OdinHades said:
I don't get why people think this will be a short generation. I think it will be at least as long as Gen 7. The tech just doesn't evolve as fast as in the past. CPUs a re pretty much stagnating and considerably faster GPU units are so damn expensive that they aren't interesting at all for a console. On top of that, you don't see as much difference as back in the day from more hardware power. The resolution might go up a little, the fps might go up a little, but that's pretty much it. If there was a new console in 2 or 3 years, we would be seeing Cross-Gen titles like there's no tomorrow, because every game could be easily ported to the last gen. With that happening, many many people will just stick to their PS4/X1, because why should they throw out another 400+ $ when the old console is doing just fine and is still getting all major games? It would be a pretty high risk for any manufacturer to release a console too early.
New consoles will arrive when they are needed and the most important thing for that are significantly faster APU units. They need to be at least 5 times faster, better yet would be factor between 8 and 10. An APU like that isn't even on the horizon yet and you sure as hell won't be seeing a manufacturer packing a dedicated GPU into a console. The price would be insane, same as the power usage. Not interesting for the mass market.
Moore's law is pretty much gone and that's why I think console generations will only get longer and longer from here on out. I don't expect a PS5 before 2020. |
This.
I have been saying the exact same thing. And I think people just don't understand it. whenever I hear someone say "short gen" or "new consoles in 2018/2019".... I just say to myself they don't know what they are talking about.
Even with an 8yr generation, the leap from the PS360 gen to the PS41 gen was nowhere near as big as that of the previous gen shift. And that will become more prrvailant with each passing gen thus reducing the need to have a new console.
I mean lets face it. Even with the best games PC has to offer, outside cleaner textures, higher rez and higher framerates; are they really that much better than the best we have on consoles today? If a top 5 list of best looking games is made I'm sure the PS4 will get into at least 2/3 slots. At the end of the day that's all it come down to.
The only real thing the next gen consoles will bring to the table is MAYBE everything we have now but in 4k/60fps..... (who are we kidding). This is what I think. The next gen consoles won't be here until they can efficiently put 4k capable hardware with room to spare in a $300-$400 box. If anyone thinks that can happen before 2018/2019?
Well.... I'll just say that person is delusional.
