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Forums - Nintendo - With Ninty's updated MK8 numbers, u think it can outsell Double Dash?

Tagged games:

 

?

Yes 158 88.27%
 
No 21 11.73%
 
Total:179

8 million lifetime(shipped + digital).



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fatslob-:O said:
curl-6 said:

That's assuming lifetime Wii U sales of 14m. It'll do better than that I reckon.

That's debatable ... 

With this year being very likely the peak for the WII U, I'm surprised that the WII U will go on to sell similar numbers like last year. With the WII U currently tallying up to 2 million units with latest shipment data suggesting an overtrack of 300K units, the WII U has so far sold 1.7 million units this year. If we can take a look at an otpimistic case that the WII U will sale about 50% of it's units for the holdiays that will come to around a total of 3.5 million units which is roughly a 10% increase from last year's sales of 3.2 million units. 

At the end of the year the WII U should come to have sold 8.8 million units and the next year is the WII U's only decent year left since Nintendo will have played every cards they can get their hands on. With another optimistic expectation the WII U should reach 11 million units by then but how exactly is Nintendo supposed to sell 3 million more units when the wells are dried up ? 

Wii U still has price drops, Zelda, and the long term legs of Smash and MK8 ahead of it. It's not just going to fall off the earth next year, it will continue selling.



I can't the problem with MK8. Why is so hard to believe that it will outsell DD? Is not like Wii U magically will stop selling



curl-6 said:

Wii U still has price drops, Zelda, and the long term legs of Smash and MK8 ahead of it. It's not just going to fall off the earth next year, it will continue selling.

Yes, I know that the WII U can still do price drops but that won't make the system more enticing to purchase ... 

Price drops really only work when the system has tons of momentum to rely on and if consumers find the platform unattractive at $300 then what difference will $200 make ? 

The sales boost from MK8 is wearing off and the same is bound to happen with Smash. As for Zelda, I'm wary on that one cause of art style issues ... 

I don't expect the WII U to fall off the cliff next year but I am expecting a decline yet as for 2016 I don't see much of a future for the WII U or a lack thereof a future ...



EricFabian said:
I can't the problem with MK8. Why is so hard to believe that it will outsell DD? Is not like Wii U magically will stop selling

It could. I'm not saying it will... but it could. It's a small chance... but it's still a chance.



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fatslob-:O said:

Yes, I know that the WII U can still do price drops but that won't make the system more enticing to purchase ... 

Price drops really only work when the system has tons of momentum to rely on and if consumers find the platform unattractive at $300 then what difference will $200 make ? 

The sales boost from MK8 is wearing off and the same is bound to happen with Smash. As for Zelda, I'm wary on that one cause of art style issues ... 

I don't expect the WII U to fall off the cliff next year but I am expecting a decline yet as for 2016 I don't see much of a future for the WII U or a lack thereof a future ...

Wii U hardware still hasn't returned to its pre-MK8 baseline after 20 weeks, despite a three month game drought. This game and Smash will make it well positioned as a family/secondary console, but $299 is too much to ask of either of those audiences, so a lower price will help. That's how I see it, anyway.



I never had any doubts.



curl-6 said:
fatslob-:O said:

Yes, I know that the WII U can still do price drops but that won't make the system more enticing to purchase ... 

Price drops really only work when the system has tons of momentum to rely on and if consumers find the platform unattractive at $300 then what difference will $200 make ? 

The sales boost from MK8 is wearing off and the same is bound to happen with Smash. As for Zelda, I'm wary on that one cause of art style issues ... 

I don't expect the WII U to fall off the cliff next year but I am expecting a decline yet as for 2016 I don't see much of a future for the WII U or a lack thereof a future ...

Wii U hardware still hasn't returned to its pre-MK8 baseline after 20 weeks, despite a three month game drought. This game and Smash will make it well positioned as a family/secondary console, but $299 is too much to ask of either of those audiences, so a lower price will help. That's how I see it, anyway.

yes if you look at it overtracked will put it at like 35-37k

thats still higher than usual wii u numbers like 30k or lower



Bets:

(Won)Bet with TechoHobbit: He(Techno) says 10 million by January 1,2014 I say 9 million by then. Winner gets 2 weeks of sig control.

(Lost)Bet with kinisking: I say Ps4 will win April NPD while he says Xbox One will win it; winner gets 1 week of avatar control.

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fory77 said:
EricFabian said:
I can't the problem with MK8. Why is so hard to believe that it will outsell DD? Is not like Wii U magically will stop selling

It could. I'm not saying it will... but it could. It's a small chance... but it's still a chance.


so PS4, X1 and 3DS, hell even Vita. So what's the point?



curl-6 said:

Wii U hardware still hasn't returned to its pre-MK8 baseline after 20 weeks, despite a three month game  drought. This game and Smash will make it well positioned as a family/secondary console, but $299 is too much to ask of either of those audiences, so a lower price will help. That's what I reckon, anyway.

A secondary console ? Most of the Userbase likely has it as their primary console ... 

$300 isn't a lot to ask for when that's been the sweet spot for years! Hell, if anything the PS4 showed to us that the sweet spot can also be $400!