TheDrill said:
I am pretty sure I have provided ample evidence across all my threads and/or posts I have made.
The summary is.
1) In the us X360/Xbox was a strong brand last generation, greatly outselling the PS3
2) Xbox exclusives, especially halo saled a lot more software than ps3 exclusives and even the highest selling PS3 games
3) The US is associated with FPS and Xbox 360 is a machine praised and appreciated for it's FPS games and very well designed online play (Xbox live)
4) Even with X1 being outsold in the US, it still manages to not only hold it's own (compared to other regions) but it also sales significantly more software (software attach ratio is higher) than that of the PS4 (per unit, not overall, even tho overall they are pretty close)
5) Previous points, especailly the 4th mean X1 owners buy more games on average, noticeably more FPSes, which often have a competitive or cooperative nature, that drives other people to buy X1, and considering the reputation and strong brand, most X360 owners will migrate.
6) X1 is outselling the X360 from previous generation
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So, can we bring up the stuff from your earlier posts that WEREN'T so brilliant?
For example, you rather implicitly stated that the catalyst for this reversal was the upcoming price cut (the one in June,) and how it would 'start selling a lot more,' while also making it clear that the sales gap with the PS4, on a month-to-month basis, was quite small. Clearly, you expected that from June, the Xbox One would begin to close the sales gap, even if a little, or at least KEEP it within the May gap you specified as around 322k. That was, you must agree, almost ludicrously incorrect, as not only did the gap between the sales of the two consoles did not shrink at all during the summer or early fall period, post Kinectless-release, the gap in fact more than tripled from the time of your writing up until November. So, we can admit that the expectation you had of the Xbox One beginning to turn things around so early on was incorrect, yes?
Don't even give me started on how virtually all your numbers have, since then, ended up being revised and altered by VGChartz updates. xP Kiiind of torpedos any semblance of a correctly made analysis, no?
In any case, I suppose your conclusion could turn out to be correct, and even that's uncertain considering you DID give yourself an 'expiration date' in your original prediction, but all the math, analysis and estimations you made in the meantime were completely off base? =D That's essentially why nobody's going to congratulate you, man; you announced it would definitely snow tomorrow, hauled out all kinds of complex looking calculations that turned out to be, essentially, improperly done, using false data, and ultimately wrong, and yet it ended up snowing anyway. Congrats, you predicted the weather. But it's winter, and in the matter of 'Snow Vs Not Snow,' you had literally a 50/50 chance. A dart thrown at a pair of labelled Post-Its would have ended up accomplishing the feat, only at least the dart thrower wouldn't try gloating about how his luck was ultimately TOTAL skill. =P
Now, if you had said in your original thread; 'Microsoft is likely going to get its ass kicked for several more months, due to the content drought and Destiny launch in September, heck, maybe even up until the end of the year, BUT I believe they will strike with a hard offensive complete with price cuts and bundles that will gobble up a solid sales lead come November,' that'd be impressive.
(Also, this isn't just towards Drill, but I'm curious because he expected the gap to be closed by the end of the year, or 'By January,' though kind of figure he'll now claim it was by the very END of January. How much gap, based on current numbers, is there left to go? =P We really should make a TheDrill countdown thread, methinks, see if he hits the target by fluke. Because, y'know, even if the Xbox One DOES close the gap, if it's as late as the beginning of Febuary, he's still completely wrooong. =D )
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