The expectations for this game is too tall, I don´t expect selling that much in one week.
The expectations for this game is too tall, I don´t expect selling that much in one week.
6m (worldwide?) for week#1 seems about right. When you break it down by platform/territory, its not that insane really. Remember - its shipment figures as well - sellthrough for week#1 could be as low as 50%-60%.
US: 2m 360, 1m PS3
Europe: 1m 360, 1m PS3
Japan: (later)
In many ways, its the biggest game of this entire generation (cross-platform title anyway).
I still think WiiFit will outsell it this year - for any single platform anyway (combined, probably not).
Gesta Non Verba
Nocturnal is helping companies get cheaper game ratings in Australia:
Wii code: 2263 4706 2910 1099
Like Shams said (and I think I and other earlier) this is shipments, for both consoles, it is also assumedly worldwide... so is therefore a pretty good estimate.

| DragonLord said: I guess for me, I'm just looking at it this way: And then, you probably cut that installed base by 25% or more because of people that own BOTH consoles...they'll only get it one one of them (like me). So then, you're looking at a total of 35 million potential buyers...then you have a 25.5% attach rate. Just seems high to me. But, I could very well be wrong. I actually hope it does really well. |
at the time, gta usually has higher than 20% attatch rate. also, 47 is high because many will be multi owners.
It is not unreasonable to think it will. The buyers are certainly there when considering how much it sold in the previous generation of consoles.
PS3 will sell 6 million units of GTA 4 in one week alone.
| thekitchensink said: @Kazadoom: All of the GTA's last generation sold nearly 20 million. I predict 75% of these 6 million will sell first week or more. |
only san andreas and vice city hit 15mil...none hit nearly 20mil...gta3 was 11mil
Bets:Missed by 420k I bet leo-j vg$500 that wii will sell 31 million by 7/31/08. Sorry, I don't think he has enough vg$ to make it with all of u that wish you could. Hit, with room to spare I bet kingofwale a 1-week ban that wii Americas ltd sales>360 Americas ltd sales as of the numbers for week ending 7/05/08 (using vgchartz homepage #s)
Predictions:
Wii will sell 18-20mil by 12/31/07 CHECKWii will sell 45mil+ WW by 12/31/08Wii will surpass PS2 sales WW by 11/17/11 (5yr anniversary)Wii Fit will hit 12mil sales in 2009MKWii+SSBB+Wii Fit+SMG > 50 mil sales by 2010 > gta4+mgs+gt5+ff13+haze+lbpGTA4 could be a really fun game... or it could be an epic flop... shipping 6 million units tells me they are putting all their eggs in the GTA basket.
To me this means they don't have faith in their products quality. They are hoping it gets Halo'd and sells so much on day 1 people don't have time to spread negative word of mouth... I sense a letdown in the making. I have not heard much GTA buzz amoung "gamers" that I know, not like I do with halo.
psn- tokila
add me, the more the merrier.