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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Predict Splatoon sales first week.

 

How much will sell Splatoon first week?

100,000 or less BOMBED 128 13.05%
 
150,000 - 200,000 195 19.88%
 
250,000 - 300,000 171 17.43%
 
300,000 - 350,000 133 13.56%
 
400,000 - 450,000 113 11.52%
 
500,000 - 550,000 93 9.48%
 
600,000 - 650,000 26 2.65%
 
700,000 - 750,000 14 1.43%
 
Above 750k SUCCES!!! 106 10.81%
 
Total:979
small44 on 19 April 2015
DolPhanTendo said:
binary solo said:
Majority has gone for under 300K.

For those predicting over 500K, what 100% totally brand new IP has launched at over 500K on Wii U so far? Only 20 games from the entire Wii U library have done over 500K LTD so far, according to VGC. As far as I can tell the only 100% new IP that is over 500K LTD is ZombiU.

Chances are Splatoon may struggle to get 500K LTD.


Lol at the 500k Struggle I wish only NINTENDO fans could vote on this. It's sad how some just hate for no reason. This guy will also be the first to say "well with barely anything released and no third parties of coarse it's selling, NINTENDO owners have nothing to buy". 

He never say he want to game to sell bad his just predicting



PS4 - over 100 millions let's say 120m
Xbox One - 70m
Wii U - 25m

Vita - 15m if it will not get Final Fantasy Kingdoms Heart and Monster Hunter 20m otherwise
3DS - 80m

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Nettles on 19 April 2015

Rofl, you guys are really overestimating Japan numbers IMO.
Us: 125, EUR: 65, JP : 35
Total WW 1st week : 225k



Angelv577 on 19 April 2015

US: 150k
Europe: 75k
Japan 65k
Total: 290k FW



melbye on 19 April 2015

US: 30000
EU: 10000
Japan: 20000
WW: 60000

I know it is not an optimistic number, but i can't see this going well, Hope i am wrong



Toxy on 19 April 2015
binary solo said:

Why? Because Nintendo fans would vote based on hope and wishes rather than looking at empirical information? I'm basing my views on software sales on Wii U to date, according to VGC because I have nothing better to go on. Fact is, aside from ZombiU there is no brand new IP on Wii U that has sold above 500K, according to VGC. If there is a benchmark against which Splatoon should be measured it's The Wonderful 101.

I see you don't even bother answering the question I pose, rather you content yourself with throwing out unfounded accusations, and putting words on my keyboard I've never written. Where is your evidence of my irrational hate and making excuses for games selling better than I predicted? When it comes to predicting sales for Wii U games I've been pretty close to how things have turned out most of the time, because I try to be analytical about things rather than be lead by my emotions or my hopes and wishes. You think I want Splatoon to fail. I'm just trying to read WiiU's reality and predict how things will go. If how I read things isn't to your liking suddenly it's because I am hating for no reason. What are you going to say if what I've suggested comes close to being true? Are you going to write me an apology?


Captain Toad has sold over 500k and it is a new IP (albeit with a recognisable character from the Mario universe). 

Bayonetta 2 has sold over 600k and is a new IP for Nintendo fans, although it is technically not a new IP, so your point still stands.

However, where your argument falls short, is when you use the Wonderful 101 as the benchmark to measure the approximate sales for Splatoon.
Splatoon is a (somewhat) different take on the 3rd person shooter, which is a popular genre in itself, regardless of being a new IP.

 

The Wonderful 101 is a game targeted toward a very niche crowd. Dare I say, it would not have moved much units on Sony or Microsoft platforms. It is a niche genre, as well as being developed by a niche party (Platinum Games). Platinum games are notorious for generally being high quality titles, yet they do not necessarily equate to good sales.

Splatoon, while being a new IP, is a Nintendo developed in-house title. It is of a more popular genre, one of which does not have a strong presence on the Wii U at the moment. 
It is safe to say that this game will likely sell more than Wonderful 101, as it has more hype and coverage thus far. Whether it will be a huge hit on the other hand; is anyone's guess at this point.



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Cloudman on 19 April 2015

429,832 WW



 

              

Dance my pretties!

The Official Art Thread      -      The Official Manga Thread      -      The Official Starbound Thread

binary solo on 19 April 2015
tbone51 said:
binary solo said:
DolPhanTendo said:
binary solo said:

Why? Because Nintendo fans would vote based on hope and wishes rather than looking at empirical information? I'm basing my views on software sales on Wii U to date, according to VGC because I have nothing better to go on. Fact is, aside from ZombiU there is no brand new IP on Wii U that has sold above 500K, according to VGC. If there is a benchmark against which Splatoon should be measured it's The Wonderful 101.

I see you don't even bother answering the question I pose, rather you content yourself with throwing out unfounded accusations, and putting words on my keyboard I've never written. Where is your evidence of my irrational hate and making excuses for games selling better than I predicted? When it comes to predicting sales for Wii U games I've been pretty close to how things have turned out most of the time, because I try to be analytical about things rather than be lead by my emotions or my hopes and wishes. You think I want Splatoon to fail. I'm just trying to read WiiU's reality and predict how things will go. If how I read things isn't to your liking suddenly it's because I am hating for no reason. What are you going to say if what I've suggested comes close to being true? Are you going to write me an apology?


Can you pls just predict US/Japan/Europe and WW #s pls? So We can add it to the OP

Lol!

Can't sorry because I can't narrow it down to better than 150-200K too many variables for me to be able to be more precise.



“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell

"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace."

Jimi Hendrix

 

uran10 on 19 April 2015
Nettles said:
Rofl, you guys are really overestimating Japan numbers IMO.
Us: 125, EUR: 65, JP : 35
Total WW 1st week : 225k

Its already in the Japan preorder charts with over 40 days to go, yea you're underestimating it.



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Jranation on 19 April 2015

US: 120k
EU: 50k
JP: 70k

WW: 250k



Pocky Lover Boy! 

JRPGfan on 19 April 2015

Going to be between 250k and 350k... I think.
(cant see it doing over 350k)