Some seriou FUD about Wii third party support seriously. The Wii has had a major amount of game announcements in the last month. Far more than the other two. And has had its share of exclusives as well. Marketshare IS king, but tie ratios? I disagree stick. To developers that doesnt matter as much as their games profitability. The Wii could have a 30 game tie ratio and it wouldnt matter one lick to third party houses is 28 of the third were first party only.
Tie means crap, the devs care if the games THEY make for the console are turning a profit and selling. A larger userbase is a universal advantage for third and first parties, high tie ratios? Not so much. We only have to look at the present to see its possible for a large portion of a consoles tie to be first party only leaving the third party with scraps. High tie rates only matter if the company in question is getting a good piece of the pie.
Actually the same positions you are using for Wii getting a higher ratio of 'shovelware' works to the Wii's advantage as far as exclusives. How many games made specifically for Wii and its controller do you think devs will even consider porting to the other two in any type of timely manner? What I think is going to happen is a crapton of multi plats spread across 360 and PS3, but Wii will have the higher number of game exclusives, while at the same time also getting a good share of the immensely popular multiplats (see the recent announcements of GuitarHero3 for Wii and Rockband for Wii later this year) on top of the multi plat ports (or shovelware like we call it). What you call Nintendo sabatoging themselves I see like this. Incredibly shared library between PS3 and 360. Semi shared Wii libraries with the Wii except the Wii has alot more 3rd party exclusives due to its design alone.
I still believe the exclusives are what drive a system to the #1 position and its a dieing breed this gen. And as more time passes the Wii gets more and more of them announced (the most recent being rygar) and the other two seem to get less and less. Not only that, some of those exclusives the next gen systems are getting, they are sharing with the Wii even WITH the power gap.
I know which one I see getting the majority of the marketshare. At some point (hell currently) the PS2 will fade into nothing, and at some point you wont be able to label all of these exclusive games Wii is getting from 3rd parties as 'crap shovelware'. It has already started to pick up. And for all of the talk about how obvious it should be that sales on PS3 + 360 > Wii, all we are seeing lately is more and more companies announcing increased wii support coupled with more game announcements. Apparently they know something we dont.
Here lets put it like this, look:
Spiderman 3? Wii sold 35k copies to PS360's near 300,000. Madden 07? 2m to 400k. CoD3? 1.5m to 400k. The only game to not really be like that would be Rayman, but that's certainly a game deved for the Wii, not the 360.
So try to prove a better point.
Lets use the examples of the games that took more than 5 minutes to churn out. Theres no secret Spiderman for wii was absolute garbage the developers either rushed or were dumb enough to believe people would excuse. So madden sells 400k and COD 400k and Rayman of course due to its timed exclusiveness sold much better on Wii. What do these examples you listed above tell the developers?
- If your going to just release crap, it wont sell (Spiderman) Confirmed
- Got a 360 or PS3 game? Definitely make a Wii version, it will certainly pay for itself many times over
- Wii exclusives can sell a million copies and some if some time are put into it.
How is that sabatoge? If anything the wii is going to see alot of support and ALOT of the titles PS3 and 360 will be getting save a few. Those
few will likely be shared by the PS3 and 360 neutering their 'system seller' effect by quite a bit. But those
few the wii get that will be designed around the wii remote? Either 360/PS3 wont see at all (Rygar/Nights/Mysims/Boogie/Pjct Hammer/FFantasy: CC/DQ:S) or they will be ported so far down the line that it wont have any effect on the titles ability to sell Wiis (Rayman: RR). From a market share standpoint (which you agree is king) Nintendo is in the most comfortable position of the three by far.