintendo 64, GameCube, Xbox 360, Atari 7800, Genesis, PlayStation, Dreamcast, Game Boy Advance, Nintendo DS.

Year-end predictions (April 6, 2008):

  • DS: 94 million (96.0)
  • Wii: 46 million (44.4)
  • PSP: 45 million (43.6)
  • X360: 27 million (27.3)
  • PS3: 24 million (19.4)
  • PS2: 124 million (123.7)