It'll do just under a million.

Enough.

FW: 380k
LT: 1.25m

It'll sell enough hopefully.

400k FW 1.6M LT

390k FW (launches alligned) and 1.3 million LT.

Off topic: I wish there was a rule for when "Prediction threads" should be made. Like 1 or 2 months before the game releases. Sure, it comes out in April in Japan, but at this point it's fairly difficult to make right predictions IMO.

FW 300k, LT 900k

Considering Nintendo isn't stupid again and actually decides to keep the game in stock after the initial release period.

I hope it manages to sell 1.5 mil. After all, Wii U owners should be eagerly awaiting this one considering the eternal drought plaguing the system. This should help sales of such big time games. I hope Nintendo decides to advertize the game.

I have high hopes for this game, but it`ll be niche on a niche console, so around 500K, but it will definitely be at least a mil LT ; )

It's simple

Compare the userbase between the system the predecessor was on (Wii vs Wii U, but Wii U has super high ratio for 1st party games released after MK8 so far), the situation between the 2 games (2 JRPGs, one that was wanted to be localized by many (which may have caused less sales) and with very limited supply in USA (less sales again, and it's biggest market). The other one has very high expectations by the new fanbase spawned in the Wii, so that likely means better sales + Shulk's appearance in Smash makes a familiar face for the hardcore), and all the pre-order numbers can be helpful.

Now, the thing that could make it difficult is... Nintendo (marketing). And in Japan it is likely to sell bad since Wii U doing very bad over, and it has no momentum whatsoever.

Lastly, the Wii U has a healthy life software-wise, so most people will go with high numbers, and HyWa showed that not so popular games can sell very good (even if it was the Zelda textures).